TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13063524
Played Sep 2Finished
Lukas Vich
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1195111012511––
Zbynek Vyskocil
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:59 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeLukas Vich to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingLukas Vich above · Zbynek Vyskocil below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 5-11
Point 74 set 4, 5-11 — our read held Lukas Vich at 54.0%
74 points played in total.
H2H Lukas Vich 52–71 Zbynek Vyskocil Lukas Vich has won 52 of their 123 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 09:59What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Vyskocil
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
52-71 in 123
Vyskocil
Correct
gap of 19 in 123, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vich 1491 vs Vyskocil 1502
Vyskocil
Correct
both rated, 12 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vich 60% vs Vyskocil 20%
Vich
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vich 60% vs Vyskocil 40%
Vich
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Vich -2 · Vyskocil +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Vich)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vyskocil form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVich 1.83 / Vyskocil 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Vich)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #13063524
Vich1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Vyskocil1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVich4wins
AwayVyskocil6wins
5 of 10 to a deciderVyskocil leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVich60%3 of 5
AwayVyskocil80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vich5Vyskocil5n = 10split evenly
S2Vich4Vyskocil6n = 10Vyskocil took 6 of 10
S3Vich6Vyskocil4n = 10Vich took 6 of 10
S4Vich5Vyskocil2n = 7Vich took 5 of 7
S5Vich1Vyskocil4n = 5Vyskocil took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricVichVyskocilVich − VyskocilBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match37.938.1−0.2per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVichVyskocilBasisWin rate · lifetime240 / 523 vs 298 / 61045.9%48.9%240 / 523 vs 298 / 610Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.738.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VichVich 1.83/Vyskocil 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Vich · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Vyskocil won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 21 · 21:55L. Vich—47111172Z. Vyskocil—111139113
LAug 21 · 20:50L. Vich—1011111102Z. Vyskocil—121186123
LAug 12 · 21:48L. Vich—412412112Z. Vyskocil—11101110133
WAug 12 · 20:50L. Vich—1111113Z. Vyskocil—6890
WAug 11 · 19:50L. Vich—811711113Z. Vyskocil—11511442
LJul 15 · 21:55L. Vich—117111162Z. Vyskocil—511113113
LJul 15 · 19:20L. Vich—116581Z. Vyskocil—81111113
WJul 8 · 21:20L. Vich—1111113Z. Vyskocil—8990
LJul 8 · 18:50L. Vich—51190Z. Vyskocil—1113113
WJul 3 · 21:25L. Vich—11511113Z. Vyskocil—511961
L. Vich10
LSep 6 · 22:35T. Rein1.921211113L. Vich1.7810540LSep 6 · 21:25L. Vich2.3858111182T. Rein1.53111175113WSep 6 · 19:55T. Jr2.00811991L. Vich1.7311811113WSep 6 · 19:25Z. Vyskocil1.731110111162L. Vich2.00712913113WSep 2 · 22:03L. Vich1.671711123M. Juhasz2.10158100WSep 2 · 20:55L. Vich1.8311113113M. Juhasz1.83891181LSep 2 · 18:55L. Vich2.205380T. Barsa1.611111113LAug 31 · 22:00L. Vich1.67111011772S. Matousch2.07512911113WAug 31 · 20:50L. Vich1.7311714113Z. Dusek2.009111241WAug 31 · 19:20S. Matousch2.2075111192L. Vich1.61111186113
Z. Vyskocil10
LSep 6 · 22:04Z. Vyskocil1.6711111010112T. Jr2.10371212133WSep 6 · 20:55T. Jr1.73116771Z. Vyskocil2.0081111113WSep 6 · 20:25T. Rein1.40119121192Z. Vyskocil2.75311143113LSep 6 · 19:25Z. Vyskocil1.731110111162L. Vich2.00712913113WSep 6 · 13:53P. Cibik1.8091111682Z. Vyskocil1.91119711113WSep 6 · 12:20R. Zeman2.1071260Z. Vyskocil1.671114113WSep 6 · 11:50P. Cibik2.1078110Z. Vyskocil1.671111133LSep 6 · 10:50Z. Vyskocil1.508990M. Nemec2.501111113WSep 2 · 22:35T. Barsa1.48111281182Z. Vyskocil2.455101113113LSep 2 · 21:25Z. Vyskocil2.5091211672T. Barsa1.501110911113
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