TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13059025
Played Sep 1Finished
Pavel Cibik
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 5
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
10129111214––––
Josef Vintr
Away
1.90
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:22 and never touched — 64.0% is still 64.0%
Graded at full timePavel Cibik to win
64.0%
64.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingPavel Cibik above · Josef Vintr below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 12-14
Point 68 set 3, 12-14 — our read held Pavel Cibik at 64.0%
68 points played in total.
H2H Pavel Cibik 6–2 Josef Vintr Josef Vintr has won 2 of their 8 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:22What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Cibik
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-2 in 8
Cibik
Wrong
gap of 4 in 8, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Cibik 1586 vs Vintr 1497
Cibik
Wrong
both rated, 89 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Cibik 100% vs Vintr 80%
Cibik
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Cibik 80% vs Vintr 40%
Cibik
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Cibik +5 · Vintr +1
Cibik
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Cibik) · live re-read · sealed at 64% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vintr form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (53%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsCibik 1.80 / Vintr 1.90
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Cibik)+4.4pp
TT Cup · #13059025
Cibik1.80
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite60% won 58 of 96
Up 2–0, closes it96% 23 of 24
Up 1–0, closes it75% 42 of 56
Vintr1.90
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog43% won 12 of 28
Down 0–1, comes back25% 4 of 16
Down 0–2, comes back13% 1 of 8
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeCibik6wins
AwayVintr2wins
3 of 8 to a deciderCibik leads 6–2, and 3 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeCibik100%5 of 5
AwayVintr66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Cibik5Vintr3n = 8Cibik took 5 of 8
S2Cibik4Vintr4n = 8split evenly
S3Cibik8Vintr0n = 8Cibik took 8 of 8
S4Cibik2Vintr4n = 6Vintr took 4 of 6
S5Cibik2Vintr1n = 3Cibik took 2 of 3
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home225%
3–1Four sets, home225%
3–2Decider, home225%
2–3Decider, away113%
1–3Four sets, away113%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 8 meetings
MetricCibikVintrC − VBasisWins62+4in 8 meetingsFirst set53+2of 8Avg pointsper match43.638.5+5.1per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricCibikVintrBasisWin rate · lifetime296 / 658 vs 38 / 7145%53.5%296 / 658 vs 38 / 71Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.040.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
CibikCibik 1.80/Vintr 1.90
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.8%
Cibik · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Vintr won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
LAug 14 · 14:20P. Cibik—13111110102J. Vintr—157912123
WJun 28 · 12:50P. Cibik—111211113J. Vintr—514961
WMay 10 · 17:55P. Cibik—1191111113J. Vintr—81191372
LMay 10 · 16:50P. Cibik—1081151J. Vintr—12119113
WMay 2 · 16:25P. Cibik—1211113J. Vintr—10690
WJan 22 · 11:50P. Cibik—11101110113J. Vintr—91251282
WJan 20 · 14:20P. Cibik—1111113J. Vintr—8880
WJan 20 · 12:20P. Cibik—91111113J. Vintr—114991
P. Cibik10
LSep 6 · 13:53P. Cibik1.8091111682Z. Vyskocil1.91119711113WSep 6 · 12:50M. Nemec2.2051350P. Cibik1.611115113LSep 6 · 11:50P. Cibik2.1078110Z. Vyskocil1.671111133WSep 6 · 10:20R. Zeman2.10141380P. Cibik1.671615113WSep 3 · 13:33J. Vintr1.8371211101P. Cibik1.8311146123WSep 3 · 12:20S. Matousch1.57119371P. Cibik2.2581111113LSep 3 · 11:50T. Jr1.36121411113P. Cibik3.001016881LSep 3 · 10:50P. Cibik1.809860J. Vintr1.911111113LSep 2 · 18:00M. Kolbusovsky1.93911511113P. Cibik1.7811811852WSep 2 · 16:50M. Cesak1.44711415102P. Cibik2.631151113123
J. Vintr10
LSep 3 · 13:33J. Vintr1.8371211101P. Cibik1.8311146123LSep 3 · 12:50J. Vintr2.381111117122T. Jr1.53913511143LSep 3 · 11:20S. Matousch2.251112123J. Vintr1.57410100WSep 3 · 10:50P. Cibik1.809860J. Vintr1.911111113WSep 1 · 12:50J. Vintr1.8091111143S. Matousch1.911138121LSep 1 · 11:20P. Cibik1.736101311133J. Vintr2.001112115112WSep 1 · 10:50J. Rolik2.2559111162J. Vintr1.57111138113WAug 26 · 17:50S. Matousch1.9581491182J. Vintr1.751112119113WAug 26 · 16:20J. Vintr2.001111113M. Cesak1.736660LAug 26 · 15:20J. Vintr2.10411971M. Juhasz1.6711711113
Upcoming Matches
P. Cibik1 of 2 neutral
J. Vintr
Nothing scheduled
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