TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12291105
Played Jul 24Finished
Radek Fitl
Home
2.38
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 5
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
8111416811––––
Jiri Babinek
Away
1.53
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:52 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJiri Babinek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRadek Fitl above · Jiri Babinek below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 14-16
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 68 set 3, 8-11 — our read held Jiri Babinek at 54.0%
68 points played in total.
H2H Radek Fitl 0–1 Jiri Babinek Radek Fitl has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:52What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Babinek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Fitl 1458 vs Babinek 1655
Babinek
Correct
both rated, 197 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Fitl 0% vs Babinek 80%
Babinek
Correct
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Fitl 30% vs Babinek 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Fitl -5 · Babinek -1
Fitl
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Babinek) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Babinek form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFitl 2.38 / Babinek 1.53
Signal prob.37% / 63%
Edge (Babinek)+2.0pp
TT Cup · #12291105
Fitl2.38
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog40% won 19 of 47
Down 0–1, comes back26% 7 of 27
Down 0–2, comes back7% 1 of 15
Babinek1.53
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite58% won 18 of 31
Up 2–0, closes it71% 5 of 7
Up 1–0, closes it69% 11 of 16
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeFitl0wins
AwayBabinek1wins
Babinek leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
This 1 meeting
MetricFitlBabinekF − BBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match30.038.0−8.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFitlBabinekBasisWin rate · lifetime94 / 185 vs 99 / 20350.8%48.8%94 / 185 vs 99 / 203Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.339.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BabinekFitl 2.38/Babinek 1.53
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.8%
Babinek · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Babinek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LJul 24 · 11:35R. Fitl—81480J. Babinek—1116113
R. Fitl10
WSep 10 · 13:10M. Holub2.00811111162R. Fitl1.73111398113WSep 10 · 12:35R. Vosyka1.83611471R. Fitl1.8311711113LSep 10 · 11:35R. Fitl1.731358101J. Ruzicka2.00111111123LSep 10 · 10:05M. Holub2.00111198113R. Fitl1.7377111172WSep 8 · 17:39R. Fitl2.001211113R. Vosyka1.7310970WSep 8 · 16:05R. Vosyka1.5710121171R. Fitl2.2512147113WSep 8 · 15:35T. Krcil2.63611521R. Fitl1.4411611113WSep 8 · 14:35R. Fitl1.4412119113D. Hons2.631091161WSep 8 · 13:34R. Fitl1.80114911113J. Lovl1.9161111672WSep 8 · 12:05R. Fitl1.8311711113J. Lovl1.83211871
J. Babinek10
WJul 30 · 13:38T. Trnka1.67671171J. Babinek2.1011119113WJul 30 · 12:05J. Muska1.8371391162J. Babinek1.831111118113WJul 30 · 11:35R. Vosyka1.80117791J. Babinek1.9181111113LJul 30 · 10:35J. Babinek1.8048100T. Trnka1.911111123WJul 24 · 13:05J. Babinek1.401111113R. Fitl2.755660LJul 24 · 12:05J. Joksch1.8011118123J. Babinek1.915311101LJul 24 · 10:35J. Babinek1.911141112102R. Vosyka1.80711614123WJul 21 · 13:45J. Babinek1.83811116113J. Muska1.8311551192WJul 21 · 12:35J. Babinek2.00411118113R. Vosyka1.7311771172WJul 21 · 11:05J. Joksch1.91711111182J. Babinek1.80111389113
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