TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13086989
Played Sep 6Finished
Tomas Cerveny Jr
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
118611711711––
Zbynek Vyskocil
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:11 and never touched — 58.0% is still 58.0%
Graded at full timeTomas Cerveny Jr to win
58.0%
58.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingTomas Cerveny Jr above · Zbynek Vyskocil below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 72 set 4, 7-11 — our read held Tomas Cerveny Jr at 58.0%
72 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Cerveny Jr 25–21 Zbynek Vyskocil Zbynek Vyskocil has won 21 of their 46 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 11:11What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Jr
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
25-21 in 46
Jr
Wrong
gap of 4 in 46, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jr 1540 vs Vyskocil 1541
Vyskocil
Correct
both rated, 1 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jr 60% vs Vyskocil 80%
Vyskocil
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jr 70% vs Vyskocil 70%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Jr -2 · Vyskocil +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Jr) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vyskocil form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJr 1.73 / Vyskocil 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Jr)+0.3pp
TT Cup · #13086989
Jr1.73
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite59% won 76 of 128
Up 2–0, closes it95% 36 of 38
Up 1–0, closes it83% 57 of 69
Vyskocil2.00
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog45% won 55 of 123
Down 0–1, comes back27% 21 of 77
Down 0–2, comes back12% 5 of 41
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeJr4wins
AwayVyskocil6wins
1 of 10 to a deciderVyskocil leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJr100%3 of 3
AwayVyskocil85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jr3Vyskocil7n = 10Vyskocil took 7 of 10
S2Jr4Vyskocil6n = 10Vyskocil took 6 of 10
S3Jr6Vyskocil4n = 10Jr took 6 of 10
S4Jr2Vyskocil5n = 7Vyskocil took 5 of 7
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricJrVyskocilJ − VBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match35.836.3−0.5per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJrVyskocilBasisWin rate · lifetime341 / 626 vs 297 / 60854.5%48.9%341 / 626 vs 297 / 608Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.938.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JrJr 1.73/Vyskocil 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Jr · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Vyskocil won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 30 · 21:55T. Jr—1111113Z. Vyskocil—7270
LAug 30 · 20:50T. Jr—12514101Z. Vyskocil—141112123
WAug 27 · 22:00T. Jr—111112113Z. Vyskocil—441471
WAug 27 · 19:20T. Jr—81111133Z. Vyskocil—1197111
LAug 24 · 20:20T. Jr—6119101Z. Vyskocil—11911123
LAug 17 · 20:50T. Jr—481191Z. Vyskocil—11116113
WAug 4 · 20:25T. Jr—1110115113Z. Vyskocil—61241172
LJul 30 · 21:25T. Jr—6970Z. Vyskocil—1111113
LJul 23 · 19:20T. Jr—3101161Z. Vyskocil—11127113
LJun 25 · 18:20T. Jr—108100Z. Vyskocil—1211123
T. Jr10
WSep 6 · 22:04Z. Vyskocil1.6711111010112T. Jr2.10371212133LSep 6 · 19:55T. Jr2.00811991L. Vich1.7311811113LSep 6 · 18:55T. Jr1.50116471T. Rein2.5091111113WSep 3 · 14:04T. Jr1.171111113S. Matousch4.503530WSep 3 · 12:50J. Vintr2.381111117122T. Jr1.53913511143WSep 3 · 11:50T. Jr1.36121411113P. Cibik3.001016881WSep 3 · 10:20S. Matousch2.6381111552T. Jr1.44118411113WAug 30 · 21:55Z. Vyskocil1.807270T. Jr1.901111113LAug 30 · 20:50T. Jr1.8012514101Z. Vyskocil1.91141112123WAug 30 · 19:20P. Cibik3.25712671T. Jr1.33111011113
Z. Vyskocil10
LSep 6 · 22:04Z. Vyskocil1.6711111010112T. Jr2.10371212133WSep 6 · 20:25T. Rein1.40119121192Z. Vyskocil2.75311143113LSep 6 · 19:25Z. Vyskocil1.731110111162L. Vich2.00712913113WSep 6 · 13:53P. Cibik1.8091111682Z. Vyskocil1.91119711113WSep 6 · 12:20R. Zeman2.1071260Z. Vyskocil1.671114113WSep 6 · 11:50P. Cibik2.1078110Z. Vyskocil1.671111133LSep 6 · 10:50Z. Vyskocil1.508990M. Nemec2.501111113WSep 2 · 22:35T. Barsa1.48111281182Z. Vyskocil2.455101113113LAug 30 · 21:55Z. Vyskocil1.807270T. Jr1.901111113WAug 30 · 20:50T. Jr1.8012514101Z. Vyskocil1.91141112123
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.