TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13111533
Played Sep 10Finished
Jan Pina
Home
1.62
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
511117115711116
Tomas Stejskal
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
How it is goingJan Pina above · Tomas Stejskal below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 7-11
Set 5 · 11-6
Point 85 set 5, 11-6
85 points played in total.
H2H Jan Pina 1–0 Tomas Stejskal Tomas Stejskal has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 1h before this match
Pina beat Stejskal 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Pina)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Stejskal form (20%) is below what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPina 1.61 / Stejskal 2.20
Signal prob.55% / 45%
Edge (Pina)-2.8pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13111533
Pina1.61
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite60% won 6 of 10
Stejskal2.20
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog44% won 17 of 39
Down 0–1, comes back27% 6 of 22
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 9
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomePina1wins
AwayStejskal0wins
Pina leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricPinaStejskalP − SBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match41.026.0+15.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPinaStejskalBasisWin rate · lifetime59 / 123 vs 100 / 21748%46.1%59 / 123 vs 100 / 217Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.137.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PinaPina 1.61/Stejskal 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.9%
Pina · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Pina won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WSep 10 · 20:00J. Pina—11118113T. Stejskal—561141
J. Pina10
WSep 10 · 20:00T. Stejskal1.57561141J. Pina2.2511118113LSep 10 · 19:00M. Drabek1.9112911113J. Pina1.801011681LSep 10 · 17:30F. Schmidtmayer2.0091111113J. Pina1.73116881LSep 6 · 21:03K. Jirousek1.5711127113J. Pina2.255101131WSep 6 · 19:30J. Pina2.10711511143K. Farsky1.67116117122WSep 6 · 18:30J. Pina1.9111611143A. Dvoracek1.808118121LSep 6 · 17:30J. Pina2.255141151K. Jirousek1.5711168113WAug 27 · 21:08K. Farsky1.5711981142J. Pina2.25511117113LAug 27 · 20:00J. Pina2.2512117282K. Farsky1.571071111113LAug 27 · 18:30K. Jirousek1.6711811113J. Pina2.10911981
T. Stejskal10
LSep 10 · 20:00T. Stejskal1.57561141J. Pina2.2511118113LSep 10 · 18:30F. Schmidtmayer1.67101111113T. Stejskal2.10129581LSep 10 · 18:00M. Drabek3.0021311113T. Stejskal1.361111941WAug 31 · 20:38M. Vana1.531181061T. Stejskal2.3871112113LAug 31 · 19:30T. Stejskal2.2031181162M. Vana1.61116119113WAug 31 · 18:30T. Stejskal2.631111113O. Karpisek1.449460WAug 31 · 17:30T. Stejskal2.20111013113L. Hendrych1.618121161LAug 24 · 12:23T. Stejskal1.3011101081J. Jnr3.4081212113LAug 24 · 11:45T. Stejskal2.00610111182M. Vorel1.73111261113WAug 24 · 10:15J. Jnr2.635720T. Stejskal1.441111113
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