TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13083017
Played Sep 5Finished
Ales Brandtl Jr
Home
2.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
811711118119811
Jaroslav Dohnal
Away
1.55
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingAles Brandtl Jr above · Jaroslav Dohnal below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 2-2
Point 80 set 5, 2-2
80 points drawn · the score is 15 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
H2H Ales Brandtl Jr 2–3 Jaroslav Dohnal Ales Brandtl Jr has won 2 of their 5 meetings.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Dohnal)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dohnal form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJr 2.25 / Dohnal 1.55
Signal prob.40% / 60%
Edge (Dohnal)+0.4pp
TT Cup · #13083017
Jr2.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog44% won 75 of 172
Down 0–1, comes back29% 30 of 104
Down 0–2, comes back11% 6 of 57
Dohnal1.55
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite54% won 113 of 209
Up 2–0, closes it92% 54 of 59
Up 1–0, closes it68% 78 of 114
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeJr2wins
AwayDohnal3wins
Dohnal leads 3–2.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJrn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayDohnal100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jr2Dohnal3n = 5Dohnal took 3 of 5
S2Jr1Dohnal4n = 5Dohnal took 4 of 5
S3Jr3Dohnal2n = 5Jr took 3 of 5
S4Jr2Dohnal2n = 4split evenly
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home240%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away240%
0–3Straight, away120%
These 5 meetings
MetricJrDohnalJ − DBasisWins23−1in 5 meetingsFirst set23−1of 5Avg pointsper match36.438.6−2.2per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJrDohnalBasisWin rate · lifetime249 / 528 vs 404 / 68147.2%59.3%249 / 528 vs 404 / 681Avg sets wonper match1.92.3per matchAvg pointsper match38.240.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DohnalJr 2.25/Dohnal 1.55
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
59.6%
Dohnal · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Dohnal won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
WSep 5 · 12:25A. Jr—11161193J. Dohnal—918261
LDec 8 · 20:55A. Jr—61150J. Dohnal—1113113
LOct 28 · 03:20A. Jr—5141271J. Dohnal—111214113
WOct 17 · 23:50A. Jr—11811113J. Dohnal—611881
LOct 9 · 19:55A. Jr—6711101J. Dohnal—11118123
A. Jr10
LSep 6 · 14:04A. Jr1.837680L. Rek1.831111113LSep 6 · 12:55A. Jr3.2579120T. Hnizdil1.331111143LSep 6 · 11:55A. Jr3.25912100J. Sebl1.331114123WSep 6 · 10:55A. Jr2.001181111113L. Rek1.7313115772LSep 5 · 12:55J. Sebl1.361111611143A. Jr3.00313112122WSep 5 · 12:25J. Dohnal1.33918261A. Jr3.2511161193WSep 5 · 11:25A. Jr2.381111113L. Rek1.538780LAug 31 · 10:03A. Jr2.639980O. Knazik1.441111113LAug 31 · 08:55J. Sebl1.3611911113A. Jr3.00911551WAug 31 · 08:25O. Knazik1.448760A. Jr2.631111113
J. Dohnal10
WSep 6 · 10:04J. Dohnal1.83111135113P. Vodal1.8364111192LSep 6 · 08:20J. Dohnal2.10157681T. Hnizdil1.67131111113WSep 6 · 07:20J. Dohnal1.73111111153B. Budik2.007913131WSep 6 · 06:20J. Dohnal1.801181011113P. Vodal1.9171112962WSep 5 · 13:25L. Rek1.67127951J. Dohnal2.10101111113LSep 5 · 12:25J. Dohnal1.33918261A. Jr3.2511161193WSep 5 · 10:55J. Sebl2.7591011101J. Dohnal1.4011129123WSep 3 · 21:28D. Pasek1.6784111382J. Dohnal2.101111911113WSep 3 · 20:20J. Dohnal2.001612125153M. Filipek1.7314101411132LSep 3 · 19:20J. Dohnal1.80116951D. Pasek1.9191111113
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