TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13085169
Played Sep 6Finished
Pavel Cibik
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
7118111113––––
Zbynek Vyskocil
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:58 and never touched — 55.8% is still 55.8%
Graded at full timeZbynek Vyskocil to win
55.8%
55.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPavel Cibik above · Zbynek Vyskocil below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-13
Point 61 set 3, 11-13 — our read held Zbynek Vyskocil at 55.8%
61 points played in total.
H2H Pavel Cibik 34–40 Zbynek Vyskocil Pavel Cibik has won 34 of their 74 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 23:58What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Vyskocil
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
34-40 in 74
Vyskocil
Correct
gap of 6 in 74, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Cibik 1515 vs Vyskocil 1486
Cibik
Wrong
both rated, 28 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Cibik 60% vs Vyskocil 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Cibik 50% vs Vyskocil 30%
Cibik
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Cibik +3 · Vyskocil -1
Cibik
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Vyskocil)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Cibik form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsCibik 2.10 / Vyskocil 1.67
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Vyskocil)+0.0pp
TT Cup · #13085169
Cibik2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog44% won 70 of 158
Down 0–1, comes back25% 22 of 87
Down 0–2, comes back12% 5 of 43
Vyskocil1.67
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As favourite57% won 68 of 120
Up 2–0, closes it97% 32 of 33
Up 1–0, closes it74% 48 of 65
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeCibik5wins
AwayVyskocil5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeCibik60%3 of 5
AwayVyskocil60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Cibik5Vyskocil5n = 10split evenly
S2Cibik5Vyskocil5n = 10split evenly
S3Cibik4Vyskocil6n = 10Vyskocil took 6 of 10
S4Cibik2Vyskocil4n = 6Vyskocil took 4 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricCibikVyskocilC − VBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match38.236.7+1.5per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricCibikVyskocilBasisWin rate · lifetime301 / 668 vs 293 / 60345.1%48.6%301 / 668 vs 293 / 603Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.038.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VyskocilCibik 2.10/Vyskocil 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.8%
Vyskocil · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Vyskocil won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 30 · 18:20P. Cibik—117791Z. Vyskocil—81111113
WAug 11 · 21:20P. Cibik—1111113Z. Vyskocil—9540
WAug 11 · 18:20P. Cibik—11811113Z. Vyskocil—711481
WJul 6 · 19:55P. Cibik—9111013113Z. Vyskocil—118121192
WJul 3 · 19:20P. Cibik—1111113Z. Vyskocil—3640
LMay 17 · 18:55P. Cibik—17108141Z. Vyskocil—151211163
LMay 1 · 21:25P. Cibik—96100Z. Vyskocil—1111123
LMay 1 · 19:50P. Cibik—8890Z. Vyskocil—1111113
LApr 1 · 19:55P. Cibik—9131171Z. Vyskocil—111113113
WMar 20 · 22:35P. Cibik—311149113Z. Vyskocil—118121152
P. Cibik10
LSep 6 · 13:53P. Cibik1.8091111682Z. Vyskocil1.91119711113WSep 6 · 12:50M. Nemec2.2051350P. Cibik1.611115113WSep 6 · 10:20R. Zeman2.10141380P. Cibik1.671615113WSep 3 · 13:33J. Vintr1.8371211101P. Cibik1.8311146123WSep 3 · 12:20S. Matousch1.57119371P. Cibik2.2581111113LSep 3 · 11:50T. Jr1.36121411113P. Cibik3.001016881LSep 3 · 10:50P. Cibik1.809860J. Vintr1.911111113LSep 2 · 18:00M. Kolbusovsky1.93911511113P. Cibik1.7811811852WSep 2 · 16:50M. Cesak1.44711415102P. Cibik2.631151113123WSep 2 · 15:50P. Cibik1.6711119123M. Nemec2.106511101
Z. Vyskocil10
LSep 6 · 22:04Z. Vyskocil1.6711111010112T. Jr2.10371212133WSep 6 · 20:55T. Jr1.73116771Z. Vyskocil2.0081111113WSep 6 · 20:25T. Rein1.40119121192Z. Vyskocil2.75311143113LSep 6 · 19:25Z. Vyskocil1.731110111162L. Vich2.00712913113WSep 6 · 13:53P. Cibik1.8091111682Z. Vyskocil1.91119711113WSep 6 · 12:20R. Zeman2.1071260Z. Vyskocil1.671114113LSep 6 · 10:50Z. Vyskocil1.508990M. Nemec2.501111113WSep 2 · 22:35T. Barsa1.48111281182Z. Vyskocil2.455101113113LSep 2 · 21:25Z. Vyskocil2.5091211672T. Barsa1.501110911113WSep 2 · 19:55L. Vich1.831151051Z. Vyskocil1.8391112113
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.