TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13051765
Played Aug 31Finished
Martin Juhasz
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
116411119116––
Tomas Barsa
Away
1.62
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:54 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeTomas Barsa to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingMartin Juhasz above · Tomas Barsa below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 69 set 4, 11-6 — our read held Tomas Barsa at 54.0%
69 points played in total.
H2H Martin Juhasz 1–2 Tomas Barsa Martin Juhasz has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 09:54What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Barsa
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-2 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Juhasz 1450 vs Barsa 1522
Barsa
Wrong
both rated, 72 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Juhasz 60% vs Barsa 40%
Juhasz
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Juhasz 50% vs Barsa 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Juhasz -1 · Barsa +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Barsa) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Barsa form (40%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJuhasz 2.20 / Barsa 1.61
Signal prob.42% / 59%
Edge (Barsa)+0.8pp
TT Cup · #13051765
Juhasz2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog35% won 9 of 26
Down 0–1, comes back38% 6 of 16
Down 0–2, comes back13% 1 of 8
Barsa1.61
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite55% won 59 of 108
Up 2–0, closes it89% 25 of 28
Up 1–0, closes it68% 38 of 56
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeJuhasz1wins
AwayBarsa2wins
2 of 3 to a deciderBarsa leads 2–1, and 2 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Juhasz2Barsa1n = 3Juhasz took 2 of 3
S2Juhasz2Barsa1n = 3Juhasz took 2 of 3
S3Juhasz1Barsa2n = 3Barsa took 2 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home133%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away267%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricJuhaszBarsaJ − BBasisWins12−1in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match38.343.3−5.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJuhaszBarsaBasisWin rate · lifetime60 / 115 vs 90 / 16052.2%56.3%60 / 115 vs 90 / 160Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.440.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BarsaJuhasz 2.20/Barsa 1.61
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.5%
Barsa · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Juhasz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WAug 17 · 20:20M. Juhasz—1111153T. Barsa—98130
LJun 16 · 19:25M. Juhasz—61151152T. Barsa—118118113
LMay 12 · 20:55M. Juhasz—11641272T. Barsa—8111110113
M. Juhasz10
LSep 2 · 22:03L. Vich1.671711123M. Juhasz2.10158100LSep 2 · 20:55L. Vich1.8311113113M. Juhasz1.83891181LSep 2 · 20:25T. Barsa1.7313119133M. Juhasz2.0011911111LSep 2 · 19:25M. Juhasz1.73511881Z. Vyskocil2.0011611113LAug 31 · 22:25C. Kratochvil1.9012811123M. Juhasz1.8010119101LAug 31 · 19:55M. Juhasz1.6111128141C. Kratochvil2.2051411163WAug 31 · 18:55M. Juhasz2.001112713113Z. Vyskocil1.73610111582WAug 26 · 17:20M. Juhasz1.8051111113M. Cesak1.91115991LAug 26 · 16:50M. Juhasz1.408640S. Matousch2.751111113WAug 26 · 15:20J. Vintr2.10411971M. Juhasz1.6711711113
T. Barsa10
LSep 2 · 22:35T. Barsa1.48111281182Z. Vyskocil2.455101113113WSep 2 · 21:25Z. Vyskocil2.5091211672T. Barsa1.501110911113WSep 2 · 20:25T. Barsa1.7313119133M. Juhasz2.0011911111WSep 2 · 18:55L. Vich2.205380T. Barsa1.611111113WAug 31 · 21:53T. Barsa1.5011711113Z. Vyskocil2.50811581WAug 31 · 20:25Z. Vyskocil2.3861111182T. Barsa1.53111128113WAug 31 · 19:25T. Barsa1.80811118113C. Kratochvil1.9111781192LAug 27 · 21:28Z. Dusek2.2511135113T. Barsa1.578111171LAug 27 · 20:20T. Jr2.20118119113T. Barsa1.6141191182LAug 27 · 19:50Z. Dusek2.38118411113T. Barsa1.5361111562
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.