TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12272408
Played Jul 21Finished
Jiri Babinek
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
411117117811117
Radek Vosyka
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:04 and never touched — 58.1% is still 58.1%
Graded at full timeRadek Vosyka to win
58.1%
58.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJiri Babinek above · Radek Vosyka below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 11-7
Point 88 set 5, 11-7 — our read held Radek Vosyka at 58.1%
88 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Babinek 12–10 Radek Vosyka Radek Vosyka has won 10 of their 22 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 23:04What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Vosyka
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
12-10 in 22
Babinek
Correct
gap of 2 in 22, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Babinek 1642 vs Vosyka 1563
Babinek
Correct
both rated, 79 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Babinek 40% vs Vosyka 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Babinek 30% vs Vosyka 60%
Vosyka
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Babinek +2 · Vosyka -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Vosyka) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vosyka form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBabinek 2.00 / Vosyka 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Vosyka)+0.3pp
TT Cup · #12272408
Babinek2.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog36% won 24 of 67
Down 0–1, comes back24% 8 of 34
Down 0–2, comes back11% 2 of 19
Vosyka1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As favourite61% won 50 of 82
Up 2–0, closes it100% 26 of 26
Up 1–0, closes it77% 37 of 48
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBabinek5wins
AwayVosyka5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBabinek66.7%4 of 6
AwayVosyka75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Babinek6Vosyka4n = 10Babinek took 6 of 10
S2Babinek5Vosyka5n = 10split evenly
S3Babinek4Vosyka6n = 10Vosyka took 6 of 10
S4Babinek4Vosyka3n = 7Babinek took 4 of 7
S5Babinek2Vosyka2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricBabinekVosykaB − VBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match39.239.3−0.1per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBabinekVosykaBasisWin rate · lifetime96 / 199 vs 137 / 27348.2%50.2%96 / 199 vs 137 / 273Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.137.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VosykaBabinek 2.00/Vosyka 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Vosyka · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Babinek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJun 20 · 14:05J. Babinek—117411113R. Vosyka—91111952
LJun 18 · 21:25J. Babinek—1011731R. Vosyka—12911113
LJun 18 · 19:35J. Babinek—141188162R. Vosyka—1271111183
LMay 6 · 10:35J. Babinek—7890R. Vosyka—1111113
WMay 4 · 11:35J. Babinek—51111133R. Vosyka—1186111
LApr 27 · 21:10J. Babinek—512111182R. Vosyka—111496113
LApr 27 · 20:35J. Babinek—119991R. Vosyka—71111113
WApr 1 · 13:05J. Babinek—114811113R. Vosyka—81111742
WApr 1 · 11:05J. Babinek—1111113R. Vosyka—5770
WMar 26 · 11:35J. Babinek—1111113R. Vosyka—9890
J. Babinek10
WJul 30 · 13:38T. Trnka1.67671171J. Babinek2.1011119113WJul 30 · 12:05J. Muska1.8371391162J. Babinek1.831111118113WJul 30 · 11:35R. Vosyka1.80117791J. Babinek1.9181111113LJul 30 · 10:35J. Babinek1.8048100T. Trnka1.911111123WJul 24 · 13:05J. Babinek1.401111113R. Fitl2.755660LJul 24 · 12:05J. Joksch1.8011118123J. Babinek1.915311101WJul 24 · 11:35R. Fitl2.3881480J. Babinek1.531116113LJul 24 · 10:35J. Babinek1.911141112102R. Vosyka1.80711614123WJul 21 · 13:45J. Babinek1.83811116113J. Muska1.8311551192WJul 21 · 11:05J. Joksch1.91711111182J. Babinek1.80111389113
R. Vosyka10
LSep 10 · 13:38R. Vosyka1.578480J. Ruzicka2.251111113LSep 10 · 12:35R. Vosyka1.83611471R. Fitl1.8311711113WSep 10 · 11:05M. Holub1.801011112132R. Vosyka1.91126911153WSep 10 · 10:35J. Ruzicka2.105480R. Vosyka1.661111113LSep 8 · 17:39R. Fitl2.001211113R. Vosyka1.7310970LSep 8 · 16:05R. Vosyka1.5710121171R. Fitl2.2512147113WSep 8 · 15:05R. Vosyka1.501111113D. Hons2.507670WSep 8 · 14:05R. Vosyka1.50111188113T. Krcil2.5089111182LJul 30 · 11:35R. Vosyka1.80117791J. Babinek1.9181111113WJul 24 · 10:35J. Babinek1.911141112102R. Vosyka1.80711614123
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.