TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13071348
Played Sep 3Finished
Jakub Rolik
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
711117611119118
Jaroslav Brynych
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:28 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJaroslav Brynych to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingJakub Rolik above · Jaroslav Brynych below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 92 set 5, 11-8 — our read held Jaroslav Brynych at 54.0%
92 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Rolik 8–16 Jaroslav Brynych Jakub Rolik has won 8 of their 24 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 12:28What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Brynych
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-16 in 24
Brynych
Wrong
gap of 8 in 24, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Rolik 1407 vs Brynych 1400
Rolik
Correct
both rated, 7 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Rolik 60% vs Brynych 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Rolik 50% vs Brynych 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Rolik +2 · Brynych +3
Brynych
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Brynych)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRolik 1.91 / Brynych 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Brynych)+2.5pp
TT Cup · #13071348
Rolik1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog42% won 88 of 211
Down 0–1, comes back27% 32 of 120
Down 0–2, comes back17% 11 of 65
Brynych1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite67% won 16 of 24
Up 2–0, closes it100% 10 of 10
Up 1–0, closes it87% 13 of 15
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRolik6wins
AwayBrynych4wins
5 of 10 to a deciderRolik leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRolik100%4 of 4
AwayBrynych66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Rolik4Brynych6n = 10Brynych took 6 of 10
S2Rolik5Brynych5n = 10split evenly
S3Rolik2Brynych8n = 10Brynych took 8 of 10
S4Rolik4Brynych3n = 7Rolik took 4 of 7
S5Rolik5Brynych0n = 5Rolik took 5 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home550%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricRolikBrynychR − BBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match39.341.1−1.8per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRolikBrynychBasisWin rate · lifetime306 / 637 vs 48 / 11248%42.9%306 / 637 vs 48 / 112Avg sets wonper match2.01.8per matchAvg pointsper match39.336.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BrynychRolik 1.91/Brynych 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Brynych · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Rolik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 3 · 15:20J. Rolik—711611113J. Brynych—11711982
WAug 28 · 11:50J. Rolik—1111113J. Brynych—8440
WJul 19 · 11:20J. Rolik—138511113J. Brynych—111111552
LJul 6 · 10:50J. Rolik—714981J. Brynych—111211113
LJul 5 · 07:20J. Rolik—571171J. Brynych—11118113
LJul 3 · 16:20J. Rolik—9850J. Brynych—1111113
WJun 20 · 10:55J. Rolik—1411711123J. Brynych—166117102
WJun 12 · 16:50J. Rolik—1181112113J. Brynych—911131092
WJun 6 · 16:55J. Rolik—111471113J. Brynych—812111182
LApr 6 · 13:23J. Rolik—71160J. Brynych—1113113
J. Rolik10
LSep 4 · 17:50R. Zeman1.711114113J. Rolik2.0061260LSep 4 · 16:20M. Kolbusovsky2.751181110113J. Rolik1.4071181282WSep 4 · 15:50M. Nemec1.911171191J. Rolik1.8031113113WSep 4 · 14:50J. Rolik2.20781111113R. Zeman1.6111114462WSep 3 · 17:55J. Rolik1.801211113M. Nemec1.9010990LSep 3 · 16:20J. Rolik1.571110110O. Sebek2.251312133WSep 3 · 14:20J. Rolik1.731113512113M. Nemec2.00911111482WSep 1 · 13:30J. Rolik2.20811148123S. Matousch1.611171211102LSep 1 · 12:20P. Cibik1.50117611113J. Rolik2.5091111982WSep 1 · 11:50S. Matousch1.677611131J. Rolik2.1011119153
J. Brynych10
LSep 3 · 17:25J. Brynych1.2811681172O. Sebek3.50611117113LSep 3 · 16:50J. Brynych2.105117101M. Nemec1.6711911123WSep 3 · 14:50O. Sebek3.2511640J. Brynych1.331311113WAug 28 · 13:23J. Brynych1.5013117183O. Sebek2.5011411161WAug 28 · 12:20O. Sebek2.63411461J. Brynych1.4411711113LAug 28 · 11:50J. Rolik1.911111113J. Brynych1.808440LAug 28 · 10:50J. Brynych2.20711111162F. Musil1.61111348113WAug 16 · 13:20J. Brynych2.20911125113M. Nemec1.61119101162LAug 16 · 12:20J. Brynych3.001790R. Zeman1.361111113WAug 16 · 11:20J. Brynych2.381191011123M. Nemec1.53811126102
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