TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13088073
Played Sep 6Finished
Tomas Hnizdil
Home
1.46
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
911119711811––
Jachym Sebl
Away
2.54
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 2
How it is goingTomas Hnizdil above · Jachym Sebl below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 77 set 4, 8-11
77 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Hnizdil 19–12 Jachym Sebl Jachym Sebl has won 12 of their 31 meetings.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Hnizdil)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sebl form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (39%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHnizdil 1.46 / Sebl 2.54
Signal prob.64% / 36%
Edge (Hnizdil)+0.8pp
TT Cup · #13088073
Hnizdil1.46
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite67% won 40 of 60
Up 2–0, closes it86% 19 of 22
Up 1–0, closes it85% 29 of 34
Sebl2.54
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog41% won 71 of 174
Down 0–1, comes back18% 16 of 90
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 64
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHnizdil9wins
AwaySebl1wins
2 of 10 to a deciderHnizdil leads 9–1, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHnizdil100%8 of 8
AwaySebln = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hnizdil8Sebl2n = 10Hnizdil took 8 of 10
S2Hnizdil7Sebl3n = 10Hnizdil took 7 of 10
S3Hnizdil7Sebl3n = 10Hnizdil took 7 of 10
S4Hnizdil3Sebl1n = 4Hnizdil took 3 of 4
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home550%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricHnizdilSeblH − SBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match35.728.5+7.2per matchSweeps51+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHnizdilSeblBasisWin rate · lifetime146 / 254 vs 301 / 64057.5%47%146 / 254 vs 301 / 640Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.435.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HnizdilHnizdil 1.46/Sebl 2.54
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
64.3%
Hnizdil · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Sebl won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 6 · 11:25T. Hnizdil—118118113J. Sebl—81171112
WJul 30 · 13:19T. Hnizdil—1113113J. Sebl—81150
WJul 30 · 11:20T. Hnizdil—1111113J. Sebl—3740
WJul 27 · 10:50T. Hnizdil—61211113J. Sebl—1110741
WJul 23 · 13:53T. Hnizdil—1111113J. Sebl—7870
WJul 23 · 10:50T. Hnizdil—112111113J. Sebl—91111962
WJul 14 · 09:25T. Hnizdil—11115153J. Sebl—8511131
WApr 5 · 11:55T. Hnizdil—1111113J. Sebl—8860
LFeb 23 · 12:55T. Hnizdil—9490J. Sebl—1111113
WFeb 3 · 11:00T. Hnizdil—1111123J. Sebl—52100
T. Hnizdil10
WSep 6 · 12:55A. Jr3.2579120T. Hnizdil1.331111143WSep 6 · 12:25L. Rek2.755970T. Hnizdil1.401111113WSep 6 · 11:25T. Hnizdil1.40118118113J. Sebl2.7581171112LSep 6 · 09:35B. Budik1.441111113T. Hnizdil2.608890WSep 6 · 08:20J. Dohnal2.10157681T. Hnizdil1.67131111113LSep 6 · 07:50P. Vodal3.75116118113T. Hnizdil1.2581171192LSep 6 · 06:50T. Hnizdil1.5791461182B. Budik2.251112118113LSep 5 · 10:50B. Budik2.009111011113T. Hnizdil1.7211512672WSep 5 · 09:25T. Hnizdil1.571111911113B. Budik2.2591311872LSep 5 · 07:55T. Rein4.00981111113T. Hnizdil1.2211119572
J. Sebl10
WSep 6 · 13:25J. Sebl1.5791111123L. Rek2.251174101WSep 6 · 11:55A. Jr3.25912100J. Sebl1.331114123LSep 6 · 11:25T. Hnizdil1.40118118113J. Sebl2.7581171112WSep 5 · 14:02J. Sebl1.301111113L. Rek3.408890WSep 5 · 12:55J. Sebl1.361111611143A. Jr3.00313112122WSep 5 · 11:55J. Sebl1.73101111113L. Rek2.00125861LSep 5 · 10:55J. Sebl2.7591011101J. Dohnal1.4011129123WAug 31 · 10:35J. Sebl1.67118135113L. Rek2.10411111152WAug 31 · 08:55J. Sebl1.3611911113A. Jr3.00911551WAug 31 · 07:55J. Sebl2.251111113L. Rek1.577930
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