Jaroslav Dohnal vs Radek Muller 3-2

TT Lossbeater/TT Cup

TT CupMatch #13061191

Played Sep 1Finished

Jaroslav Dohnal

Home

2.00

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

4–6Last 10Lost last 1

Final

3 – 2

Set by set

71181111912101311

Radek Muller

Away

1.73

At publish

Won last 2

Form at publish

4–6Last 10Won last 2

How it is goingJaroslav Dohnal above · Radek Muller below

Set 1 · 7-11

Set 2 · 8-11

Set 3 · 11-9

Set 4 · 12-10

Set 5 · 13-11

Point 103 set 5, 13-11

103 points played in total.

H2H Jaroslav Dohnal 18–20 Radek Muller Jaroslav Dohnal has won 18 of their 38 meetings.

Last 10 · 3–7Same sideHead to head

Signal confidence: 55% — Slight lean (leans Muller)

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Muller form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsDohnal 2.00 / Muller 1.73

Signal prob.45% / 55%

Edge (Muller)+1.4pp

TT Cup · #13061191

Dohnal2.00

40%won 4 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As underdog32% won 7 of 22

Down 0–1, comes back9% 1 of 11

Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 5

Muller1.73

40%won 4 of 10 · last 10

Won last 2

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As favourite51% won 42 of 82

Up 2–0, closes it85% 23 of 27

Up 1–0, closes it74% 31 of 42

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeDohnal3wins

AwayMuller7wins

3 of 10 to a deciderMuller leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeDohnal100%3 of 3

AwayMuller100%7 of 7

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Dohnal3Muller7n = 10Muller took 7 of 10

S2Dohnal6Muller4n = 10Dohnal took 6 of 10

S3Dohnal5Muller5n = 10split evenly

S4Dohnal4Muller4n = 8split evenly

S5Dohnal0Muller3n = 3Muller took 3 of 3

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home110%

3–1Four sets, home220%

3–2Decider, home00%

2–3Decider, away330%

1–3Four sets, away330%

0–3Straight, away110%

These 10 meetings

MetricDohnalMullerD − MBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match37.439.2−1.8per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricDohnalMullerBasisWin rate · lifetime401 / 676 vs 166 / 32659.3%50.9%401 / 676 vs 166 / 326Avg sets wonper match2.32.1per matchAvg pointsper match40.639.3per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Muller

Dohnal 2.00/Muller 1.73

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

55%

Muller · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–2

Dohnal won

Recent Results

H2H · no odds on record10

WAug 28 · 21:53J. Dohnal—11118113R. Muller—941181

WAug 28 · 19:55J. Dohnal—1211113R. Muller—10860

LJul 24 · 22:30J. Dohnal—101191142R. Muller—129119113

LJul 24 · 21:25J. Dohnal—971111R. Muller—11117113

LJul 3 · 22:30J. Dohnal—417111172R. Muller—111925113

WJul 3 · 21:25J. Dohnal—111111113R. Muller—513741

LJul 2 · 19:55J. Dohnal—51060R. Muller—1112113

LJun 28 · 14:20J. Dohnal—511661R. Muller—11911113

LApr 21 · 21:55J. Dohnal—7111471R. Muller—11616113

LApr 21 · 19:50J. Dohnal—71111872R. Muller—118611113

J. Dohnal10

WSep 6 · 10:04J. Dohnal1.83111135113P. Vodal1.8364111192 LSep 6 · 08:20J. Dohnal2.10157681T. Hnizdil1.67131111113 WSep 6 · 07:20J. Dohnal1.73111111153B. Budik2.007913131 WSep 6 · 06:20J. Dohnal1.801181011113P. Vodal1.9171112962 WSep 5 · 14:30A. Jr2.2587111182J. Dohnal1.55111189113 WSep 5 · 13:25L. Rek1.67127951J. Dohnal2.10101111113 LSep 5 · 12:25J. Dohnal1.33918261A. Jr3.2511161193 WSep 5 · 10:55J. Sebl2.7591011101J. Dohnal1.4011129123 WSep 3 · 21:28D. Pasek1.6784111382J. Dohnal2.101111911113 WSep 3 · 20:20J. Dohnal2.001612125153M. Filipek1.7314101411132

R. Muller10

WSep 7 · 07:55R. Muller1.91111311113M. Filipek1.80915471 LSep 7 · 06:55R. Muller1.918121111142F. Balcar1.801110139163 WSep 1 · 20:50O. Knazik1.73961141R. Muller2.0011117113 WSep 1 · 19:50R. Muller2.10131111113B. Budik1.60157781 LSep 1 · 18:20J. Dohnal2.00612148113R. Muller1.731110121162 LAug 28 · 21:53J. Dohnal2.0011118113R. Muller1.73941181 LAug 28 · 20:55R. Muller1.576680J. Sebl2.251111113 LAug 28 · 19:55R. Muller1.6110860J. Dohnal2.201211113 WAug 28 · 18:55R. Muller1.93111199113B. Budik1.7775111132 LAug 23 · 21:28T. Rein2.63911118113R. Muller1.4411981152

Upcoming Matches

J. Dohnal

Nothing scheduled

R. Muller

Sep 7 · 08:55R. Muller1.91D. Pasek1.80—

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