TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13089497
Played Sep 6Finished
Tomas Rein
Home
1.92
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1210115114––––
Lukas Vich
Away
1.78
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:00 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeLukas Vich to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingTomas Rein above · Lukas Vich below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-4
Point 53 set 3, 11-4 — our read held Lukas Vich at 54.0%
53 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Rein 23–19 Lukas Vich Lukas Vich has won 19 of their 42 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:00What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.78 (52%)
Vich
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
23-19 in 42
Rein
Correct
gap of 4 in 42, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Rein 1525 vs Vich 1522
Rein
Correct
both rated, 3 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Rein 80% vs Vich 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Rein 50% vs Vich 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Rein +1 · Vich -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Vich) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vich form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRein 1.92 / Vich 1.78
Signal prob.45% / 55%
Edge (Vich)+2.8pp
TT Cup · #13089497
Rein1.92
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog35% won 95 of 271
Down 0–1, comes back21% 33 of 159
Down 0–2, comes back7% 6 of 87
Vich1.78
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite49% won 37 of 76
Up 2–0, closes it88% 14 of 16
Up 1–0, closes it61% 22 of 36
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRein8wins
AwayVich2wins
3 of 10 to a deciderRein leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRein88.9%8 of 9
AwayVichn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Rein9Vich1n = 10Rein took 9 of 10
S2Rein8Vich2n = 10Rein took 8 of 10
S3Rein5Vich5n = 10split evenly
S4Rein3Vich4n = 7Vich took 4 of 7
S5Rein2Vich1n = 3Rein took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricReinVichR − VBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set91+8of 10Avg pointsper match41.134.0+7.1per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricReinVichBasisWin rate · lifetime385 / 832 vs 240 / 51746.3%46.4%385 / 832 vs 240 / 517Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.038.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VichRein 1.92/Vich 1.78
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.7%
Vich · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Rein won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 6 · 21:25T. Rein—111175113L. Vich—58111182
WMay 5 · 18:20T. Rein—11118113L. Vich—971191
WApr 30 · 20:50T. Rein—11119143L. Vich—2711121
LApr 29 · 20:50T. Rein—8111281L. Vich—111310113
WApr 19 · 21:50T. Rein—1111910153L. Vich—541112132
WApr 19 · 19:50T. Rein—1111113L. Vich—7660
LMar 27 · 21:50T. Rein—111110362L. Vich—971211113
WMar 18 · 22:55T. Rein—111211113L. Vich—714471
WMar 18 · 19:20T. Rein—1111113L. Vich—4570
WMar 8 · 23:30T. Rein—1111113L. Vich—6970
T. Rein10
WSep 6 · 21:25L. Vich2.3858111182T. Rein1.53111175113LSep 6 · 20:25T. Rein1.40119121192Z. Vyskocil2.75311143113WSep 6 · 18:55T. Jr1.50116471T. Rein2.5091111113WSep 5 · 10:20T. Rein1.73771211113P. Vodal2.00111110972WSep 5 · 08:55T. Rein1.80141114163P. Vodal1.91121312141WSep 5 · 07:55T. Rein4.00981111113T. Hnizdil1.2211119572LSep 5 · 06:55T. Rein1.9113661142B. Budik1.801111119113LSep 3 · 14:09T. Hnizdil1.251111113T. Rein3.753990LSep 3 · 12:55V. Koutnik1.611181110113T. Rein2.2091181272LSep 3 · 12:25O. Knazik1.401111113T. Rein2.753540
L. Vich10
LSep 6 · 21:25L. Vich2.3858111182T. Rein1.53111175113WSep 6 · 19:55T. Jr2.00811991L. Vich1.7311811113WSep 6 · 19:25Z. Vyskocil1.731110111162L. Vich2.00712913113WSep 2 · 22:03L. Vich1.671711123M. Juhasz2.10158100WSep 2 · 20:55L. Vich1.8311113113M. Juhasz1.83891181LSep 2 · 19:55L. Vich1.831151051Z. Vyskocil1.8391112113LSep 2 · 18:55L. Vich2.205380T. Barsa1.611111113LAug 31 · 22:00L. Vich1.67111011772S. Matousch2.07512911113WAug 31 · 20:50L. Vich1.7311714113Z. Dusek2.009111241WAug 31 · 19:20S. Matousch2.2075111192L. Vich1.61111186113
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