TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13017789
Played Aug 26Finished
Martin Juhasz
Home
1.40
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
811611411––––
Simon Matousch
Away
2.75
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:58 and never touched — 72.1% is still 72.1%
Graded at full timeMartin Juhasz to win
72.1%
72.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingMartin Juhasz above · Simon Matousch below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 4-11
Point 51 set 3, 4-11 — our read held Martin Juhasz at 72.1%
51 points played in total.
H2H Martin Juhasz 4–3 Simon Matousch Simon Matousch has won 3 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 08:58What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Juhasz
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-3 in 7
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Juhasz 1448 vs Matousch 1432
Juhasz
Wrong
both rated, 16 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Juhasz 60% vs Matousch 80%
Matousch
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Juhasz 50% vs Matousch 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Juhasz +1 · Matousch +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Juhasz) · live re-read · sealed at 72% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Matousch form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJuhasz 1.40 / Matousch 2.75
Signal prob.67% / 33%
Edge (Juhasz)+0.4pp
TT Cup · #13017789
Juhasz1.40
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite68% won 44 of 65
Up 2–0, closes it91% 19 of 21
Up 1–0, closes it80% 32 of 40
Matousch2.75
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog26% won 14 of 55
Down 0–1, comes back7% 2 of 31
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 20
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeJuhasz4wins
AwayMatousch3wins
2 of 7 to a deciderJuhasz leads 4–3, and 2 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJuhasz100%4 of 4
AwayMatousch100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Juhasz4Matousch3n = 7Juhasz took 4 of 7
S2Juhasz2Matousch5n = 7Matousch took 5 of 7
S3Juhasz6Matousch1n = 7Juhasz took 6 of 7
S4Juhasz2Matousch2n = 4split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home229%
3–1Four sets, home114%
3–2Decider, home114%
2–3Decider, away114%
1–3Four sets, away114%
0–3Straight, away114%
These 7 meetings
MetricJuhaszMatouschJ − MBasisWins43+1in 7 meetingsFirst set43+1of 7Avg pointsper match35.633.3+2.3per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJuhaszMatouschBasisWin rate · lifetime60 / 114 vs 161 / 33552.6%48.1%60 / 114 vs 161 / 335Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.137.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JuhaszJuhasz 1.40/Matousch 2.75
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
66.7%
Juhasz · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Matousch won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
LAug 26 · 16:50M. Juhasz—8640S. Matousch—1111113
WAug 6 · 14:20M. Juhasz—1111113S. Matousch—3850
WJul 21 · 16:50M. Juhasz—11811113S. Matousch—511781
LJul 9 · 15:20M. Juhasz—771151S. Matousch—11118113
LJul 1 · 15:20M. Juhasz—1010111162S. Matousch—121279113
WJun 23 · 15:50M. Juhasz—117116113S. Matousch—51191182
WJun 8 · 16:50M. Juhasz—1111113S. Matousch—3860
M. Juhasz10
LSep 2 · 22:03L. Vich1.671711123M. Juhasz2.10158100LSep 2 · 20:55L. Vich1.8311113113M. Juhasz1.83891181LSep 2 · 20:25T. Barsa1.7313119133M. Juhasz2.0011911111LSep 2 · 19:25M. Juhasz1.73511881Z. Vyskocil2.0011611113LAug 31 · 22:25C. Kratochvil1.9012811123M. Juhasz1.8010119101WAug 31 · 20:55M. Juhasz2.2011411113T. Barsa1.61611961LAug 31 · 19:55M. Juhasz1.6111128141C. Kratochvil2.2051411163WAug 31 · 18:55M. Juhasz2.001112713113Z. Vyskocil1.73610111582WAug 26 · 17:20M. Juhasz1.8051111113M. Cesak1.91115991WAug 26 · 15:20J. Vintr2.10411971M. Juhasz1.6711711113
S. Matousch10
LSep 3 · 14:04T. Jr1.171111113S. Matousch4.503530LSep 3 · 12:20S. Matousch1.57119371P. Cibik2.2581111113WSep 3 · 11:20S. Matousch2.251112123J. Vintr1.57410100LSep 3 · 10:20S. Matousch2.6381111552T. Jr1.44118411113LSep 1 · 13:30J. Rolik2.20811148123S. Matousch1.611171211102LSep 1 · 12:50J. Vintr1.8091111143S. Matousch1.911138121LSep 1 · 11:50S. Matousch1.677611131J. Rolik2.1011119153LSep 1 · 10:20P. Cibik1.8351111113S. Matousch1.83118791WAug 31 · 22:00L. Vich1.67111011772S. Matousch2.07512911113LAug 31 · 20:20S. Matousch1.6712991182M. Dlask2.101011113113
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