Jakub Joksch vs Jiri Babinek 3-1

TT Lossbeater/TT Cup

TT CupMatch #12290963

Played Jul 24Finished

Jakub Joksch

Home

1.80

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

4–6Last 10Lost last 1

Final

3 – 1

Set by set

1151138111210––

Jiri Babinek

Away

1.91

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Won last 1

The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:43 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%

Graded at full time

Jakub Joksch to win

54.0%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Right

not sent

«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.

How it is goingJakub Joksch above · Jiri Babinek below

Set 1 · 11-5

Set 2 · 11-3

Set 3 · 8-11

Set 4 · 12-10

Point 71 set 4, 12-10 — our read held Jakub Joksch at 54.0%

71 points played in total.

H2H Jakub Joksch 2–3 Jiri Babinek Jakub Joksch has won 2 of their 5 meetings.

Last 5 · 2–3Same sideHead to head

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 22:43

What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.80 (51%)

Joksch

Correct

no bar to clear — a priced side always votes

H2H

2-3 in 5

—

Too close

gap of 1, under the gap of 2

Rating (G2)

Joksch 1573 vs Babinek 1655

Babinek

Wrong

both rated, 82 points apart — no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Joksch 40% vs Babinek 80%

Babinek

Wrong

40pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Joksch 40% vs Babinek 50%

—

Too close

10pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Streak

Joksch -1 · Babinek +1

—

Too close

neither holds a run of 3 on their own

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Joksch)

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Babinek form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (52%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsJoksch 1.80 / Babinek 1.91

Signal prob.54% / 46%

Edge (Joksch)+2.5pp

TT Cup · #12290963

Joksch1.80

40%won 4 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

30%takes the first set · 3 of 10

As favourite70% won 7 of 10

Up 1–0, closes it100% 5 of 5

Babinek1.91

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As underdog37% won 25 of 68

Down 0–1, comes back26% 9 of 35

Down 0–2, comes back11% 2 of 19

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 5 meetings

HomeJoksch2wins

AwayBabinek3wins

2 of 5 to a deciderBabinek leads 3–2, and 2 of those 5 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeJokschn = 2, below the 3 needed

AwayBabinek100%3 of 3

Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Joksch2Babinek3n = 5Babinek took 3 of 5

S2Joksch3Babinek2n = 5Joksch took 3 of 5

S3Joksch2Babinek3n = 5Babinek took 3 of 5

S4Joksch1Babinek2n = 3Babinek took 2 of 3

Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate

How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home120%

3–1Four sets, home00%

3–2Decider, home120%

2–3Decider, away120%

1–3Four sets, away120%

0–3Straight, away120%

These 5 meetings

MetricJokschBabinekJ − BBasisWins23−1in 5 meetingsFirst set23−1of 5Avg pointsper match36.838.4−1.6per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricJokschBabinekBasisWin rate · lifetime32 / 72 vs 99 / 20344.4%48.8%32 / 72 vs 99 / 203Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.039.2per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Joksch

Joksch 1.80/Babinek 1.91

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

54%

Joksch · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–1

Joksch won

Recent Results

H2H · no odds on record5

LJul 21 · 11:05J. Joksch—711111182J. Babinek—111389113

WJul 6 · 13:10J. Joksch—111173113J. Babinek—58111172

WJul 6 · 11:35J. Joksch—1112113J. Babinek—71080

LJun 6 · 06:35J. Joksch—611891J. Babinek—11511113

LApr 27 · 10:35J. Joksch—61180J. Babinek—1113113

J. Joksch10

WSep 5 · 09:40J. Joksch1.781110129113M. Mastera1.93912101172 WSep 5 · 08:35J. Joksch1.611111113T. Trnka2.208970 WSep 5 · 07:05M. Kucera1.44861131J. Joksch2.6311115113 LSep 5 · 06:35M. Mastera1.73118511113J. Joksch2.0091111442 LSep 4 · 13:50J. Joksch1.3021112992R. Fitl3.401191011113 WSep 4 · 12:05J. Joksch1.301111113R. Pokorny3.408670 WSep 4 · 11:05J. Joksch1.361111113R. Fitl3.009870 LSep 4 · 10:05J. Joksch1.44561651R. Fnukal2.63111114113 WSep 1 · 17:45J. Joksch1.691112113J. Ruzicka1.9771060 WSep 1 · 16:05T. Beran1.7311391172J. Joksch2.00611117113

J. Babinek10

WJul 30 · 13:38T. Trnka1.67671171J. Babinek2.1011119113 WJul 30 · 12:05J. Muska1.8371391162J. Babinek1.831111118113 WJul 30 · 11:35R. Vosyka1.80117791J. Babinek1.9181111113 LJul 30 · 10:35J. Babinek1.8048100T. Trnka1.911111123 WJul 24 · 13:05J. Babinek1.401111113R. Fitl2.755660 WJul 24 · 11:35R. Fitl2.3881480J. Babinek1.531116113 LJul 24 · 10:35J. Babinek1.911141112102R. Vosyka1.80711614123 WJul 21 · 13:45J. Babinek1.83811116113J. Muska1.8311551192 WJul 21 · 12:35J. Babinek2.00411118113R. Vosyka1.7311771172 WJul 21 · 11:05J. Joksch1.91711111182J. Babinek1.80111389113

Event Chatroom

This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.