TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13029150
Played Aug 27Finished
Tomas Cerveny Jr
Home
2.20
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
114811119911118
Tomas Barsa
Away
1.62
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:59 and never touched — 61.3% is still 61.3%
Graded at full timeTomas Barsa to win
61.3%
61.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongpick shipped
How it is goingTomas Cerveny Jr above · Tomas Barsa below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 93 set 5, 11-8 — our read held Tomas Barsa at 61.3%
93 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Cerveny Jr 6–11 Tomas Barsa Tomas Cerveny Jr has won 6 of their 17 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 07:59What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Barsa
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-11 in 17
Barsa
Wrong
gap of 5 in 17, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jr 1480 vs Barsa 1548
Barsa
Wrong
both rated, 68 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jr 80% vs Barsa 60%
Jr
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jr 80% vs Barsa 60%
Jr
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Jr +4 · Barsa -2
Jr
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Barsa)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jr form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJr 2.20 / Barsa 1.61
Signal prob.39% / 61%
Edge (Barsa)+3.6pp
TT Cup · #13029150
Jr2.20
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog33% won 31 of 94
Down 0–1, comes back11% 6 of 54
Down 0–2, comes back5% 2 of 37
Barsa1.61
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite57% won 59 of 104
Up 2–0, closes it89% 25 of 28
Up 1–0, closes it68% 38 of 56
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeJr4wins
AwayBarsa6wins
5 of 10 to a deciderBarsa leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJr50%2 of 4
AwayBarsa66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jr4Barsa6n = 10Barsa took 6 of 10
S2Jr4Barsa6n = 10Barsa took 6 of 10
S3Jr5Barsa5n = 10split evenly
S4Jr3Barsa6n = 9Barsa took 6 of 9
S5Jr3Barsa2n = 5Jr took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricJrBarsaJ − BBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match39.342.3−3.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJrBarsaBasisWin rate · lifetime335 / 621 vs 88 / 15654%56.4%335 / 621 vs 88 / 156Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.840.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BarsaJr 2.20/Barsa 1.61
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
61.3%
Barsa · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Jr won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 24 · 18:20T. Jr—1141110113T. Barsa—81181282
LAug 17 · 21:20T. Jr—117971T. Barsa—91111113
LAug 17 · 18:50T. Jr—11971152T. Barsa—411116113
WAug 6 · 19:25T. Jr—711711113T. Barsa—11811982
LAug 4 · 22:23T. Jr—71211762T. Barsa—1110811113
LAug 4 · 20:55T. Jr—31080T. Barsa—1112113
WJul 31 · 22:28T. Jr—11118133T. Barsa—8911111
WJul 31 · 20:55T. Jr—811118113T. Barsa—11461172
LJul 23 · 20:20T. Jr—681181T. Barsa—11117113
LJun 22 · 19:25T. Jr—491191T. Barsa—11118113
T. Jr10
WSep 6 · 22:04Z. Vyskocil1.6711111010112T. Jr2.10371212133LSep 6 · 20:55T. Jr1.73116771Z. Vyskocil2.0081111113LSep 6 · 19:55T. Jr2.00811991L. Vich1.7311811113LSep 6 · 18:55T. Jr1.50116471T. Rein2.5091111113WSep 3 · 14:04T. Jr1.171111113S. Matousch4.503530WSep 3 · 12:50J. Vintr2.381111117122T. Jr1.53913511143WSep 3 · 11:50T. Jr1.36121411113P. Cibik3.001016881WSep 3 · 10:20S. Matousch2.6381111552T. Jr1.44118411113WAug 30 · 21:55Z. Vyskocil1.807270T. Jr1.901111113LAug 30 · 20:50T. Jr1.8012514101Z. Vyskocil1.91141112123
T. Barsa10
LSep 2 · 22:35T. Barsa1.48111281182Z. Vyskocil2.455101113113WSep 2 · 21:25Z. Vyskocil2.5091211672T. Barsa1.501110911113WSep 2 · 20:25T. Barsa1.7313119133M. Juhasz2.0011911111WSep 2 · 18:55L. Vich2.205380T. Barsa1.611111113WAug 31 · 21:53T. Barsa1.5011711113Z. Vyskocil2.50811581LAug 31 · 20:55M. Juhasz2.2011411113T. Barsa1.61611961WAug 31 · 20:25Z. Vyskocil2.3861111182T. Barsa1.53111128113WAug 31 · 19:25T. Barsa1.80811118113C. Kratochvil1.9111781192LAug 27 · 21:28Z. Dusek2.2511135113T. Barsa1.578111171LAug 27 · 19:50Z. Dusek2.38118411113T. Barsa1.5361111562
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