Jakub Joksch vs Jiri Babinek 2-3

TT Lossbeater/TT Cup

TT CupMatch #12272422

Played Jul 21Finished

Jakub Joksch

Home

1.91

At publish

Lost last 2

Form at publish

7–3Last 10Lost last 2

Final

2 – 3

Set by set

7111113118119811

Jiri Babinek

Away

1.80

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

3–7Last 10Won last 1

The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:06 and never touched — 54.9% is still 54.9%

Graded at full time

Jakub Joksch to win

54.9%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Wrong

not sent

How it is goingJakub Joksch above · Jiri Babinek below

Set 1 · 7-11

Set 2 · 11-13

Set 3 · 11-8

Set 4 · 11-9

Set 5 · 8-11

Point 100 set 5, 8-11 — our read held Jakub Joksch at 54.9%

100 points played in total.

H2H Jakub Joksch 1–2 Jiri Babinek Jakub Joksch has won 1 of their 3 meetings.

Last 3 · 1–2Same sideHead to head

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 23:06

What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.91 (47%)

Babinek

Correct

no bar to clear — a priced side always votes

H2H

1-2 in 3

—

Too close

gap of 1, under the gap of 2

Rating (G2)

Joksch 1610 vs Babinek 1632

Babinek

Correct

both rated, 22 points apart — no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Joksch 40% vs Babinek 20%

Joksch

Wrong

20pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Joksch 70% vs Babinek 30%

Joksch

Wrong

40pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Joksch -2 · Babinek +1

—

Too close

neither holds a run of 3 on their own

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Joksch)

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Babinek form (20%) is below what odds imply (56%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsJoksch 1.70 / Babinek 1.91

Signal prob.55% / 45%

Edge (Joksch)+2.0pp

TT Cup · #12272422

Joksch1.70

70%won 7 of 10 · last 10

Lost last 2

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As favourite70% won 7 of 10

Up 1–0, closes it100% 5 of 5

Babinek1.91

30%won 3 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As underdog36% won 24 of 67

Down 0–1, comes back24% 8 of 34

Down 0–2, comes back11% 2 of 19

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 3 meetings

HomeJoksch1wins

AwayBabinek2wins

Babinek leads 2–1.

First set to match win · in this matchup

Not enough first sets

Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.

Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Joksch1Babinek2n = 3Babinek took 2 of 3

S2Joksch2Babinek1n = 3Joksch took 2 of 3

S3Joksch1Babinek2n = 3Babinek took 2 of 3

Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate

How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home133%

3–1Four sets, home00%

3–2Decider, home00%

2–3Decider, away00%

1–3Four sets, away133%

0–3Straight, away133%

These 3 meetings

MetricJokschBabinekJ − BBasisWins12−1in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match31.032.7−1.7per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricJokschBabinekBasisWin rate · lifetime30 / 67 vs 95 / 19844.8%48%30 / 67 vs 95 / 198Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match35.639.0per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Joksch

Joksch 1.70/Babinek 1.91

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

54.9%

Joksch · sealed before the serve

What happened

2–3

Babinek won

Recent Results

H2H · no odds on record3

WJul 6 · 11:35J. Joksch—1112113J. Babinek—71080

LJun 6 · 06:35J. Joksch—611891J. Babinek—11511113

LApr 27 · 10:35J. Joksch—61180J. Babinek—1113113

J. Joksch10

WSep 5 · 09:40J. Joksch1.781110129113M. Mastera1.93912101172 WSep 5 · 08:35J. Joksch1.611111113T. Trnka2.208970 WSep 5 · 07:05M. Kucera1.44861131J. Joksch2.6311115113 LSep 5 · 06:35M. Mastera1.73118511113J. Joksch2.0091111442 LSep 4 · 13:50J. Joksch1.3021112992R. Fitl3.401191011113 WSep 4 · 12:05J. Joksch1.301111113R. Pokorny3.408670 WSep 4 · 11:05J. Joksch1.361111113R. Fitl3.009870 LSep 4 · 10:05J. Joksch1.44561651R. Fnukal2.63111114113 WSep 1 · 17:45J. Joksch1.691112113J. Ruzicka1.9771060 WSep 1 · 16:05T. Beran1.7311391172J. Joksch2.00611117113

J. Babinek10

WJul 30 · 13:38T. Trnka1.67671171J. Babinek2.1011119113 WJul 30 · 12:05J. Muska1.8371391162J. Babinek1.831111118113 WJul 30 · 11:35R. Vosyka1.80117791J. Babinek1.9181111113 LJul 30 · 10:35J. Babinek1.8048100T. Trnka1.911111123 WJul 24 · 13:05J. Babinek1.401111113R. Fitl2.755660 LJul 24 · 12:05J. Joksch1.8011118123J. Babinek1.915311101 WJul 24 · 11:35R. Fitl2.3881480J. Babinek1.531116113 LJul 24 · 10:35J. Babinek1.911141112102R. Vosyka1.80711614123 WJul 21 · 13:45J. Babinek1.83811116113J. Muska1.8311551192 WJul 21 · 12:35J. Babinek2.00411118113R. Vosyka1.7311771172

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