TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13051531
Played Aug 31Finished
Lukas Vich
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1197111412114––
Zdenek Dusek
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:55 and never touched — 56.9% is still 56.9%
Graded at full timeLukas Vich to win
56.9%
56.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingLukas Vich above · Zdenek Dusek below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 14-12
Set 4 · 11-4
Point 79 set 4, 11-4 — our read held Lukas Vich at 56.9%
79 points played in total.
H2H Lukas Vich 64–44 Zdenek Dusek Zdenek Dusek has won 44 of their 108 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 08:55What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Vich
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
64-44 in 108
Vich
Correct
gap of 20 in 108, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vich 1532 vs Dusek 1345
Vich
Correct
both rated, 186 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vich 60% vs Dusek 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vich 70% vs Dusek 30%
Vich
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Vich +2 · Dusek +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Vich)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVich 1.73 / Dusek 2.00
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Vich)+3.2pp
TT Cup · #13051531
Vich1.73
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite46% won 34 of 74
Up 2–0, closes it79% 11 of 14
Up 1–0, closes it61% 20 of 33
Dusek2.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog41% won 63 of 153
Down 0–1, comes back22% 17 of 79
Down 0–2, comes back6% 2 of 36
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVich7wins
AwayDusek3wins
4 of 10 to a deciderVich leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVich100%5 of 5
AwayDusek60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vich5Dusek5n = 10split evenly
S2Vich5Dusek5n = 10split evenly
S3Vich6Dusek4n = 10Vich took 6 of 10
S4Vich6Dusek3n = 9Vich took 6 of 9
S5Vich3Dusek1n = 4Vich took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricVichDusekV − DBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match41.540.4+1.1per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVichDusekBasisWin rate · lifetime240 / 521 vs 197 / 48546.1%40.6%240 / 521 vs 197 / 485Avg sets wonper match2.01.8per matchAvg pointsper match38.737.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VichVich 1.73/Dusek 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.9%
Vich · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Vich won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 31 · 20:50L. Vich—11714113Z. Dusek—9111241
WAug 6 · 18:55L. Vich—11127113Z. Dusek—7101171
LAug 5 · 18:50L. Vich—8101171Z. Dusek—11127113
WJun 29 · 20:25L. Vich—115511123Z. Dusek—911117102
WJun 26 · 19:25L. Vich—1311911123Z. Dusek—1181113102
WJun 21 · 18:55L. Vich—1041111113Z. Dusek—12119562
LJun 14 · 18:55L. Vich—7111241Z. Dusek—11614113
WJun 7 · 22:00L. Vich—71211113Z. Dusek—1110861
LJun 7 · 21:25L. Vich—75111132Z. Dusek—111155113
WJun 5 · 20:25L. Vich—1311123Z. Dusek—117100
L. Vich10
LSep 6 · 22:35T. Rein1.921211113L. Vich1.7810540LSep 6 · 21:25L. Vich2.3858111182T. Rein1.53111175113WSep 6 · 19:55T. Jr2.00811991L. Vich1.7311811113WSep 6 · 19:25Z. Vyskocil1.731110111162L. Vich2.00712913113WSep 2 · 22:03L. Vich1.671711123M. Juhasz2.10158100WSep 2 · 20:55L. Vich1.8311113113M. Juhasz1.83891181LSep 2 · 19:55L. Vich1.831151051Z. Vyskocil1.8391112113LSep 2 · 18:55L. Vich2.205380T. Barsa1.611111113LAug 31 · 22:00L. Vich1.67111011772S. Matousch2.07512911113WAug 31 · 19:20S. Matousch2.2075111192L. Vich1.61111186113
Z. Dusek10
WAug 31 · 21:30M. Dlask1.60111241182Z. Dusek2.20714119113WAug 31 · 19:50Z. Dusek1.5011119113M. Dlask2.50661161LAug 31 · 18:20S. Matousch2.251111123Z. Dusek1.5736100WAug 27 · 21:28Z. Dusek2.2511135113T. Barsa1.578111171LAug 27 · 20:50Z. Vyskocil1.61821113113Z. Dusek2.20111161152WAug 27 · 19:50Z. Dusek2.38118411113T. Barsa1.5361111562LAug 27 · 18:20T. Jr1.331111153Z. Dusek3.2546130LAug 24 · 21:23T. Jr1.361111123Z. Dusek3.0067100LAug 24 · 20:50Z. Dusek2.2511117892T. Barsa1.57791111113LAug 24 · 19:20T. Jr1.3671111113Z. Dusek3.00117751
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