TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13063539
Played Sep 2Finished
Lukas Vich
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
118119311118––
Martin Juhasz
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:59 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeLukas Vich to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingLukas Vich above · Martin Juhasz below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 3-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 72 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Lukas Vich at 54.0%
72 points played in total.
H2H Lukas Vich 8–5 Martin Juhasz Martin Juhasz has won 5 of their 13 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 09:59What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Juhasz
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-5 in 13
Vich
Correct
gap of 3 in 13, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vich 1479 vs Juhasz 1426
Vich
Correct
both rated, 53 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vich 40% vs Juhasz 20%
Vich
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vich 50% vs Juhasz 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Vich -3 · Juhasz -3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Vich)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Juhasz form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVich 1.83 / Juhasz 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Vich)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #13063539
Vich1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Juhasz1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVich7wins
AwayJuhasz3wins
5 of 10 to a deciderVich leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVich80%4 of 5
AwayJuhasz40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vich5Juhasz5n = 10split evenly
S2Vich7Juhasz3n = 10Vich took 7 of 10
S3Vich4Juhasz6n = 10Juhasz took 6 of 10
S4Vich6Juhasz0n = 6Vich took 6 of 6
S5Vich3Juhasz2n = 5Vich took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricVichJuhaszV − JBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match41.137.9+3.2per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVichJuhaszBasisWin rate · lifetime239 / 522 vs 59 / 11745.8%50.4%239 / 522 vs 59 / 117Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.738.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VichVich 1.83/Juhasz 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Vich · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Vich won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJun 21 · 22:30L. Vich—1412113M. Juhasz—121090
WJun 21 · 19:55L. Vich—811811123M. Juhasz—119119102
WJun 16 · 20:25L. Vich—11116113M. Juhasz—651191
LJun 14 · 19:55L. Vich—810111182M. Juhasz—111284113
LMay 31 · 21:25L. Vich—7990M. Juhasz—1111113
LMay 28 · 20:55L. Vich—111251192M. Juhasz—614118113
WMay 12 · 20:25L. Vich—911711113M. Juhasz—11611492
WApr 29 · 18:20L. Vich—912411113M. Juhasz—111011382
WApr 13 · 22:25L. Vich—1211113M. Juhasz—10970
WApr 13 · 21:25L. Vich—1211113M. Juhasz—10990
L. Vich10
LSep 6 · 22:35T. Rein1.921211113L. Vich1.7810540LSep 6 · 21:25L. Vich2.3858111182T. Rein1.53111175113WSep 6 · 19:55T. Jr2.00811991L. Vich1.7311811113WSep 6 · 19:25Z. Vyskocil1.731110111162L. Vich2.00712913113WSep 2 · 22:03L. Vich1.671711123M. Juhasz2.10158100LSep 2 · 19:55L. Vich1.831151051Z. Vyskocil1.8391112113LSep 2 · 18:55L. Vich2.205380T. Barsa1.611111113LAug 31 · 22:00L. Vich1.67111011772S. Matousch2.07512911113WAug 31 · 20:50L. Vich1.7311714113Z. Dusek2.009111241WAug 31 · 19:20S. Matousch2.2075111192L. Vich1.61111186113
M. Juhasz10
LSep 2 · 22:03L. Vich1.671711123M. Juhasz2.10158100LSep 2 · 20:25T. Barsa1.7313119133M. Juhasz2.0011911111LSep 2 · 19:25M. Juhasz1.73511881Z. Vyskocil2.0011611113LAug 31 · 22:25C. Kratochvil1.9012811123M. Juhasz1.8010119101WAug 31 · 20:55M. Juhasz2.2011411113T. Barsa1.61611961LAug 31 · 19:55M. Juhasz1.6111128141C. Kratochvil2.2051411163WAug 31 · 18:55M. Juhasz2.001112713113Z. Vyskocil1.73610111582WAug 26 · 17:20M. Juhasz1.8051111113M. Cesak1.91115991LAug 26 · 16:50M. Juhasz1.408640S. Matousch2.751111113WAug 26 · 15:20J. Vintr2.10411971M. Juhasz1.6711711113
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