TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13029216
Played Aug 27Finished
Zdenek Dusek
Home
2.38
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 5
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
116811411115116
Tomas Barsa
Away
1.53
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:19 and never touched — 64.0% is still 64.0%
Graded at full timeTomas Barsa to win
64.0%
64.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingZdenek Dusek above · Tomas Barsa below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 11-5
Set 5 · 11-6
Point 84 set 5, 11-6 — our read held Tomas Barsa at 64.0%
84 points played in total.
H2H Zdenek Dusek 7–10 Tomas Barsa Zdenek Dusek has won 7 of their 17 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 08:19What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Barsa
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-10 in 17
Barsa
Wrong
gap of 3 in 17, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Dusek 1296 vs Barsa 1566
Barsa
Wrong
both rated, 270 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Dusek 0% vs Barsa 60%
Barsa
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Dusek 20% vs Barsa 70%
Barsa
Wrong
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Dusek -5 · Barsa -1
Dusek
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Barsa)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dusek form (0%) is below what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDusek 2.38 / Barsa 1.53
Signal prob.36% / 64%
Edge (Barsa)+3.2pp
TT Cup · #13029216
Dusek2.38
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog41% won 63 of 155
Down 0–1, comes back21% 17 of 81
Down 0–2, comes back5% 2 of 38
Barsa1.53
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite57% won 59 of 104
Up 2–0, closes it89% 25 of 28
Up 1–0, closes it68% 38 of 56
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDusek3wins
AwayBarsa7wins
5 of 10 to a deciderBarsa leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDusek42.9%3 of 7
AwayBarsa100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Dusek7Barsa3n = 10Dusek took 7 of 10
S2Dusek6Barsa4n = 10Dusek took 6 of 10
S3Dusek4Barsa6n = 10Barsa took 6 of 10
S4Dusek0Barsa9n = 9Barsa took 9 of 9
S5Dusek2Barsa3n = 5Barsa took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricDusekBarsaD − BBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match40.242.5−2.3per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDusekBarsaBasisWin rate · lifetime194 / 479 vs 88 / 15540.5%56.8%194 / 479 vs 88 / 155Avg sets wonper match1.82.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.340.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BarsaDusek 2.38/Barsa 1.53
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
64%
Barsa · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Dusek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 24 · 20:50Z. Dusek—11117892T. Barsa—791111113
LAug 6 · 22:00Z. Dusek—111173102T. Barsa—791111123
LAug 6 · 21:25Z. Dusek—9124111T. Barsa—111011133
LJul 20 · 19:25Z. Dusek—119881T. Barsa—81111113
WJul 13 · 21:28Z. Dusek—1110117113T. Barsa—71221162
LJul 13 · 20:20Z. Dusek—616641T. Barsa—111411113
LJun 26 · 21:55Z. Dusek—711951T. Barsa—11911113
WJun 26 · 20:55Z. Dusek—1111113T. Barsa—8860
LJun 22 · 22:30Z. Dusek—11714492T. Barsa—5111211113
WJun 22 · 20:55Z. Dusek—1110117113T. Barsa—61251172
Z. Dusek10
WAug 31 · 21:30M. Dlask1.60111241182Z. Dusek2.20714119113LAug 31 · 20:50L. Vich1.7311714113Z. Dusek2.009111241WAug 31 · 19:50Z. Dusek1.5011119113M. Dlask2.50661161LAug 31 · 18:20S. Matousch2.251111123Z. Dusek1.5736100WAug 27 · 21:28Z. Dusek2.2511135113T. Barsa1.578111171LAug 27 · 20:50Z. Vyskocil1.61821113113Z. Dusek2.20111161152LAug 27 · 18:20T. Jr1.331111153Z. Dusek3.2546130LAug 24 · 21:23T. Jr1.361111123Z. Dusek3.0067100LAug 24 · 20:50Z. Dusek2.2511117892T. Barsa1.57791111113LAug 24 · 19:20T. Jr1.3671111113Z. Dusek3.00117751
T. Barsa10
LSep 2 · 22:35T. Barsa1.48111281182Z. Vyskocil2.455101113113WSep 2 · 21:25Z. Vyskocil2.5091211672T. Barsa1.501110911113WSep 2 · 20:25T. Barsa1.7313119133M. Juhasz2.0011911111WSep 2 · 18:55L. Vich2.205380T. Barsa1.611111113WAug 31 · 21:53T. Barsa1.5011711113Z. Vyskocil2.50811581LAug 31 · 20:55M. Juhasz2.2011411113T. Barsa1.61611961WAug 31 · 20:25Z. Vyskocil2.3861111182T. Barsa1.53111128113WAug 31 · 19:25T. Barsa1.80811118113C. Kratochvil1.9111781192LAug 27 · 21:28Z. Dusek2.2511135113T. Barsa1.578111171WAug 24 · 20:50Z. Dusek2.2511117892T. Barsa1.57791111113
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