TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13080360
Played Sep 5Finished
Tomas Rein
Home
4.00
At publish
Lost last 10Form at publish
0–10Last 10Lost last 10
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
911811119115117
Tomas Hnizdil
Away
1.22
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 01:22 and never touched — 78.2% is still 78.2%
Graded at full timeTomas Hnizdil to win
78.2%
78.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingTomas Rein above · Tomas Hnizdil below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 11-5
Set 5 · 11-7
Point 93 set 5, 11-7 — our read held Tomas Hnizdil at 78.2%
93 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Rein 0–7 Tomas Hnizdil Tomas Rein has won 0 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 01:22What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.22 (77%)
Hnizdil
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-7 in 7
Hnizdil
Wrong
gap of 7 in 7, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Rein 1437 vs Hnizdil 1589
Hnizdil
Wrong
both rated, 152 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Rein 0% vs Hnizdil 80%
Hnizdil
Wrong
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Rein 0% vs Hnizdil 80%
Hnizdil
Wrong
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Rein -5 · Hnizdil +3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 78% — Strong (leans Hnizdil)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Rein form (0%) is below what odds imply (25%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRein 4.00 / Hnizdil 1.22
Signal prob.22% / 78%
Edge (Hnizdil)+1.6pp
TT Cup · #13080360
Rein4.00
0%won 0 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 10
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog35% won 95 of 272
Down 0–1, comes back20% 32 of 159
Down 0–2, comes back6% 5 of 87
Hnizdil1.22
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite68% won 38 of 56
Up 2–0, closes it90% 18 of 20
Up 1–0, closes it90% 27 of 30
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeRein0wins
AwayHnizdil7wins
1 of 7 to a deciderHnizdil leads 7–0, and 1 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeReinn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayHnizdil100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Rein1Hnizdil6n = 7Hnizdil took 6 of 7
S2Rein0Hnizdil7n = 7Hnizdil took 7 of 7
S3Rein3Hnizdil4n = 7Hnizdil took 4 of 7
S4Rein1Hnizdil3n = 4Hnizdil took 3 of 4
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away114%
1–3Four sets, away343%
0–3Straight, away343%
These 7 meetings
MetricReinHnizdilR − HBasisWins07−7in 7 meetingsFirst set16−5of 7Avg pointsper match28.338.6−10.3per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricReinHnizdilBasisWin rate · lifetime380 / 826 vs 141 / 24446%57.8%380 / 826 vs 141 / 244Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.937.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HnizdilRein 4.00/Hnizdil 1.22
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
78.2%
Hnizdil · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Rein won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
LSep 3 · 14:09T. Rein—3990T. Hnizdil—1111113
LSep 3 · 11:25T. Rein—87111162T. Hnizdil—111192113
LJun 29 · 09:59T. Rein—981191T. Hnizdil—11119113
LJun 29 · 07:25T. Rein—491181T. Hnizdil—11119113
LJan 29 · 07:55T. Rein—7870T. Hnizdil—1111113
LJan 26 · 15:30T. Rein—1790T. Hnizdil—1111113
LJan 26 · 14:25T. Rein—125541T. Hnizdil—101111113
T. Rein10
WSep 6 · 22:35T. Rein1.921211113L. Vich1.7810540WSep 6 · 21:25L. Vich2.3858111182T. Rein1.53111175113LSep 6 · 20:25T. Rein1.40119121192Z. Vyskocil2.75311143113WSep 6 · 18:55T. Jr1.50116471T. Rein2.5091111113WSep 5 · 10:20T. Rein1.73771211113P. Vodal2.00111110972WSep 5 · 08:55T. Rein1.80141114163P. Vodal1.91121312141LSep 5 · 06:55T. Rein1.9113661142B. Budik1.801111119113LSep 3 · 14:09T. Hnizdil1.251111113T. Rein3.753990LSep 3 · 12:55V. Koutnik1.611181110113T. Rein2.2091181272LSep 3 · 12:25O. Knazik1.401111113T. Rein2.753540
T. Hnizdil10
LSep 6 · 14:35T. Hnizdil1.46911781J. Sebl2.5411911113WSep 6 · 12:55A. Jr3.2579120T. Hnizdil1.331111143WSep 6 · 12:25L. Rek2.755970T. Hnizdil1.401111113WSep 6 · 11:25T. Hnizdil1.40118118113J. Sebl2.7581171112LSep 6 · 09:35B. Budik1.441111113T. Hnizdil2.608890WSep 6 · 08:20J. Dohnal2.10157681T. Hnizdil1.67131111113LSep 6 · 07:50P. Vodal3.75116118113T. Hnizdil1.2581171192LSep 6 · 06:50T. Hnizdil1.5791461182B. Budik2.251112118113LSep 5 · 10:50B. Budik2.009111011113T. Hnizdil1.7211512672WSep 3 · 14:09T. Hnizdil1.251111113T. Rein3.753990
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