TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13058371
Played Sep 1Finished
Ondrej Knazik
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
911611117411––
Radek Muller
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:33 and never touched — 57.3% is still 57.3%
Graded at full timeOndrej Knazik to win
57.3%
57.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongpick shipped
How it is goingOndrej Knazik above · Radek Muller below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 4-11
Point 70 set 4, 4-11 — our read held Ondrej Knazik at 57.3%
70 points played in total.
H2H Ondrej Knazik 17–11 Radek Muller Radek Muller has won 11 of their 28 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 10:33What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Knazik
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
17-11 in 28
Knazik
Wrong
gap of 6 in 28, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Knazik 1562 vs Muller 1468
Knazik
Wrong
both rated, 93 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Knazik 40% vs Muller 20%
Knazik
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Knazik 50% vs Muller 30%
Knazik
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Knazik -1 · Muller +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Knazik)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Muller form (20%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKnazik 1.73 / Muller 2.00
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Knazik)+3.6pp
TT Cup · #13058371
Knazik1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite57% won 89 of 157
Up 2–0, closes it90% 43 of 48
Up 1–0, closes it65% 58 of 89
Muller2.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog41% won 16 of 39
Down 0–1, comes back17% 3 of 18
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 11
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKnazik8wins
AwayMuller2wins
3 of 10 to a deciderKnazik leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKnazik87.5%7 of 8
AwayMullern = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Knazik8Muller2n = 10Knazik took 8 of 10
S2Knazik7Muller3n = 10Knazik took 7 of 10
S3Knazik7Muller3n = 10Knazik took 7 of 10
S4Knazik3Muller2n = 5Knazik took 3 of 5
S5Knazik2Muller1n = 3Knazik took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home550%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKnazikMullerK − MBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match40.335.0+5.3per matchSweeps50+53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKnazikMullerBasisWin rate · lifetime455 / 880 vs 165 / 32651.7%50.6%455 / 880 vs 165 / 326Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.039.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KnazikKnazik 1.73/Muller 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
57.3%
Knazik · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Muller won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 1 · 14:24O. Knazik—114751R. Muller—81111113
WAug 1 · 13:25O. Knazik—1111113R. Muller—8850
WJul 12 · 22:23O. Knazik—1913811143R. Muller—17111113122
WJul 12 · 21:25O. Knazik—1111113R. Muller—9370
WJul 10 · 10:20O. Knazik—1111113R. Muller—5990
WJun 23 · 13:25O. Knazik—1512113R. Muller—131070
LJun 23 · 10:50O. Knazik—910111172R. Muller—111295113
WJun 4 · 09:25O. Knazik—1111113R. Muller—6990
WFeb 24 · 11:20O. Knazik—10111111113R. Muller—12136382
WFeb 12 · 09:50O. Knazik—11115123R. Muller—8911101
O. Knazik10
WSep 3 · 14:39V. Koutnik2.25441161O. Knazik1.5711119113LSep 3 · 13:25T. Hnizdil1.5711118143O. Knazik2.259611121WSep 3 · 12:25O. Knazik1.401111113T. Rein2.753540WSep 3 · 10:55V. Koutnik2.20118971O. Knazik1.6161111113LSep 1 · 21:25O. Knazik2.401113561B. Budik1.5181511113LSep 1 · 19:20J. Dohnal1.612121111113O. Knazik2.20111013982WSep 1 · 18:50B. Budik1.856680O. Knazik1.851111113WAug 31 · 10:03A. Jr2.639980O. Knazik1.441111113LAug 31 · 09:25L. Rek1.91116117113O. Knazik1.8051171192LAug 31 · 08:25O. Knazik1.448760A. Jr2.631111113
R. Muller10
LSep 1 · 21:53J. Dohnal2.00781112133R. Muller1.731111910112WSep 1 · 19:50R. Muller2.10131111113B. Budik1.60157781LSep 1 · 18:20J. Dohnal2.00612148113R. Muller1.731110121162LAug 28 · 21:53J. Dohnal2.0011118113R. Muller1.73941181LAug 28 · 20:55R. Muller1.576680J. Sebl2.251111113LAug 28 · 19:55R. Muller1.6110860J. Dohnal2.201211113WAug 28 · 18:55R. Muller1.93111199113B. Budik1.7775111132LAug 23 · 21:28T. Rein2.63911118113R. Muller1.4411981152LAug 23 · 20:50O. Knazik1.73131012113R. Muller2.0011121091WAug 23 · 19:50R. Muller1.53111110113J. Sebl2.38981241
Upcoming Matches
O. Knazik
Nothing scheduled
R. Muller
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.