TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13079003
Played Sep 5Finished
Tomas Rein
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 9Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 9
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1311611611119411
Bohuslav Budik
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 6Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:50 and never touched — 71.6% is still 71.6%
Graded at full timeBohuslav Budik to win
71.6%
71.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingTomas Rein above · Bohuslav Budik below
Set 1 · 13-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 4-11
Point 93 set 5, 4-11 — our read held Bohuslav Budik at 71.6%
93 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Rein 12–18 Bohuslav Budik Tomas Rein has won 12 of their 30 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:50What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Budik
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
12-18 in 30
Budik
Correct
gap of 6 in 30, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Rein 1539 vs Budik 1609
Budik
Correct
both rated, 69 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Rein 0% vs Budik 100%
Budik
Correct
100pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Rein 10% vs Budik 80%
Budik
Correct
70pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Rein -5 · Budik +5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Slight lean (leans Budik) · live re-read · sealed at 72% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Budik form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRein 1.91 / Budik 1.80
Signal prob.45% / 55%
Edge (Budik)+3.6pp
TT Cup · #13079003
Rein1.91
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 9
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog35% won 95 of 270
Down 0–1, comes back21% 33 of 159
Down 0–2, comes back6% 5 of 86
Budik1.80
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 6
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite57% won 43 of 75
Up 2–0, closes it100% 18 of 18
Up 1–0, closes it67% 26 of 39
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRein6wins
AwayBudik4wins
6 of 10 to a deciderRein leads 6–4, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRein33.3%1 of 3
AwayBudik28.6%2 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Rein3Budik7n = 10Budik took 7 of 10
S2Rein7Budik3n = 10Rein took 7 of 10
S3Rein4Budik6n = 10Budik took 6 of 10
S4Rein7Budik2n = 9Rein took 7 of 9
S5Rein3Budik3n = 6split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricReinBudikR − BBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match41.443.2−1.8per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricReinBudikBasisWin rate · lifetime386 / 833 vs 222 / 50246.3%44.2%386 / 833 vs 222 / 502Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.039.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BudikRein 1.91/Budik 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.1%
Budik · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Budik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 5 · 06:55T. Rein—13661142B. Budik—1111119113
LSep 2 · 06:55T. Rein—4790B. Budik—1111113
WAug 13 · 20:50T. Rein—111111113B. Budik—137881
WAug 1 · 22:28T. Rein—11711113B. Budik—911881
WAug 1 · 21:25T. Rein—101111113B. Budik—128681
WJul 26 · 10:00T. Rein—711713113B. Budik—117111182
LJul 26 · 06:20T. Rein—11116592B. Budik—981111113
LJul 13 · 17:25T. Rein—51181242B. Budik—1191110113
WJul 13 · 14:20T. Rein—611911113B. Budik—11911782
WJul 12 · 14:50T. Rein—711118113B. Budik—11851192
T. Rein10
WSep 6 · 22:35T. Rein1.921211113L. Vich1.7810540WSep 6 · 21:25L. Vich2.3858111182T. Rein1.53111175113LSep 6 · 20:25T. Rein1.40119121192Z. Vyskocil2.75311143113WSep 6 · 18:55T. Jr1.50116471T. Rein2.5091111113WSep 5 · 10:20T. Rein1.73771211113P. Vodal2.00111110972WSep 5 · 08:55T. Rein1.80141114163P. Vodal1.91121312141WSep 5 · 07:55T. Rein4.00981111113T. Hnizdil1.2211119572LSep 3 · 14:09T. Hnizdil1.251111113T. Rein3.753990LSep 3 · 12:55V. Koutnik1.611181110113T. Rein2.2091181272LSep 3 · 12:25O. Knazik1.401111113T. Rein2.753540
B. Budik10
WSep 6 · 09:35B. Budik1.441111113T. Hnizdil2.608890LSep 6 · 08:50B. Budik1.5361181192P. Vodal2.38117119113LSep 6 · 07:20J. Dohnal1.73111111153B. Budik2.007913131WSep 6 · 06:50T. Hnizdil1.5791461182B. Budik2.251112118113WSep 5 · 10:50B. Budik2.009111011113T. Hnizdil1.7211512672LSep 5 · 09:25T. Hnizdil1.571111911113B. Budik2.2591311872WSep 5 · 08:25B. Budik1.671111113P. Vodal2.105690WSep 2 · 10:40B. Budik1.59111111153J. Srnka2.126136131WSep 2 · 09:25S. Holik1.95511116102B. Budik1.77115811123WSep 2 · 08:25B. Budik1.772012113J. Srnka1.93181060
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