TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12322534
Played Jul 30Finished
Jiri Babinek
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
4118111012––––
Tomas Trnka
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:52 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeTomas Trnka to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJiri Babinek above · Tomas Trnka below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 10-12
Point 56 set 3, 10-12 — our read held Tomas Trnka at 54.0%
56 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Babinek 0–2 Tomas Trnka Jiri Babinek has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:52What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Babinek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-2 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Babinek 1648 vs Trnka 1767
Trnka
Correct
both rated, 119 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Babinek 60% vs Trnka 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Babinek 60% vs Trnka 80%
Trnka
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Babinek +1 · Trnka -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Trnka) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBabinek 1.80 / Trnka 1.91
Signal prob.41% / 60%
Edge (Trnka)+11.0pp
TT Cup · #12322534
Babinek1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite61% won 20 of 33
Up 2–0, closes it78% 7 of 9
Up 1–0, closes it72% 13 of 18
Trnka1.91
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog47% won 20 of 43
Down 0–1, comes back28% 7 of 25
Down 0–2, comes back7% 1 of 15
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeBabinek0wins
AwayTrnka2wins
1 of 2 to a deciderTrnka leads 2–0, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricBabinekTrnkaB − TBasisWins02−2in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match44.048.5−4.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBabinekTrnkaBasisWin rate · lifetime100 / 205 vs 127 / 22948.8%55.5%100 / 205 vs 127 / 229Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.136.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TrnkaBabinek 1.80/Trnka 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
59.5%
Trnka · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Trnka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LMar 18 · 16:05J. Babinek—11106101T. Trnka—91211123
LDec 12 · 17:35J. Babinek—141011972T. Trnka—1212711113
J. Babinek10
WJul 30 · 13:38T. Trnka1.67671171J. Babinek2.1011119113WJul 30 · 12:05J. Muska1.8371391162J. Babinek1.831111118113WJul 30 · 11:35R. Vosyka1.80117791J. Babinek1.9181111113WJul 24 · 13:05J. Babinek1.401111113R. Fitl2.755660LJul 24 · 12:05J. Joksch1.8011118123J. Babinek1.915311101WJul 24 · 11:35R. Fitl2.3881480J. Babinek1.531116113LJul 24 · 10:35J. Babinek1.911141112102R. Vosyka1.80711614123WJul 21 · 13:45J. Babinek1.83811116113J. Muska1.8311551192WJul 21 · 12:35J. Babinek2.00411118113R. Vosyka1.7311771172WJul 21 · 11:05J. Joksch1.91711111182J. Babinek1.80111389113
T. Trnka10
LSep 6 · 17:18T. Trnka2.256911121F. Karel1.5711118143LSep 6 · 16:35M. Mastera1.5041213113T. Trnka2.5011101161LSep 6 · 15:35T. Trnka2.63791181T. Bartik1.4411116113WSep 6 · 14:05F. Karel1.44791191T. Trnka2.6311114113LSep 5 · 09:10M. Kucera1.401111113T. Trnka2.758770LSep 5 · 08:35J. Joksch1.611111113T. Trnka2.208970LSep 5 · 07:35T. Trnka2.205960M. Mastera1.611111113LSep 5 · 06:05M. Kucera1.4091111113T. Trnka2.75119781WSep 3 · 17:03T. Trnka2.00211114113J. Ruzicka1.7311971162LJul 30 · 13:38T. Trnka1.67671171J. Babinek2.1011119113
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