TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12325364
Played Jul 30Finished
Radek Vosyka
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
118711711911––
Jiri Babinek
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:44 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeRadek Vosyka to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingRadek Vosyka above · Jiri Babinek below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 75 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Radek Vosyka at 54.0%
75 points played in total.
H2H Radek Vosyka 11–13 Jiri Babinek Radek Vosyka has won 11 of their 24 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 23:44What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Vosyka
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
11-13 in 24
Babinek
Correct
gap of 2 in 24, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vosyka 1599 vs Babinek 1639
Babinek
Correct
both rated, 40 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vosyka 60% vs Babinek 40%
Vosyka
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vosyka 60% vs Babinek 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Vosyka +1 · Babinek -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Vosyka)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Babinek form (40%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVosyka 1.80 / Babinek 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Vosyka)+2.5pp
TT Cup · #12325364
Vosyka1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite59% won 57 of 96
Up 2–0, closes it100% 31 of 31
Up 1–0, closes it77% 43 of 56
Babinek1.91
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog36% won 25 of 70
Down 0–1, comes back25% 9 of 36
Down 0–2, comes back10% 2 of 20
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVosyka6wins
AwayBabinek4wins
6 of 10 to a deciderVosyka leads 6–4, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVosyka60%3 of 5
AwayBabinek40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vosyka5Babinek5n = 10split evenly
S2Vosyka6Babinek4n = 10Vosyka took 6 of 10
S3Vosyka6Babinek4n = 10Vosyka took 6 of 10
S4Vosyka5Babinek4n = 9Vosyka took 5 of 9
S5Vosyka3Babinek3n = 6split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricVosykaBabinekV − BBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match44.141.9+2.2per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVosykaBabinekBasisWin rate · lifetime146 / 289 vs 100 / 20650.5%48.5%146 / 289 vs 100 / 206Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.339.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VosykaVosyka 1.80/Babinek 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Vosyka · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Babinek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 24 · 10:35R. Vosyka—711614123J. Babinek—1141112102
LJul 21 · 12:35R. Vosyka—11771172J. Babinek—411118113
LJun 20 · 14:05R. Vosyka—91111952J. Babinek—117411113
WJun 18 · 21:25R. Vosyka—12911113J. Babinek—1011731
WJun 18 · 19:35R. Vosyka—1271111183J. Babinek—141188162
WMay 6 · 10:35R. Vosyka—1111113J. Babinek—7890
LMay 4 · 11:35R. Vosyka—1186111J. Babinek—51111133
WApr 27 · 21:10R. Vosyka—111496113J. Babinek—512111182
WApr 27 · 20:35R. Vosyka—71111113J. Babinek—119991
LApr 1 · 13:05R. Vosyka—81111742J. Babinek—114811113
R. Vosyka10
LSep 10 · 13:38R. Vosyka1.578480J. Ruzicka2.251111113LSep 10 · 12:35R. Vosyka1.83611471R. Fitl1.8311711113WSep 10 · 11:05M. Holub1.801011112132R. Vosyka1.91126911153WSep 10 · 10:35J. Ruzicka2.105480R. Vosyka1.661111113LSep 8 · 17:39R. Fitl2.001211113R. Vosyka1.7310970LSep 8 · 16:05R. Vosyka1.5710121171R. Fitl2.2512147113WSep 8 · 15:05R. Vosyka1.501111113D. Hons2.507670WSep 8 · 14:05R. Vosyka1.50111188113T. Krcil2.5089111182WSep 3 · 21:39J. Vidourek2.38891471R. Vosyka1.53111112113WSep 3 · 20:05R. Fitl2.38111150R. Vosyka1.531313113
J. Babinek10
WJul 30 · 13:38T. Trnka1.67671171J. Babinek2.1011119113WJul 30 · 12:05J. Muska1.8371391162J. Babinek1.831111118113LJul 30 · 10:35J. Babinek1.8048100T. Trnka1.911111123WJul 24 · 13:05J. Babinek1.401111113R. Fitl2.755660LJul 24 · 12:05J. Joksch1.8011118123J. Babinek1.915311101WJul 24 · 11:35R. Fitl2.3881480J. Babinek1.531116113LJul 24 · 10:35J. Babinek1.911141112102R. Vosyka1.80711614123WJul 21 · 13:45J. Babinek1.83811116113J. Muska1.8311551192WJul 21 · 12:35J. Babinek2.00411118113R. Vosyka1.7311771172WJul 21 · 11:05J. Joksch1.91711111182J. Babinek1.80111389113
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.