TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12443675
Played Aug 16Finished
Jaroslav Brynych
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
9111191210511116
Michal Nemec
Away
1.62
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
How it is goingJaroslav Brynych above · Michal Nemec below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 5-11
Set 5 · 11-6
Point 95 set 5, 11-6
95 points played in total.
H2H Jaroslav Brynych 3–17 Michal Nemec Jaroslav Brynych has won 3 of their 20 meetings.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Nemec)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Nemec form (40%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBrynych 2.20 / Nemec 1.61
Signal prob.34% / 67%
Edge (Nemec)+8.8pp
TT Cup · #12443675
Brynych2.20
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog27% won 11 of 41
Down 0–1, comes back18% 5 of 28
Down 0–2, comes back17% 3 of 18
Nemec1.61
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite63% won 90 of 143
Up 2–0, closes it88% 42 of 48
Up 1–0, closes it79% 62 of 79
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBrynych2wins
AwayNemec8wins
3 of 10 to a deciderNemec leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBrynych40%2 of 5
AwayNemec100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Brynych5Nemec5n = 10split evenly
S2Brynych2Nemec8n = 10Nemec took 8 of 10
S3Brynych4Nemec6n = 10Nemec took 6 of 10
S4Brynych2Nemec6n = 8Nemec took 6 of 8
S5Brynych1Nemec2n = 3Nemec took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricBrynychNemecB − NBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match36.942.5−5.6per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBrynychNemecBasisWin rate · lifetime46 / 109 vs 388 / 77742.2%49.9%46 / 109 vs 388 / 777Avg sets wonper match1.82.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.737.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
NemecBrynych 2.20/Nemec 1.61
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
66.5%
Nemec · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Brynych won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 16 · 11:20J. Brynych—1191011123M. Nemec—811126102
LJul 26 · 11:20J. Brynych—61280M. Nemec—1114113
LJul 19 · 13:55J. Brynych—81112582M. Nemec—1191011113
WJul 19 · 12:50J. Brynych—11811133M. Nemec—7117111
LJul 6 · 11:50J. Brynych—118591M. Nemec—91111113
LJul 5 · 06:50J. Brynych—7690M. Nemec—1111113
LJul 3 · 15:50J. Brynych—911116122M. Nemec—114911143
LJun 12 · 15:20J. Brynych—126481M. Nemec—101111113
LJun 6 · 16:25J. Brynych—881471M. Nemec—111112113
LApr 6 · 11:50J. Brynych—1151241M. Nemec—61114113
J. Brynych10
LSep 3 · 17:25J. Brynych1.2811681172O. Sebek3.50611117113LSep 3 · 16:50J. Brynych2.105117101M. Nemec1.6711911123LSep 3 · 15:20J. Rolik1.91711611113J. Brynych1.8011711982WSep 3 · 14:50O. Sebek3.2511640J. Brynych1.331311113WAug 28 · 13:23J. Brynych1.5013117183O. Sebek2.5011411161WAug 28 · 12:20O. Sebek2.63411461J. Brynych1.4411711113LAug 28 · 11:50J. Rolik1.911111113J. Brynych1.808440LAug 28 · 10:50J. Brynych2.20711111162F. Musil1.61111348113LAug 16 · 12:20J. Brynych3.001790R. Zeman1.361111113WAug 16 · 11:20J. Brynych2.381191011123M. Nemec1.53811126102
M. Nemec10
LSep 6 · 13:24M. Nemec2.457960R. Zeman1.48111183LSep 6 · 12:50M. Nemec2.2051350P. Cibik1.611115113WSep 6 · 11:20R. Zeman1.40711871M. Nemec2.7511911113WSep 6 · 10:50Z. Vyskocil1.508990M. Nemec2.501111113LSep 4 · 17:25M. Kolbusovsky2.0013117113M. Nemec1.701161171LSep 4 · 16:50R. Zeman1.441111113M. Nemec2.638770LSep 4 · 15:50M. Nemec1.911171191J. Rolik1.8031113113LSep 4 · 14:20M. Kolbusovsky2.38914116113M. Nemec1.53111241182WSep 3 · 16:50J. Brynych2.105117101M. Nemec1.6711911123LAug 16 · 11:20J. Brynych2.381191011123M. Nemec1.53811126102
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