TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13063047
Played Sep 2Finished
Lukas Vich
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
511311811––––
Tomas Barsa
Away
1.62
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:48 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeLukas Vich to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingLukas Vich above · Tomas Barsa below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 3-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 49 set 3, 8-11 — our read held Lukas Vich at 54.0%
49 points played in total.
H2H Lukas Vich 13–11 Tomas Barsa Tomas Barsa has won 11 of their 24 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 07:48What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Barsa
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
13-11 in 24
Vich
Wrong
gap of 2 in 24, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vich 1491 vs Barsa 1546
Barsa
Correct
both rated, 55 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vich 60% vs Barsa 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vich 70% vs Barsa 50%
Vich
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Vich -1 · Barsa +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Barsa) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vich form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVich 2.20 / Barsa 1.61
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Barsa)+0.4pp
TT Cup · #13063047
Vich2.20
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog44% won 64 of 147
Down 0–1, comes back27% 24 of 89
Down 0–2, comes back12% 6 of 50
Barsa1.61
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite55% won 62 of 112
Up 2–0, closes it90% 26 of 29
Up 1–0, closes it69% 40 of 58
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVich5wins
AwayBarsa5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVich100%3 of 3
AwayBarsa71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vich3Barsa7n = 10Barsa took 7 of 10
S2Vich4Barsa6n = 10Barsa took 6 of 10
S3Vich5Barsa5n = 10split evenly
S4Vich4Barsa2n = 6Vich took 4 of 6
S5Vich2Barsa1n = 3Vich took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricVichBarsaV − BBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match35.937.2−1.3per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVichBarsaBasisWin rate · lifetime240 / 523 vs 92 / 16345.9%56.4%240 / 523 vs 92 / 163Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.740.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BarsaVich 2.20/Barsa 1.61
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.1%
Barsa · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Barsa won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 2 · 18:55L. Vich—5380T. Barsa—1111113
WAug 11 · 21:50L. Vich—41111123T. Barsa—1186101
LAug 11 · 18:50L. Vich—49100T. Barsa—1111123
WAug 6 · 19:55L. Vich—14154113T. Barsa—12131171
LJul 31 · 20:25L. Vich—961161T. Barsa—11117113
WJul 17 · 21:35L. Vich—1111113T. Barsa—4660
WJul 17 · 20:50L. Vich—1610115113T. Barsa—141231152
WJun 26 · 19:55L. Vich—413711113T. Barsa—111111742
LJun 16 · 22:35L. Vich—6980T. Barsa—1111113
LJun 16 · 21:25L. Vich—912111182T. Barsa—111494113
L. Vich10
LSep 6 · 22:35T. Rein1.921211113L. Vich1.7810540LSep 6 · 21:25L. Vich2.3858111182T. Rein1.53111175113WSep 6 · 19:55T. Jr2.00811991L. Vich1.7311811113WSep 6 · 19:25Z. Vyskocil1.731110111162L. Vich2.00712913113WSep 2 · 22:03L. Vich1.671711123M. Juhasz2.10158100WSep 2 · 20:55L. Vich1.8311113113M. Juhasz1.83891181LSep 2 · 19:55L. Vich1.831151051Z. Vyskocil1.8391112113LAug 31 · 22:00L. Vich1.67111011772S. Matousch2.07512911113WAug 31 · 20:50L. Vich1.7311714113Z. Dusek2.009111241WAug 31 · 19:20S. Matousch2.2075111192L. Vich1.61111186113
T. Barsa10
LSep 2 · 22:35T. Barsa1.48111281182Z. Vyskocil2.455101113113WSep 2 · 21:25Z. Vyskocil2.5091211672T. Barsa1.501110911113WSep 2 · 20:25T. Barsa1.7313119133M. Juhasz2.0011911111WAug 31 · 21:53T. Barsa1.5011711113Z. Vyskocil2.50811581LAug 31 · 20:55M. Juhasz2.2011411113T. Barsa1.61611961WAug 31 · 20:25Z. Vyskocil2.3861111182T. Barsa1.53111128113WAug 31 · 19:25T. Barsa1.80811118113C. Kratochvil1.9111781192LAug 27 · 21:28Z. Dusek2.2511135113T. Barsa1.578111171LAug 27 · 20:20T. Jr2.20118119113T. Barsa1.6141191182LAug 27 · 19:50Z. Dusek2.38118411113T. Barsa1.5361111562
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