TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13072569
Played Sep 3Finished
Jaroslav Brynych
Home
1.29
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
116611811117711
Ondrej Sebek
Away
3.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingJaroslav Brynych above · Ondrej Sebek below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 7-11
Point 89 set 5, 7-11
89 points played in total.
H2H Jaroslav Brynych 5–0 Ondrej Sebek Ondrej Sebek has won 0 of their 5 meetings.
Signal confidence: 74% — Strong (leans Brynych)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Brynych form (60%) is below what odds imply (78%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBrynych 1.28 / Sebek 3.50
Signal prob.74% / 26%
Edge (Brynych)+1.2pp
TT Cup · #13072569
Brynych1.28
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite67% won 16 of 24
Up 2–0, closes it100% 10 of 10
Up 1–0, closes it87% 13 of 15
Sebek3.50
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog28% won 18 of 64
Down 0–1, comes back14% 5 of 36
Down 0–2, comes back10% 2 of 21
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeBrynych5wins
AwaySebek0wins
1 of 5 to a deciderBrynych leads 5–0, and 1 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBrynych100%4 of 4
AwaySebekn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Brynych4Sebek1n = 5Brynych took 4 of 5
S2Brynych4Sebek1n = 5Brynych took 4 of 5
S3Brynych4Sebek1n = 5Brynych took 4 of 5
S4Brynych2Sebek1n = 3Brynych took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home240%
3–1Four sets, home240%
3–2Decider, home120%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 5 meetings
MetricBrynychSebekB − SBasisWins50+5in 5 meetingsFirst set41+3of 5Avg pointsper match41.030.6+10.4per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBrynychSebekBasisWin rate · lifetime48 / 113 vs 189 / 38342.5%49.4%48 / 113 vs 189 / 383Avg sets wonper match1.82.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.938.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BrynychBrynych 1.28/Sebek 3.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
74.3%
Brynych · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Sebek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
WSep 3 · 14:50J. Brynych—1311113O. Sebek—11640
WAug 28 · 13:23J. Brynych—13117183O. Sebek—11411161
WAug 28 · 12:20J. Brynych—11711113O. Sebek—411461
WMar 6 · 18:55J. Brynych—911116113O. Sebek—11681172
WMar 6 · 16:50J. Brynych—1111113O. Sebek—8950
J. Brynych10
LSep 3 · 16:50J. Brynych2.105117101M. Nemec1.6711911123LSep 3 · 15:20J. Rolik1.91711611113J. Brynych1.8011711982WSep 3 · 14:50O. Sebek3.2511640J. Brynych1.331311113WAug 28 · 13:23J. Brynych1.5013117183O. Sebek2.5011411161WAug 28 · 12:20O. Sebek2.63411461J. Brynych1.4411711113LAug 28 · 11:50J. Rolik1.911111113J. Brynych1.808440LAug 28 · 10:50J. Brynych2.20711111162F. Musil1.61111348113WAug 16 · 13:20J. Brynych2.20911125113M. Nemec1.61119101162LAug 16 · 12:20J. Brynych3.001790R. Zeman1.361111113WAug 16 · 11:20J. Brynych2.381191011123M. Nemec1.53811126102
O. Sebek10
WSep 3 · 16:20J. Rolik1.571110110O. Sebek2.251312133LSep 3 · 15:50M. Nemec1.3311118113O. Sebek3.25871191LSep 3 · 14:50O. Sebek3.2511640J. Brynych1.331311113LAug 28 · 13:23J. Brynych1.5013117183O. Sebek2.5011411161LAug 28 · 12:20O. Sebek2.63411461J. Brynych1.4411711113LAug 28 · 11:20O. Sebek2.256870F. Musil1.571111113LAug 28 · 10:20O. Sebek2.2081111352J. Rolik1.61119911113LAug 24 · 13:59M. Nemec1.53911711113O. Sebek2.3811511932WAug 24 · 12:20J. Rolik1.57810131192O. Sebek2.251112114113LAug 24 · 11:50M. Nemec1.33111012113O. Sebek3.256121051
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