TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13068175
Played Sep 3Finished
Vojtech Koutnik
Home
1.62
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1198111181012117
Tomas Rein
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 7Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 7
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:48 and never touched — 58.9% is still 58.9%
Graded at full timeVojtech Koutnik to win
58.9%
58.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightpick shipped
How it is goingVojtech Koutnik above · Tomas Rein below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 10-12
Set 5 · 11-7
Point 98 set 5, 11-7 — our read held Vojtech Koutnik at 58.9%
98 points played in total.
H2H Vojtech Koutnik 14–8 Tomas Rein Tomas Rein has won 8 of their 22 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 23:48What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Koutnik
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
14-8 in 22
Koutnik
Correct
gap of 6 in 22, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Koutnik 1562 vs Rein 1460
Koutnik
Correct
both rated, 102 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Koutnik 60% vs Rein 0%
Koutnik
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Koutnik 70% vs Rein 30%
Koutnik
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Koutnik +1 · Rein -5
Rein
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Koutnik) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Rein form (0%) is below what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKoutnik 1.61 / Rein 2.20
Signal prob.61% / 39%
Edge (Koutnik)+3.2pp
TT Cup · #13068175
Koutnik1.61
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite60% won 34 of 57
Up 2–0, closes it87% 13 of 15
Up 1–0, closes it64% 23 of 36
Rein2.20
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 7
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog35% won 95 of 268
Down 0–1, comes back21% 32 of 155
Down 0–2, comes back6% 5 of 84
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKoutnik7wins
AwayRein3wins
4 of 10 to a deciderKoutnik leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKoutnik60%3 of 5
AwayRein20%1 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Koutnik5Rein5n = 10split evenly
S2Koutnik4Rein6n = 10Rein took 6 of 10
S3Koutnik5Rein5n = 10split evenly
S4Koutnik6Rein4n = 10Koutnik took 6 of 10
S5Koutnik4Rein0n = 4Koutnik took 4 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKoutnikReinK − RBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match44.240.3+3.9per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKoutnikReinBasisWin rate · lifetime153 / 333 vs 383 / 82746%46.3%153 / 333 vs 383 / 827Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.136.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KoutnikKoutnik 1.61/Rein 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.9%
Koutnik · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Koutnik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 26 · 10:55V. Koutnik—118311113T. Rein—81111872
WAug 20 · 14:04V. Koutnik—791111113T. Rein—11119662
LAug 20 · 12:55V. Koutnik—1196161T. Rein—41111183
LAug 16 · 12:55V. Koutnik—11125101T. Rein—71411123
WJul 27 · 18:00V. Koutnik—1011119113T. Rein—12781132
LJul 27 · 17:25V. Koutnik—10101451T. Rein—121212113
WJul 21 · 17:25V. Koutnik—1214611113T. Rein—141211892
WJul 19 · 06:55V. Koutnik—101111113T. Rein—129921
WJul 17 · 15:25V. Koutnik—11115113T. Rein—551141
WJun 28 · 14:00V. Koutnik—111011113T. Rein—612551
V. Koutnik10
LSep 3 · 14:39V. Koutnik2.25441161O. Knazik1.5711119113WSep 3 · 11:55V. Koutnik2.751211113T. Hnizdil1.4010460LSep 3 · 10:55V. Koutnik2.20118971O. Knazik1.6161111113WAug 26 · 14:35F. Dvorak1.4581070V. Koutnik2.601112113WAug 26 · 13:25A. Jr2.50119661V. Koutnik1.5091111113LAug 26 · 12:25V. Koutnik2.63671181F. Dvorak1.4411116113WAug 26 · 10:55T. Rein2.2581111872V. Koutnik1.57118311113WAug 25 · 14:10S. Matousch2.268850V. Koutnik1.521111113LAug 25 · 12:50T. Jr2.381011814113V. Koutnik1.53128111252WAug 25 · 11:50V. Koutnik1.5061113113J. Vintr2.501111151
T. Rein10
WSep 6 · 22:35T. Rein1.921211113L. Vich1.7810540WSep 6 · 21:25L. Vich2.3858111182T. Rein1.53111175113LSep 6 · 20:25T. Rein1.40119121192Z. Vyskocil2.75311143113WSep 6 · 18:55T. Jr1.50116471T. Rein2.5091111113WSep 5 · 10:20T. Rein1.73771211113P. Vodal2.00111110972WSep 5 · 08:55T. Rein1.80141114163P. Vodal1.91121312141WSep 5 · 07:55T. Rein4.00981111113T. Hnizdil1.2211119572LSep 5 · 06:55T. Rein1.9113661142B. Budik1.801111119113LSep 3 · 14:09T. Hnizdil1.251111113T. Rein3.753990LAug 26 · 10:55T. Rein2.2581111872V. Koutnik1.57118311113
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