TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12331421
Played Jul 30Finished
Tomas Trnka
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
611711119711––
Jiri Babinek
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
How it is goingTomas Trnka above · Jiri Babinek below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 73 set 4, 7-11
73 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Trnka 3–0 Jiri Babinek Jiri Babinek has won 0 of their 3 meetings.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Trnka)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Babinek form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTrnka 1.67 / Babinek 2.10
Signal prob.63% / 37%
Edge (Trnka)+7.0pp
TT Cup · #12331421
Trnka1.67
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite68% won 58 of 85
Up 2–0, closes it97% 33 of 34
Up 1–0, closes it82% 42 of 51
Babinek2.10
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog36% won 25 of 70
Down 0–1, comes back25% 9 of 36
Down 0–2, comes back10% 2 of 20
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeTrnka3wins
AwayBabinek0wins
1 of 3 to a deciderTrnka leads 3–0, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Trnka1Babinek2n = 3Babinek took 2 of 3
S2Trnka3Babinek0n = 3Trnka took 3 of 3
S3Trnka2Babinek1n = 3Trnka took 2 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home133%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home133%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricTrnkaBabinekT − BBasisWins30+3in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match43.736.7+7.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTrnkaBabinekBasisWin rate · lifetime129 / 232 vs 102 / 20855.6%49%129 / 232 vs 102 / 208Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.739.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TrnkaTrnka 1.67/Babinek 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
62.8%
Trnka · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Babinek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WJul 30 · 10:35T. Trnka—1111123J. Babinek—48100
WMar 18 · 16:05T. Trnka—91211123J. Babinek—11106101
WDec 12 · 17:35T. Trnka—1212711113J. Babinek—141011972
T. Trnka10
LSep 6 · 17:18T. Trnka2.256911121F. Karel1.5711118143LSep 6 · 16:35M. Mastera1.5041213113T. Trnka2.5011101161LSep 6 · 15:35T. Trnka2.63791181T. Bartik1.4411116113WSep 6 · 14:05F. Karel1.44791191T. Trnka2.6311114113LSep 5 · 09:10M. Kucera1.401111113T. Trnka2.758770LSep 5 · 08:35J. Joksch1.611111113T. Trnka2.208970LSep 5 · 07:35T. Trnka2.205960M. Mastera1.611111113LSep 5 · 06:05M. Kucera1.4091111113T. Trnka2.75119781WSep 3 · 17:03T. Trnka2.00211114113J. Ruzicka1.7311971162WSep 3 · 16:05T. Beran2.206101111102T. Trnka1.61111299123
J. Babinek10
WJul 30 · 12:05J. Muska1.8371391162J. Babinek1.831111118113WJul 30 · 11:35R. Vosyka1.80117791J. Babinek1.9181111113LJul 30 · 10:35J. Babinek1.8048100T. Trnka1.911111123WJul 24 · 13:05J. Babinek1.401111113R. Fitl2.755660LJul 24 · 12:05J. Joksch1.8011118123J. Babinek1.915311101WJul 24 · 11:35R. Fitl2.3881480J. Babinek1.531116113LJul 24 · 10:35J. Babinek1.911141112102R. Vosyka1.80711614123WJul 21 · 13:45J. Babinek1.83811116113J. Muska1.8311551192WJul 21 · 12:35J. Babinek2.00411118113R. Vosyka1.7311771172WJul 21 · 11:05J. Joksch1.91711111182J. Babinek1.80111389113
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