TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13068267
Played Sep 3Finished
Ondrej Knazik
Home
1.40
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
113115114––––
Tomas Rein
Away
2.75
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 24:29 and never touched — 68.7% is still 68.7%
Graded at full timeOndrej Knazik to win
68.7%
68.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOndrej Knazik above · Tomas Rein below
Set 1 · 11-3
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-4
Point 45 set 3, 11-4 — our read held Ondrej Knazik at 68.7%
45 points played in total.
H2H Ondrej Knazik 46–20 Tomas Rein Tomas Rein has won 20 of their 66 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 24:29What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Knazik
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
46-20 in 66
Knazik
Correct
gap of 26 in 66, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Knazik 1547 vs Rein 1471
Knazik
Correct
both rated, 76 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Knazik 40% vs Rein 0%
Knazik
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Knazik 40% vs Rein 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Knazik +1 · Rein -5
Rein
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 71% — Strong (leans Knazik) · live re-read · sealed at 69% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Rein form (0%) is below what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKnazik 1.40 / Rein 2.75
Signal prob.71% / 29%
Edge (Knazik)+4.4pp
TT Cup · #13068267
Knazik1.40
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite56% won 86 of 153
Up 2–0, closes it89% 42 of 47
Up 1–0, closes it65% 57 of 88
Rein2.75
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog35% won 95 of 268
Down 0–1, comes back21% 32 of 155
Down 0–2, comes back6% 5 of 84
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKnazik10wins
AwayRein0wins
6 of 10 to a deciderKnazik leads 10–0, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKnazik100%6 of 6
AwayRein0%0 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Knazik6Rein4n = 10Knazik took 6 of 10
S2Knazik5Rein5n = 10split evenly
S3Knazik7Rein3n = 10Knazik took 7 of 10
S4Knazik6Rein2n = 8Knazik took 6 of 8
S5Knazik6Rein0n = 6Knazik took 6 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home660%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKnazikReinK − RBasisWins100+10in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match45.636.2+9.4per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKnazikReinBasisWin rate · lifetime456 / 882 vs 383 / 82651.7%46.4%456 / 882 vs 383 / 826Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.037.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KnazikKnazik 1.40/Rein 2.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
70.7%
Knazik · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Knazik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 17 · 11:50O. Knazik—11811113T. Rein—511751
WAug 5 · 13:59O. Knazik—119811113T. Rein—41111392
WAug 5 · 10:55O. Knazik—1111123T. Rein—48100
WJul 7 · 11:20O. Knazik—991111113T. Rein—11118482
WJun 26 · 10:55O. Knazik—131198113T. Rein—115111152
WJun 9 · 10:20O. Knazik—1113133T. Rein—311110
WJun 4 · 21:30O. Knazik—111578113T. Rein—613111182
WJun 4 · 20:50O. Knazik—841114113T. Rein—111151292
WMay 29 · 20:55O. Knazik—61111113T. Rein—114871
WMay 25 · 13:25O. Knazik—1091111113T. Rein—12116352
O. Knazik10
WSep 3 · 14:39V. Koutnik2.25441161O. Knazik1.5711119113LSep 3 · 13:25T. Hnizdil1.5711118143O. Knazik2.259611121WSep 3 · 10:55V. Koutnik2.20118971O. Knazik1.6161111113LSep 1 · 21:25O. Knazik2.401113561B. Budik1.5181511113LSep 1 · 20:50O. Knazik1.73961141R. Muller2.0011117113LSep 1 · 19:20J. Dohnal1.612121111113O. Knazik2.20111013982WSep 1 · 18:50B. Budik1.856680O. Knazik1.851111113WAug 31 · 10:03A. Jr2.639980O. Knazik1.441111113LAug 31 · 09:25L. Rek1.91116117113O. Knazik1.8051171192LAug 31 · 08:25O. Knazik1.448760A. Jr2.631111113
T. Rein10
WSep 6 · 22:35T. Rein1.921211113L. Vich1.7810540WSep 6 · 21:25L. Vich2.3858111182T. Rein1.53111175113LSep 6 · 20:25T. Rein1.40119121192Z. Vyskocil2.75311143113WSep 6 · 18:55T. Jr1.50116471T. Rein2.5091111113WSep 5 · 10:20T. Rein1.73771211113P. Vodal2.00111110972WSep 5 · 08:55T. Rein1.80141114163P. Vodal1.91121312141WSep 5 · 07:55T. Rein4.00981111113T. Hnizdil1.2211119572LSep 5 · 06:55T. Rein1.9113661142B. Budik1.801111119113LSep 3 · 14:09T. Hnizdil1.251111113T. Rein3.753990LSep 3 · 12:55V. Koutnik1.611181110113T. Rein2.2091181272
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