TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13001233
Played Aug 24Finished
Zdenek Dusek
Home
2.25
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
117119711811911
Tomas Barsa
Away
1.57
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:29 and never touched — 66.9% is still 66.9%
Graded at full timeTomas Barsa to win
66.9%
66.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingZdenek Dusek above · Tomas Barsa below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 95 set 5, 9-11 — our read held Tomas Barsa at 66.9%
95 points played in total.
H2H Zdenek Dusek 7–9 Tomas Barsa Zdenek Dusek has won 7 of their 16 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 09:29What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Barsa
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-9 in 16
Barsa
Correct
gap of 2 in 16, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Dusek 1329 vs Barsa 1552
Barsa
Correct
both rated, 223 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Dusek 20% vs Barsa 80%
Barsa
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Dusek 30% vs Barsa 60%
Barsa
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Dusek -2 · Barsa +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Barsa)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Barsa form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDusek 2.25 / Barsa 1.57
Signal prob.33% / 67%
Edge (Barsa)+8.0pp
TT Cup · #13001233
Dusek2.25
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog42% won 64 of 154
Down 0–1, comes back22% 17 of 79
Down 0–2, comes back5% 2 of 37
Barsa1.57
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite56% won 56 of 100
Up 2–0, closes it89% 23 of 26
Up 1–0, closes it67% 36 of 54
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDusek3wins
AwayBarsa7wins
4 of 10 to a deciderBarsa leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDusek50%3 of 6
AwayBarsa100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Dusek6Barsa4n = 10Dusek took 6 of 10
S2Dusek5Barsa5n = 10split evenly
S3Dusek4Barsa6n = 10Barsa took 6 of 10
S4Dusek0Barsa8n = 8Barsa took 8 of 8
S5Dusek2Barsa2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricDusekBarsaD − BBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match38.141.1−3.0per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDusekBarsaBasisWin rate · lifetime196 / 480 vs 86 / 15240.8%56.6%196 / 480 vs 86 / 152Avg sets wonper match1.92.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.440.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BarsaDusek 2.25/Barsa 1.57
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.9%
Barsa · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Barsa won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 6 · 22:00Z. Dusek—111173102T. Barsa—791111123
LAug 6 · 21:25Z. Dusek—9124111T. Barsa—111011133
LJul 20 · 19:25Z. Dusek—119881T. Barsa—81111113
WJul 13 · 21:28Z. Dusek—1110117113T. Barsa—71221162
LJul 13 · 20:20Z. Dusek—616641T. Barsa—111411113
LJun 26 · 21:55Z. Dusek—711951T. Barsa—11911113
WJun 26 · 20:55Z. Dusek—1111113T. Barsa—8860
LJun 22 · 22:30Z. Dusek—11714492T. Barsa—5111211113
WJun 22 · 20:55Z. Dusek—1110117113T. Barsa—61251172
LJun 8 · 20:55Z. Dusek—11860T. Barsa—1311113
Z. Dusek10
WAug 31 · 21:30M. Dlask1.60111241182Z. Dusek2.20714119113LAug 31 · 20:50L. Vich1.7311714113Z. Dusek2.009111241WAug 31 · 19:50Z. Dusek1.5011119113M. Dlask2.50661161LAug 31 · 18:20S. Matousch2.251111123Z. Dusek1.5736100WAug 27 · 21:28Z. Dusek2.2511135113T. Barsa1.578111171LAug 27 · 20:50Z. Vyskocil1.61821113113Z. Dusek2.20111161152WAug 27 · 19:50Z. Dusek2.38118411113T. Barsa1.5361111562LAug 27 · 18:20T. Jr1.331111153Z. Dusek3.2546130LAug 24 · 21:23T. Jr1.361111123Z. Dusek3.0067100LAug 24 · 19:20T. Jr1.3671111113Z. Dusek3.00117751
T. Barsa10
LSep 2 · 22:35T. Barsa1.48111281182Z. Vyskocil2.455101113113WSep 2 · 21:25Z. Vyskocil2.5091211672T. Barsa1.501110911113WSep 2 · 20:25T. Barsa1.7313119133M. Juhasz2.0011911111WSep 2 · 18:55L. Vich2.205380T. Barsa1.611111113WAug 31 · 21:53T. Barsa1.5011711113Z. Vyskocil2.50811581LAug 31 · 20:55M. Juhasz2.2011411113T. Barsa1.61611961WAug 31 · 20:25Z. Vyskocil2.3861111182T. Barsa1.53111128113WAug 31 · 19:25T. Barsa1.80811118113C. Kratochvil1.9111781192LAug 27 · 21:28Z. Dusek2.2511135113T. Barsa1.578111171LAug 27 · 19:50Z. Dusek2.38118411113T. Barsa1.5361111562
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