TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13032459
Played Aug 28Finished
Jakub Rolik
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
118114114––––
Jaroslav Brynych
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:52 and never touched — 61.3% is still 61.3%
Graded at full timeJaroslav Brynych to win
61.3%
61.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingJakub Rolik above · Jaroslav Brynych below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 11-4
Point 49 set 3, 11-4 — our read held Jaroslav Brynych at 61.3%
49 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Rolik 7–16 Jaroslav Brynych Jakub Rolik has won 7 of their 23 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:52What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Brynych
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-16 in 23
Brynych
Wrong
gap of 9 in 23, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Rolik 1401 vs Brynych 1388
Rolik
Correct
both rated, 12 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Rolik 80% vs Brynych 40%
Rolik
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Rolik 70% vs Brynych 30%
Rolik
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Rolik +1 · Brynych -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Brynych) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Brynych form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRolik 1.91 / Brynych 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Brynych)+2.5pp
TT Cup · #13032459
Rolik1.91
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog42% won 89 of 212
Down 0–1, comes back27% 33 of 121
Down 0–2, comes back18% 12 of 67
Brynych1.80
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite67% won 16 of 24
Up 2–0, closes it100% 10 of 10
Up 1–0, closes it86% 12 of 14
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRolik6wins
AwayBrynych4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderRolik leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRolik100%5 of 5
AwayBrynych80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Rolik5Brynych5n = 10split evenly
S2Rolik5Brynych5n = 10split evenly
S3Rolik2Brynych8n = 10Brynych took 8 of 10
S4Rolik4Brynych3n = 7Rolik took 4 of 7
S5Rolik4Brynych0n = 4Rolik took 4 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricRolikBrynychR − BBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match39.340.8−1.5per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRolikBrynychBasisWin rate · lifetime302 / 629 vs 47 / 11248%42%302 / 629 vs 47 / 112Avg sets wonper match2.01.8per matchAvg pointsper match39.236.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BrynychRolik 1.91/Brynych 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Brynych · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Rolik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 28 · 11:50J. Rolik—1111113J. Brynych—8440
WJul 19 · 11:20J. Rolik—138511113J. Brynych—111111552
LJul 6 · 10:50J. Rolik—714981J. Brynych—111211113
LJul 5 · 07:20J. Rolik—571171J. Brynych—11118113
LJul 3 · 16:20J. Rolik—9850J. Brynych—1111113
WJun 20 · 10:55J. Rolik—1411711123J. Brynych—166117102
WJun 12 · 16:50J. Rolik—1181112113J. Brynych—911131092
WJun 6 · 16:55J. Rolik—111471113J. Brynych—812111182
LApr 6 · 13:23J. Rolik—71160J. Brynych—1113113
WApr 6 · 12:20J. Rolik—12158113J. Brynych—10131191
J. Rolik10
LSep 4 · 17:50R. Zeman1.711114113J. Rolik2.0061260LSep 4 · 16:20M. Kolbusovsky2.751181110113J. Rolik1.4071181282WSep 4 · 15:50M. Nemec1.911171191J. Rolik1.8031113113WSep 4 · 14:50J. Rolik2.20781111113R. Zeman1.6111114462WSep 3 · 17:55J. Rolik1.801211113M. Nemec1.9010990LSep 3 · 16:20J. Rolik1.571110110O. Sebek2.251312133WSep 3 · 15:20J. Rolik1.91711611113J. Brynych1.8011711982WSep 3 · 14:20J. Rolik1.731113512113M. Nemec2.00911111482WSep 1 · 13:30J. Rolik2.20811148123S. Matousch1.611171211102LSep 1 · 12:20P. Cibik1.50117611113J. Rolik2.5091111982
J. Brynych10
LSep 3 · 17:25J. Brynych1.2811681172O. Sebek3.50611117113LSep 3 · 16:50J. Brynych2.105117101M. Nemec1.6711911123LSep 3 · 15:20J. Rolik1.91711611113J. Brynych1.8011711982WSep 3 · 14:50O. Sebek3.2511640J. Brynych1.331311113WAug 28 · 13:23J. Brynych1.5013117183O. Sebek2.5011411161WAug 28 · 12:20O. Sebek2.63411461J. Brynych1.4411711113LAug 28 · 10:50J. Brynych2.20711111162F. Musil1.61111348113WAug 16 · 13:20J. Brynych2.20911125113M. Nemec1.61119101162LAug 16 · 12:20J. Brynych3.001790R. Zeman1.361111113WAug 16 · 11:20J. Brynych2.381191011123M. Nemec1.53811126102
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