TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13071797
Played Sep 3Finished
Josef Vintr
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
71112141161012––
Pavel Cibik
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingJosef Vintr above · Pavel Cibik below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 12-14
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 10-12
Point 83 set 4, 10-12
83 points played in total.
H2H Josef Vintr 4–8 Pavel Cibik Josef Vintr has won 4 of their 12 meetings.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Cibik)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Cibik form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVintr 1.83 / Cibik 1.83
Signal prob.45% / 55%
Edge (Cibik)+4.7pp
TT Cup · #13071797
Vintr1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Cibik1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVintr4wins
AwayCibik6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderCibik leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVintr66.7%4 of 6
AwayCibik100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vintr6Cibik4n = 10Vintr took 6 of 10
S2Vintr7Cibik3n = 10Vintr took 7 of 10
S3Vintr2Cibik8n = 10Cibik took 8 of 10
S4Vintr4Cibik3n = 7Vintr took 4 of 7
S5Vintr1Cibik3n = 4Cibik took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricVintrCibikV − CBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match41.342.4−1.1per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVintrCibikBasisWin rate · lifetime40 / 75 vs 299 / 66653.3%44.9%40 / 75 vs 299 / 666Avg sets wonper match2.21.9per matchAvg pointsper match40.738.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
CibikVintr 1.83/Cibik 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.7%
Cibik · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Cibik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 3 · 10:50J. Vintr—1111113P. Cibik—9860
WSep 1 · 14:00J. Vintr—1211143P. Cibik—109120
LSep 1 · 11:20J. Vintr—1112115112P. Cibik—6101311133
LAug 14 · 17:50J. Vintr—11121091P. Cibik—61412113
WAug 14 · 14:20J. Vintr—157912123P. Cibik—13111110102
LJun 28 · 12:50J. Vintr—514961P. Cibik—111211113
LMay 10 · 17:55J. Vintr—81191372P. Cibik—1191111113
WMay 10 · 16:50J. Vintr—12119113P. Cibik—1081151
LMay 2 · 16:25J. Vintr—10690P. Cibik—1211113
LJan 22 · 11:50J. Vintr—91251282P. Cibik—11101110113
J. Vintr10
LSep 3 · 12:50J. Vintr2.381111117122T. Jr1.53913511143LSep 3 · 11:20S. Matousch2.251112123J. Vintr1.57410100WSep 3 · 10:50P. Cibik1.809860J. Vintr1.911111113WSep 1 · 14:00P. Cibik1.80109120J. Vintr1.901211143WSep 1 · 12:50J. Vintr1.8091111143S. Matousch1.911138121LSep 1 · 11:20P. Cibik1.736101311133J. Vintr2.001112115112WSep 1 · 10:50J. Rolik2.2559111162J. Vintr1.57111138113WAug 26 · 17:50S. Matousch1.9581491182J. Vintr1.751112119113WAug 26 · 16:20J. Vintr2.001111113M. Cesak1.736660LAug 26 · 15:20J. Vintr2.10411971M. Juhasz1.6711711113
P. Cibik10
LSep 6 · 13:53P. Cibik1.8091111682Z. Vyskocil1.91119711113WSep 6 · 12:50M. Nemec2.2051350P. Cibik1.611115113LSep 6 · 11:50P. Cibik2.1078110Z. Vyskocil1.671111133WSep 6 · 10:20R. Zeman2.10141380P. Cibik1.671615113WSep 3 · 12:20S. Matousch1.57119371P. Cibik2.2581111113LSep 3 · 11:50T. Jr1.36121411113P. Cibik3.001016881LSep 3 · 10:50P. Cibik1.809860J. Vintr1.911111113LSep 2 · 18:00M. Kolbusovsky1.93911511113P. Cibik1.7811811852LSep 1 · 14:00P. Cibik1.80109120J. Vintr1.901211143WSep 1 · 11:20P. Cibik1.736101311133J. Vintr2.001112115112
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