TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13068262
Played Sep 3Finished
Josef Vintr
Home
2.38
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
11911131157111214
Tomas Cerveny Jr
Away
1.53
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 24:29 and never touched — 61.6% is still 61.6%
Graded at full timeTomas Cerveny Jr to win
61.6%
61.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJosef Vintr above · Tomas Cerveny Jr below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 7-11
Set 5 · 12-14
Point 104 set 5, 12-14 — our read held Tomas Cerveny Jr at 61.6%
104 points played in total.
H2H Josef Vintr 0–2 Tomas Cerveny Jr Josef Vintr has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 24:29What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Jr
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-2 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Vintr 1501 vs Jr 1564
Jr
Correct
both rated, 63 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vintr 60% vs Jr 80%
Jr
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vintr 60% vs Jr 90%
Jr
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Vintr -1 · Jr +3
Jr
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Jr) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jr form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVintr 2.38 / Jr 1.53
Signal prob.36% / 64%
Edge (Jr)+2.8pp
TT Cup · #13068262
Vintr2.38
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog43% won 13 of 30
Down 0–1, comes back25% 4 of 16
Down 0–2, comes back13% 1 of 8
Jr1.53
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite58% won 72 of 124
Up 2–0, closes it95% 35 of 37
Up 1–0, closes it82% 54 of 66
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeVintr0wins
AwayJr2wins
1 of 2 to a deciderJr leads 2–0, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
These 2 meetings
MetricVintrJrV − JBasisWins02−2in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match36.041.5−5.5per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVintrJrBasisWin rate · lifetime40 / 74 vs 339 / 62254.1%54.5%40 / 74 vs 339 / 622Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match40.537.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JrVintr 2.38/Jr 1.53
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
63.6%
Jr · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Jr won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LAug 25 · 13:38J. Vintr—10990T. Jr—1211113
LAug 25 · 10:50J. Vintr—11911582T. Jr—811811113
J. Vintr10
LSep 3 · 13:33J. Vintr1.8371211101P. Cibik1.8311146123LSep 3 · 11:20S. Matousch2.251112123J. Vintr1.57410100WSep 3 · 10:50P. Cibik1.809860J. Vintr1.911111113WSep 1 · 14:00P. Cibik1.80109120J. Vintr1.901211143WSep 1 · 12:50J. Vintr1.8091111143S. Matousch1.911138121LSep 1 · 11:20P. Cibik1.736101311133J. Vintr2.001112115112WSep 1 · 10:50J. Rolik2.2559111162J. Vintr1.57111138113WAug 26 · 17:50S. Matousch1.9581491182J. Vintr1.751112119113WAug 26 · 16:20J. Vintr2.001111113M. Cesak1.736660LAug 26 · 15:20J. Vintr2.10411971M. Juhasz1.6711711113
T. Jr10
WSep 6 · 22:04Z. Vyskocil1.6711111010112T. Jr2.10371212133LSep 6 · 20:55T. Jr1.73116771Z. Vyskocil2.0081111113LSep 6 · 19:55T. Jr2.00811991L. Vich1.7311811113LSep 6 · 18:55T. Jr1.50116471T. Rein2.5091111113WSep 3 · 14:04T. Jr1.171111113S. Matousch4.503530WSep 3 · 11:50T. Jr1.36121411113P. Cibik3.001016881WSep 3 · 10:20S. Matousch2.6381111552T. Jr1.44118411113WAug 30 · 21:55Z. Vyskocil1.807270T. Jr1.901111113LAug 30 · 20:50T. Jr1.8012514101Z. Vyskocil1.91141112123WAug 30 · 19:20P. Cibik3.25712671T. Jr1.33111011113
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