TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13049742
Played Aug 30Finished
Zbynek Vyskocil
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
711211711––––
Tomas Cerveny Jr
Away
1.90
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:27 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeTomas Cerveny Jr to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingZbynek Vyskocil above · Tomas Cerveny Jr below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 2-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 49 set 3, 7-11 — our read held Tomas Cerveny Jr at 54.0%
49 points played in total.
H2H Zbynek Vyskocil 21–25 Tomas Cerveny Jr Zbynek Vyskocil has won 21 of their 46 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:27What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Vyskocil
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
21-25 in 46
Jr
Correct
gap of 4 in 46, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vyskocil 1532 vs Jr 1549
Jr
Correct
both rated, 17 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vyskocil 80% vs Jr 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vyskocil 60% vs Jr 80%
Jr
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Vyskocil +3 · Jr -1
Vyskocil
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Vyskocil) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jr form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (53%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVyskocil 1.80 / Jr 1.90
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Vyskocil)+2.6pp
TT Cup · #13049742
Vyskocil1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite56% won 66 of 119
Up 2–0, closes it97% 32 of 33
Up 1–0, closes it73% 47 of 64
Jr1.90
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog34% won 32 of 93
Down 0–1, comes back13% 7 of 53
Down 0–2, comes back6% 2 of 35
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVyskocil6wins
AwayJr4wins
1 of 10 to a deciderVyskocil leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVyskocil85.7%6 of 7
AwayJr100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vyskocil7Jr3n = 10Vyskocil took 7 of 10
S2Vyskocil6Jr4n = 10Vyskocil took 6 of 10
S3Vyskocil4Jr6n = 10Jr took 6 of 10
S4Vyskocil5Jr2n = 7Vyskocil took 5 of 7
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricVyskocilJrV − JBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match36.335.8+0.5per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVyskocilJrBasisWin rate · lifetime302 / 614 vs 337 / 62049.2%54.4%302 / 614 vs 337 / 620Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.637.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VyskocilVyskocil 1.80/Jr 1.90
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Vyskocil · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Jr won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 30 · 21:55Z. Vyskocil—7270T. Jr—1111113
WAug 30 · 20:50Z. Vyskocil—141112123T. Jr—12514101
LAug 27 · 22:00Z. Vyskocil—441471T. Jr—111112113
LAug 27 · 19:20Z. Vyskocil—1197111T. Jr—81111133
WAug 24 · 20:20Z. Vyskocil—11911123T. Jr—6119101
WAug 17 · 20:50Z. Vyskocil—11116113T. Jr—481191
LAug 4 · 20:25Z. Vyskocil—61241172T. Jr—1110115113
WJul 30 · 21:25Z. Vyskocil—1111113T. Jr—6970
WJul 23 · 19:20Z. Vyskocil—11127113T. Jr—3101161
WJun 25 · 18:20Z. Vyskocil—1211123T. Jr—108100
Z. Vyskocil10
LSep 6 · 22:04Z. Vyskocil1.6711111010112T. Jr2.10371212133WSep 6 · 20:55T. Jr1.73116771Z. Vyskocil2.0081111113WSep 6 · 20:25T. Rein1.40119121192Z. Vyskocil2.75311143113LSep 6 · 19:25Z. Vyskocil1.731110111162L. Vich2.00712913113WSep 6 · 13:53P. Cibik1.8091111682Z. Vyskocil1.91119711113WSep 6 · 12:20R. Zeman2.1071260Z. Vyskocil1.671114113WSep 6 · 11:50P. Cibik2.1078110Z. Vyskocil1.671111133LSep 6 · 10:50Z. Vyskocil1.508990M. Nemec2.501111113WSep 2 · 22:35T. Barsa1.48111281182Z. Vyskocil2.455101113113LSep 2 · 21:25Z. Vyskocil2.5091211672T. Barsa1.501110911113
T. Jr10
WSep 6 · 22:04Z. Vyskocil1.6711111010112T. Jr2.10371212133LSep 6 · 20:55T. Jr1.73116771Z. Vyskocil2.0081111113LSep 6 · 19:55T. Jr2.00811991L. Vich1.7311811113LSep 6 · 18:55T. Jr1.50116471T. Rein2.5091111113WSep 3 · 14:04T. Jr1.171111113S. Matousch4.503530WSep 3 · 12:50J. Vintr2.381111117122T. Jr1.53913511143WSep 3 · 11:50T. Jr1.36121411113P. Cibik3.001016881WSep 3 · 10:20S. Matousch2.6381111552T. Jr1.44118411113LAug 30 · 20:50T. Jr1.8012514101Z. Vyskocil1.91141112123WAug 30 · 19:20P. Cibik3.25712671T. Jr1.33111011113
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