TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13056018
Played Sep 1Finished
Pavel Cibik
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
611101213111151311
Josef Vintr
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:16 and never touched — 58.1% is still 58.1%
Graded at full timePavel Cibik to win
58.1%
58.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPavel Cibik above · Josef Vintr below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 13-11
Set 4 · 11-5
Set 5 · 13-11
Point 103 set 5, 13-11 — our read held Pavel Cibik at 58.1%
103 points played in total.
H2H Pavel Cibik 6–2 Josef Vintr Josef Vintr has won 2 of their 8 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 23:16What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Cibik
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-2 in 8
Cibik
Correct
gap of 4 in 8, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Cibik 1586 vs Vintr 1497
Cibik
Correct
both rated, 89 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Cibik 60% vs Vintr 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Cibik 60% vs Vintr 30%
Cibik
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Cibik +3 · Vintr +3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Cibik)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsCibik 1.73 / Vintr 2.00
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Cibik)+4.4pp
TT Cup · #13056018
Cibik1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite60% won 58 of 96
Up 2–0, closes it96% 23 of 24
Up 1–0, closes it75% 42 of 56
Vintr2.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog43% won 12 of 28
Down 0–1, comes back25% 4 of 16
Down 0–2, comes back13% 1 of 8
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeCibik6wins
AwayVintr2wins
3 of 8 to a deciderCibik leads 6–2, and 3 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeCibik100%5 of 5
AwayVintr66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Cibik5Vintr3n = 8Cibik took 5 of 8
S2Cibik4Vintr4n = 8split evenly
S3Cibik8Vintr0n = 8Cibik took 8 of 8
S4Cibik2Vintr4n = 6Vintr took 4 of 6
S5Cibik2Vintr1n = 3Cibik took 2 of 3
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home225%
3–1Four sets, home225%
3–2Decider, home225%
2–3Decider, away113%
1–3Four sets, away113%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 8 meetings
MetricCibikVintrC − VBasisWins62+4in 8 meetingsFirst set53+2of 8Avg pointsper match43.638.5+5.1per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricCibikVintrBasisWin rate · lifetime296 / 658 vs 38 / 7145%53.5%296 / 658 vs 38 / 71Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.040.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
CibikCibik 1.73/Vintr 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.1%
Cibik · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Cibik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
LAug 14 · 14:20P. Cibik—13111110102J. Vintr—157912123
WJun 28 · 12:50P. Cibik—111211113J. Vintr—514961
WMay 10 · 17:55P. Cibik—1191111113J. Vintr—81191372
LMay 10 · 16:50P. Cibik—1081151J. Vintr—12119113
WMay 2 · 16:25P. Cibik—1211113J. Vintr—10690
WJan 22 · 11:50P. Cibik—11101110113J. Vintr—91251282
WJan 20 · 14:20P. Cibik—1111113J. Vintr—8880
WJan 20 · 12:20P. Cibik—91111113J. Vintr—114991
P. Cibik10
LSep 6 · 13:53P. Cibik1.8091111682Z. Vyskocil1.91119711113WSep 6 · 12:50M. Nemec2.2051350P. Cibik1.611115113LSep 6 · 11:50P. Cibik2.1078110Z. Vyskocil1.671111133WSep 6 · 10:20R. Zeman2.10141380P. Cibik1.671615113WSep 3 · 13:33J. Vintr1.8371211101P. Cibik1.8311146123WSep 3 · 12:20S. Matousch1.57119371P. Cibik2.2581111113LSep 3 · 11:50T. Jr1.36121411113P. Cibik3.001016881LSep 3 · 10:50P. Cibik1.809860J. Vintr1.911111113LSep 2 · 18:00M. Kolbusovsky1.93911511113P. Cibik1.7811811852WSep 2 · 16:50M. Cesak1.44711415102P. Cibik2.631151113123
J. Vintr10
LSep 3 · 13:33J. Vintr1.8371211101P. Cibik1.8311146123LSep 3 · 12:50J. Vintr2.381111117122T. Jr1.53913511143LSep 3 · 11:20S. Matousch2.251112123J. Vintr1.57410100WSep 3 · 10:50P. Cibik1.809860J. Vintr1.911111113WSep 1 · 14:00P. Cibik1.80109120J. Vintr1.901211143WSep 1 · 12:50J. Vintr1.8091111143S. Matousch1.911138121WSep 1 · 10:50J. Rolik2.2559111162J. Vintr1.57111138113WAug 26 · 17:50S. Matousch1.9581491182J. Vintr1.751112119113WAug 26 · 16:20J. Vintr2.001111113M. Cesak1.736660LAug 26 · 15:20J. Vintr2.10411971M. Juhasz1.6711711113
Upcoming Matches
P. Cibik1 of 1 neutral
J. Vintr
Nothing scheduled
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