TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12305292
Played Jul 26Finished
Jaroslav Brynych
Home
1.60
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1210116115––––
Lukas Pour
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
How it is goingJaroslav Brynych above · Lukas Pour below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-5
Point 55 set 3, 11-5
55 points played in total.
H2H Jaroslav Brynych 8–2 Lukas Pour Lukas Pour has won 2 of their 10 meetings.
Signal confidence: 62% — Slight lean (leans Brynych)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Brynych form (40%) is below what odds imply (63%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBrynych 1.60 / Pour 2.20
Signal prob.62% / 38%
Edge (Brynych)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #12305292
Brynych1.60
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite65% won 15 of 23
Up 2–0, closes it100% 8 of 8
Up 1–0, closes it83% 10 of 12
Pour2.20
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog37% won 14 of 38
Down 0–1, comes back17% 4 of 24
Down 0–2, comes back7% 1 of 15
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBrynych8wins
AwayPour2wins
2 of 10 to a deciderBrynych leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBrynych83.3%5 of 6
AwayPour25%1 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Brynych6Pour4n = 10Brynych took 6 of 10
S2Brynych6Pour4n = 10Brynych took 6 of 10
S3Brynych6Pour4n = 10Brynych took 6 of 10
S4Brynych5Pour3n = 8Brynych took 5 of 8
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home550%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricBrynychPourB − PBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match40.936.5+4.4per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBrynychPourBasisWin rate · lifetime42 / 97 vs 69 / 15543.3%44.5%42 / 97 vs 69 / 155Avg sets wonper match1.81.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.838.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BrynychBrynych 1.60/Pour 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
61.9%
Brynych · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Brynych won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 26 · 12:20J. Brynych—12115113L. Pour—1081181
WJul 19 · 10:50J. Brynych—1311113L. Pour—11750
WJun 20 · 14:03J. Brynych—81111143L. Pour—1166121
WJun 20 · 12:55J. Brynych—1011116133L. Pour—123711112
WApr 5 · 13:24J. Brynych—111110113L. Pour—881251
WApr 5 · 12:20J. Brynych—111311113L. Pour—815691
WMar 21 · 16:25J. Brynych—115117113L. Pour—91181182
LMar 14 · 14:55J. Brynych—11101281L. Pour—41214113
WMar 14 · 12:25J. Brynych—91111113L. Pour—118871
LMar 6 · 15:50J. Brynych—9590L. Pour—1111113
J. Brynych10
LSep 3 · 17:25J. Brynych1.2811681172O. Sebek3.50611117113LSep 3 · 16:50J. Brynych2.105117101M. Nemec1.6711911123LSep 3 · 15:20J. Rolik1.91711611113J. Brynych1.8011711982WSep 3 · 14:50O. Sebek3.2511640J. Brynych1.331311113WAug 28 · 13:23J. Brynych1.5013117183O. Sebek2.5011411161WAug 28 · 12:20O. Sebek2.63411461J. Brynych1.4411711113LAug 28 · 11:50J. Rolik1.911111113J. Brynych1.808440LAug 28 · 10:50J. Brynych2.20711111162F. Musil1.61111348113WAug 16 · 13:20J. Brynych2.20911125113M. Nemec1.61119101162LAug 16 · 12:20J. Brynych3.001790R. Zeman1.361111113
L. Pour10
WAug 2 · 13:28L. Pour2.3812118113J. Rolik1.531061121WAug 2 · 12:20L. Pour1.831412116113J. Rolik1.83161091182LAug 2 · 11:20L. Pour3.0011301182R. Zeman1.36911118113LAug 2 · 10:20L. Pour1.8396111162M. Nemec1.83111153113LJul 26 · 12:20J. Brynych1.4412115113L. Pour2.631081181LJul 26 · 11:50R. Zeman1.4071211113L. Pour2.751110971LJul 26 · 10:50L. Pour1.80311581M. Nemec1.9111511113WJul 19 · 13:23L. Pour1.911111113J. Rolik1.807480WJul 19 · 12:20J. Rolik1.80711691L. Pour1.9111911113LJul 19 · 11:50M. Nemec1.911111113L. Pour1.809770
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