TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13087648
Played Sep 6Finished
Michal Nemec
Home
2.45
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
71191168––––
Radek Zeman
Away
1.48
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
How it is goingMichal Nemec above · Radek Zeman below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 6-8
Point 52 set 3, 6-8
52 points played in total.
H2H Michal Nemec 63–97 Radek Zeman Michal Nemec has won 63 of their 160 meetings.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Zeman)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zeman form (40%) is below what odds imply (68%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsNemec 2.45 / Zeman 1.48
Signal prob.35% / 66%
Edge (Zeman)+3.2pp
TT Cup · #13087648
Nemec2.45
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog36% won 81 of 224
Down 0–1, comes back17% 24 of 138
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 76
Zeman1.48
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite63% won 112 of 178
Up 2–0, closes it88% 66 of 75
Up 1–0, closes it76% 88 of 116
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeNemec3wins
AwayZeman7wins
4 of 10 to a deciderZeman leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeNemec66.7%2 of 3
AwayZeman85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Nemec3Zeman7n = 10Zeman took 7 of 10
S2Nemec5Zeman5n = 10split evenly
S3Nemec2Zeman8n = 10Zeman took 8 of 10
S4Nemec6Zeman2n = 8Nemec took 6 of 8
S5Nemec1Zeman3n = 4Zeman took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricNemecZemanN − ZBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match37.541.6−4.1per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricNemecZemanBasisWin rate · lifetime375 / 778 vs 323 / 61248.2%52.8%375 / 778 vs 323 / 612Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.637.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZemanNemec 2.45/Zeman 1.48
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
65.5%
Zeman · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Zeman won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 26 · 20:50M. Nemec—8660R. Zeman—1111113
WAug 25 · 20:50M. Nemec—111411113R. Zeman—716681
LAug 23 · 16:20M. Nemec—911611102R. Zeman—115115123
WAug 21 · 21:23M. Nemec—11811143R. Zeman—9119121
LAug 21 · 20:20M. Nemec—71171152R. Zeman—117114113
LAug 20 · 20:20M. Nemec—61151292R. Zeman—1171110113
LAug 19 · 20:50M. Nemec—15970R. Zeman—1711113
WAug 16 · 10:50M. Nemec—611411113R. Zeman—11911742
LAug 13 · 20:55M. Nemec—114761R. Zeman—81111113
LAug 12 · 21:20M. Nemec—614471R. Zeman—111211113
M. Nemec10
LSep 6 · 12:50M. Nemec2.2051350P. Cibik1.611115113WSep 6 · 11:20R. Zeman1.40711871M. Nemec2.7511911113WSep 6 · 10:50Z. Vyskocil1.508990M. Nemec2.501111113LSep 4 · 17:25M. Kolbusovsky2.0013117113M. Nemec1.701161171LSep 4 · 16:50R. Zeman1.441111113M. Nemec2.638770LSep 4 · 15:50M. Nemec1.911171191J. Rolik1.8031113113LSep 4 · 14:20M. Kolbusovsky2.38914116113M. Nemec1.53111241182LSep 3 · 17:55J. Rolik1.801211113M. Nemec1.9010990WSep 3 · 16:50J. Brynych2.105117101M. Nemec1.6711911123WSep 3 · 15:50M. Nemec1.3311118113O. Sebek3.25871191
R. Zeman10
LSep 6 · 12:20R. Zeman2.1071260Z. Vyskocil1.671114113LSep 6 · 11:20R. Zeman1.40711871M. Nemec2.7511911113LSep 6 · 10:20R. Zeman2.10141380P. Cibik1.671615113WSep 4 · 17:50R. Zeman1.711114113J. Rolik2.0061260WSep 4 · 16:50R. Zeman1.441111113M. Nemec2.638770WSep 4 · 15:20M. Kolbusovsky4.3310390R. Zeman1.201211113LSep 4 · 14:50J. Rolik2.20781111113R. Zeman1.6111114462LAug 30 · 21:24P. Cibik1.731211113R. Zeman2.0010060LAug 30 · 20:20P. Cibik1.7311121110123R. Zeman2.00914812102LAug 30 · 19:50Z. Vyskocil1.8011713113R. Zeman1.913111121
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