TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13084735
Played Sep 6Finished
Zbynek Vyskocil
Home
1.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
811911911––––
Michal Nemec
Away
2.50
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:37 and never touched — 71.8% is still 71.8%
Graded at full timeZbynek Vyskocil to win
71.8%
71.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingZbynek Vyskocil above · Michal Nemec below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 59 set 3, 9-11 — our read held Zbynek Vyskocil at 71.8%
59 points played in total.
H2H Zbynek Vyskocil 1–2 Michal Nemec Zbynek Vyskocil has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:37What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Vyskocil
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-2 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vyskocil 1508 vs Nemec 1281
Vyskocil
Wrong
both rated, 227 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vyskocil 60% vs Nemec 0%
Vyskocil
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vyskocil 40% vs Nemec 20%
Vyskocil
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Vyskocil +1 · Nemec -5
Nemec
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Vyskocil) · live re-read · sealed at 72% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Nemec form (0%) is below what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVyskocil 1.50 / Nemec 2.50
Signal prob.65% / 35%
Edge (Vyskocil)+2.8pp
TT Cup · #13084735
Vyskocil1.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite57% won 68 of 120
Up 2–0, closes it97% 32 of 33
Up 1–0, closes it74% 48 of 65
Nemec2.50
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog36% won 81 of 224
Down 0–1, comes back17% 24 of 138
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 76
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeVyskocil1wins
AwayNemec2wins
3 of 3 to a deciderNemec leads 2–1, and 3 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVyskocil33.3%1 of 3
AwayNemecn = 0, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vyskocil3Nemec0n = 3Vyskocil took 3 of 3
S2Vyskocil1Nemec2n = 3Nemec took 2 of 3
S3Vyskocil1Nemec2n = 3Nemec took 2 of 3
S4Vyskocil1Nemec2n = 3Nemec took 2 of 3
S5Vyskocil1Nemec2n = 3Nemec took 2 of 3
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home133%
2–3Decider, away267%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricVyskocilNemecV − NBasisWins12−1in 3 meetingsFirst set30+3of 3Avg pointsper match46.351.0−4.7per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVyskocilNemecBasisWin rate · lifetime299 / 610 vs 377 / 78249%48.2%299 / 610 vs 377 / 782Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.537.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VyskocilVyskocil 1.50/Nemec 2.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
65.3%
Vyskocil · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Nemec won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WAug 12 · 18:20Z. Vyskocil—118127113M. Nemec—911101172
LNov 21 · 22:45Z. Vyskocil—13118682M. Nemec—1191111113
LNov 21 · 20:40Z. Vyskocil—112111282M. Nemec—7111310113
Z. Vyskocil10
LSep 6 · 22:04Z. Vyskocil1.6711111010112T. Jr2.10371212133WSep 6 · 20:55T. Jr1.73116771Z. Vyskocil2.0081111113WSep 6 · 20:25T. Rein1.40119121192Z. Vyskocil2.75311143113LSep 6 · 19:25Z. Vyskocil1.731110111162L. Vich2.00712913113WSep 6 · 13:53P. Cibik1.8091111682Z. Vyskocil1.91119711113WSep 6 · 12:20R. Zeman2.1071260Z. Vyskocil1.671114113WSep 6 · 11:50P. Cibik2.1078110Z. Vyskocil1.671111133WSep 2 · 22:35T. Barsa1.48111281182Z. Vyskocil2.455101113113LSep 2 · 21:25Z. Vyskocil2.5091211672T. Barsa1.501110911113WSep 2 · 19:55L. Vich1.831151051Z. Vyskocil1.8391112113
M. Nemec10
LSep 6 · 13:24M. Nemec2.457960R. Zeman1.48111183LSep 6 · 12:50M. Nemec2.2051350P. Cibik1.611115113WSep 6 · 11:20R. Zeman1.40711871M. Nemec2.7511911113LSep 4 · 17:25M. Kolbusovsky2.0013117113M. Nemec1.701161171LSep 4 · 16:50R. Zeman1.441111113M. Nemec2.638770LSep 4 · 15:50M. Nemec1.911171191J. Rolik1.8031113113LSep 4 · 14:20M. Kolbusovsky2.38914116113M. Nemec1.53111241182LSep 3 · 17:55J. Rolik1.801211113M. Nemec1.9010990WSep 3 · 16:50J. Brynych2.105117101M. Nemec1.6711911123WSep 3 · 15:50M. Nemec1.3311118113O. Sebek3.25871191
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