TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12481976
Played Aug 23Finished
Tomas Rein
Home
2.63
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
911119118811115
Radek Muller
Away
1.44
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingTomas Rein above · Radek Muller below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 11-5
Point 94 set 5, 11-5
94 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Rein 2–1 Radek Muller Radek Muller has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
Signal confidence: 72% — Strong (leans Muller)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Muller form (40%) is below what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRein 2.63 / Muller 1.44
Signal prob.29% / 72%
Edge (Muller)+7.0pp
TT Cup · #12481976
Rein2.63
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog35% won 94 of 266
Down 0–1, comes back21% 32 of 155
Down 0–2, comes back5% 4 of 86
Muller1.44
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite54% won 43 of 80
Up 2–0, closes it79% 22 of 28
Up 1–0, closes it72% 31 of 43
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeRein2wins
AwayMuller1wins
1 of 3 to a deciderRein leads 2–1, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Rein2Muller1n = 3Rein took 2 of 3
S2Rein1Muller2n = 3Muller took 2 of 3
S3Rein1Muller2n = 3Muller took 2 of 3
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home133%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home133%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away133%
These 3 meetings
MetricReinMullerR − MBasisWins21+1in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match32.736.3−3.6per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricReinMullerBasisWin rate · lifetime382 / 823 vs 168 / 33546.4%50.2%382 / 823 vs 168 / 335Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.039.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MullerRein 2.63/Muller 1.44
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
71.5%
Muller · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Rein won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WAug 23 · 18:20T. Rein—114412113R. Muller—911111092
LJul 3 · 19:25T. Rein—47120R. Muller—1111143
WJun 5 · 06:55T. Rein—1111113R. Muller—6980
T. Rein10
WSep 6 · 22:35T. Rein1.921211113L. Vich1.7810540WSep 6 · 21:25L. Vich2.3858111182T. Rein1.53111175113LSep 6 · 20:25T. Rein1.40119121192Z. Vyskocil2.75311143113WSep 6 · 18:55T. Jr1.50116471T. Rein2.5091111113WSep 5 · 10:20T. Rein1.73771211113P. Vodal2.00111110972WSep 5 · 08:55T. Rein1.80141114163P. Vodal1.91121312141WSep 5 · 07:55T. Rein4.00981111113T. Hnizdil1.2211119572LSep 5 · 06:55T. Rein1.9113661142B. Budik1.801111119113LSep 3 · 14:09T. Hnizdil1.251111113T. Rein3.753990LSep 3 · 12:55V. Koutnik1.611181110113T. Rein2.2091181272
R. Muller10
LSep 7 · 06:55R. Muller1.918121111142F. Balcar1.801110139163LSep 1 · 21:53J. Dohnal2.00781112133R. Muller1.731111910112WSep 1 · 20:50O. Knazik1.73961141R. Muller2.0011117113WSep 1 · 19:50R. Muller2.10131111113B. Budik1.60157781LSep 1 · 18:20J. Dohnal2.00612148113R. Muller1.731110121162LAug 28 · 21:53J. Dohnal2.0011118113R. Muller1.73941181LAug 28 · 20:55R. Muller1.576680J. Sebl2.251111113LAug 28 · 19:55R. Muller1.6110860J. Dohnal2.201211113WAug 28 · 18:55R. Muller1.93111199113B. Budik1.7775111132LAug 23 · 20:50O. Knazik1.73131012113R. Muller2.0011121091
Upcoming Matches
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