TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13007160
Played Aug 24Finished
Tomas Cerveny Jr
Home
1.36
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1161171210––––
Zdenek Dusek
Away
3.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
How it is goingTomas Cerveny Jr above · Zdenek Dusek below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 12-10
Point 57 set 3, 12-10
57 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Cerveny Jr 30–10 Zdenek Dusek Zdenek Dusek has won 10 of their 40 meetings.
Signal confidence: 80% — Strong (leans Jr)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dusek form (20%) is below what odds imply (33%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJr 1.36 / Dusek 3.00
Signal prob.80% / 20%
Edge (Jr)+11.0pp
TT Cup · #13007160
Jr1.36
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite58% won 77 of 133
Up 2–0, closes it93% 39 of 42
Up 1–0, closes it80% 59 of 74
Dusek3.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog42% won 64 of 154
Down 0–1, comes back22% 17 of 79
Down 0–2, comes back5% 2 of 37
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeJr9wins
AwayDusek1wins
2 of 10 to a deciderJr leads 9–1, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJr100%6 of 6
AwayDusek25%1 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jr6Dusek4n = 10Jr took 6 of 10
S2Jr6Dusek4n = 10Jr took 6 of 10
S3Jr6Dusek4n = 10Jr took 6 of 10
S4Jr8Dusek1n = 9Jr took 8 of 9
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home660%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricJrDusekJ − DBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match42.433.9+8.5per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJrDusekBasisWin rate · lifetime332 / 622 vs 196 / 48153.4%40.8%332 / 622 vs 196 / 481Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.737.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JrJr 1.36/Dusek 3.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
79.8%
Jr · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Jr won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 24 · 19:20T. Jr—71111113Z. Dusek—117751
WAug 6 · 20:25T. Jr—11911113Z. Dusek—911861
WAug 2 · 21:23T. Jr—11116113Z. Dusek—771141
WAug 2 · 18:20T. Jr—1110911113Z. Dusek—41211672
WJul 30 · 21:53T. Jr—1111113Z. Dusek—8360
LJul 30 · 19:55T. Jr—11911111Z. Dusek—13118133
WJun 22 · 19:55T. Jr—8111011113Z. Dusek—11712332
WJun 21 · 22:00T. Jr—12144113Z. Dusek—10121181
WJun 21 · 20:25T. Jr—11811133Z. Dusek—7116111
WJun 8 · 22:00T. Jr—81111113Z. Dusek—117951
T. Jr10
WSep 6 · 22:04Z. Vyskocil1.6711111010112T. Jr2.10371212133LSep 6 · 20:55T. Jr1.73116771Z. Vyskocil2.0081111113LSep 6 · 19:55T. Jr2.00811991L. Vich1.7311811113LSep 6 · 18:55T. Jr1.50116471T. Rein2.5091111113WSep 3 · 14:04T. Jr1.171111113S. Matousch4.503530WSep 3 · 12:50J. Vintr2.381111117122T. Jr1.53913511143WSep 3 · 11:50T. Jr1.36121411113P. Cibik3.001016881WSep 3 · 10:20S. Matousch2.6381111552T. Jr1.44118411113WAug 30 · 21:55Z. Vyskocil1.807270T. Jr1.901111113LAug 30 · 20:50T. Jr1.8012514101Z. Vyskocil1.91141112123
Z. Dusek10
WAug 31 · 21:30M. Dlask1.60111241182Z. Dusek2.20714119113LAug 31 · 20:50L. Vich1.7311714113Z. Dusek2.009111241WAug 31 · 19:50Z. Dusek1.5011119113M. Dlask2.50661161LAug 31 · 18:20S. Matousch2.251111123Z. Dusek1.5736100WAug 27 · 21:28Z. Dusek2.2511135113T. Barsa1.578111171LAug 27 · 20:50Z. Vyskocil1.61821113113Z. Dusek2.20111161152WAug 27 · 19:50Z. Dusek2.38118411113T. Barsa1.5361111562LAug 27 · 18:20T. Jr1.331111153Z. Dusek3.2546130LAug 24 · 20:50Z. Dusek2.2511117892T. Barsa1.57791111113LAug 24 · 19:20T. Jr1.3671111113Z. Dusek3.00117751
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.