TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13063833
Played Sep 2Finished
Tomas Barsa
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
13111199111311––
Martin Juhasz
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:20 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeTomas Barsa to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightpick shipped
How it is goingTomas Barsa above · Martin Juhasz below
Set 1 · 13-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 13-11
Point 88 set 4, 13-11 — our read held Tomas Barsa at 54.0%
88 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Barsa 2–2 Martin Juhasz Dead even across their 4 meetings.
Last 4 · 2–2Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 10:20What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Barsa
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-2 in 4
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Barsa 1546 vs Juhasz 1434
Barsa
Correct
both rated, 112 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Barsa 80% vs Juhasz 40%
Barsa
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Barsa 50% vs Juhasz 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Barsa +2 · Juhasz -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Barsa) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Barsa form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBarsa 1.73 / Juhasz 2.00
Signal prob.55% / 46%
Edge (Barsa)+0.8pp
TT Cup · #13063833
Barsa1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite55% won 62 of 112
Up 2–0, closes it90% 26 of 29
Up 1–0, closes it69% 40 of 58
Juhasz2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog39% won 11 of 28
Down 0–1, comes back38% 6 of 16
Down 0–2, comes back13% 1 of 8
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeBarsa2wins
AwayJuhasz2wins
2 of 4 to a deciderLevel at 2–2, and 2 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBarsan = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayJuhasz66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Barsa1Juhasz3n = 4Juhasz took 3 of 4
S2Barsa2Juhasz2n = 4split evenly
S3Barsa2Juhasz2n = 4split evenly
S4Barsa0Juhasz3n = 3Juhasz took 3 of 3
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home250%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away125%
0–3Straight, away125%
These 4 meetings
MetricBarsaJuhaszB − JBasisWins220in 4 meetingsFirst set13−2of 4Avg pointsper match40.538.0+2.5per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBarsaJuhaszBasisWin rate · lifetime92 / 163 vs 60 / 11756.4%51.3%92 / 163 vs 60 / 117Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match40.038.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BarsaBarsa 1.73/Juhasz 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.5%
Barsa · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Barsa won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LAug 31 · 20:55T. Barsa—611961M. Juhasz—11411113
LAug 17 · 20:20T. Barsa—98130M. Juhasz—1111153
WJun 16 · 19:25T. Barsa—118118113M. Juhasz—61151152
WMay 12 · 20:55T. Barsa—8111110113M. Juhasz—11641272
T. Barsa10
LSep 2 · 22:35T. Barsa1.48111281182Z. Vyskocil2.455101113113WSep 2 · 21:25Z. Vyskocil2.5091211672T. Barsa1.501110911113WSep 2 · 18:55L. Vich2.205380T. Barsa1.611111113WAug 31 · 21:53T. Barsa1.5011711113Z. Vyskocil2.50811581LAug 31 · 20:55M. Juhasz2.2011411113T. Barsa1.61611961WAug 31 · 20:25Z. Vyskocil2.3861111182T. Barsa1.53111128113WAug 31 · 19:25T. Barsa1.80811118113C. Kratochvil1.9111781192LAug 27 · 21:28Z. Dusek2.2511135113T. Barsa1.578111171LAug 27 · 20:20T. Jr2.20118119113T. Barsa1.6141191182LAug 27 · 19:50Z. Dusek2.38118411113T. Barsa1.5361111562
M. Juhasz10
LSep 2 · 22:03L. Vich1.671711123M. Juhasz2.10158100LSep 2 · 20:55L. Vich1.8311113113M. Juhasz1.83891181LSep 2 · 19:25M. Juhasz1.73511881Z. Vyskocil2.0011611113LAug 31 · 22:25C. Kratochvil1.9012811123M. Juhasz1.8010119101WAug 31 · 20:55M. Juhasz2.2011411113T. Barsa1.61611961LAug 31 · 19:55M. Juhasz1.6111128141C. Kratochvil2.2051411163WAug 31 · 18:55M. Juhasz2.001112713113Z. Vyskocil1.73610111582WAug 26 · 17:20M. Juhasz1.8051111113M. Cesak1.91115991LAug 26 · 16:50M. Juhasz1.408640S. Matousch2.751111113WAug 26 · 15:20J. Vintr2.10411971M. Juhasz1.6711711113
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.