TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13051645
Played Aug 31Finished
Simon Matousch
Home
2.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1131161210––––
Zdenek Dusek
Away
1.57
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:25 and never touched — 54.5% is still 54.5%
Graded at full timeZdenek Dusek to win
54.5%
54.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongpick shipped
How it is goingSimon Matousch above · Zdenek Dusek below
Set 1 · 11-3
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 12-10
Point 53 set 3, 12-10 — our read held Zdenek Dusek at 54.5%
53 points played in total.
H2H Simon Matousch 0–2 Zdenek Dusek Simon Matousch has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 09:25What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Dusek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-2 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Matousch 1432 vs Dusek 1346
Matousch
Correct
both rated, 86 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Matousch 60% vs Dusek 40%
Matousch
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Matousch 60% vs Dusek 30%
Matousch
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Matousch -1 · Dusek +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Dusek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dusek form (40%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMatousch 2.25 / Dusek 1.57
Signal prob.46% / 55%
Edge (Matousch)+4.4pp
TT Cup · #13051645
Matousch2.25
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog29% won 17 of 59
Down 0–1, comes back9% 3 of 33
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 20
Dusek1.57
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite43% won 16 of 37
Up 2–0, closes it71% 5 of 7
Up 1–0, closes it63% 12 of 19
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeMatousch0wins
AwayDusek2wins
1 of 2 to a deciderDusek leads 2–0, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
These 2 meetings
MetricMatouschDusekM − DBasisWins02−2in 2 meetingsFirst set02−2of 2Avg pointsper match31.039.0−8.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMatouschDusekBasisWin rate · lifetime161 / 335 vs 196 / 48248.1%40.7%161 / 335 vs 196 / 482Avg sets wonper match2.01.8per matchAvg pointsper match37.237.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MatouschMatousch 2.25/Dusek 1.57
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.5%
Dusek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Matousch won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LAug 10 · 17:28S. Matousch—81111862Z. Dusek—114811113
LAug 10 · 16:20S. Matousch—7650Z. Dusek—1111113
S. Matousch10
LSep 3 · 14:04T. Jr1.171111113S. Matousch4.503530LSep 3 · 12:20S. Matousch1.57119371P. Cibik2.2581111113WSep 3 · 11:20S. Matousch2.251112123J. Vintr1.57410100LSep 3 · 10:20S. Matousch2.6381111552T. Jr1.44118411113LSep 1 · 13:30J. Rolik2.20811148123S. Matousch1.611171211102LSep 1 · 12:50J. Vintr1.8091111143S. Matousch1.911138121LSep 1 · 11:50S. Matousch1.677611131J. Rolik2.1011119153LSep 1 · 10:20P. Cibik1.8351111113S. Matousch1.83118791WAug 31 · 22:00L. Vich1.67111011772S. Matousch2.07512911113LAug 31 · 20:20S. Matousch1.6712991182M. Dlask2.101011113113
Z. Dusek10
WAug 31 · 21:30M. Dlask1.60111241182Z. Dusek2.20714119113LAug 31 · 20:50L. Vich1.7311714113Z. Dusek2.009111241WAug 31 · 19:50Z. Dusek1.5011119113M. Dlask2.50661161WAug 27 · 21:28Z. Dusek2.2511135113T. Barsa1.578111171LAug 27 · 20:50Z. Vyskocil1.61821113113Z. Dusek2.20111161152WAug 27 · 19:50Z. Dusek2.38118411113T. Barsa1.5361111562LAug 27 · 18:20T. Jr1.331111153Z. Dusek3.2546130LAug 24 · 21:23T. Jr1.361111123Z. Dusek3.0067100LAug 24 · 20:50Z. Dusek2.2511117892T. Barsa1.57791111113LAug 24 · 19:20T. Jr1.3671111113Z. Dusek3.00117751
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