TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13088012
Played Sep 6Finished
Ales Brandtl Jr
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
711611811––––
Lukas Dominik Rek
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 7Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 7
How it is goingAles Brandtl Jr above · Lukas Dominik Rek below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 54 set 3, 8-11
54 points played in total.
H2H Ales Brandtl Jr 6–5 Lukas Dominik Rek Lukas Dominik Rek has won 5 of their 11 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Jr)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Rek form (0%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJr 1.83 / Rek 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Jr)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #13088012
Jr1.83
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Rek1.83
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 7
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeJr5wins
AwayRek5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJr50%2 of 4
AwayRek50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jr4Rek6n = 10Rek took 6 of 10
S2Jr4Rek6n = 10Rek took 6 of 10
S3Jr8Rek2n = 10Jr took 8 of 10
S4Jr3Rek4n = 7Rek took 4 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricJrRekJ − RBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match35.135.10.0per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJrRekBasisWin rate · lifetime250 / 532 vs 138 / 23447%59%250 / 532 vs 138 / 234Avg sets wonper match1.92.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.238.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JrJr 1.83/Rek 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Jr · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Rek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 6 · 10:55A. Jr—1181111113L. Rek—13115772
WSep 5 · 11:25A. Jr—1111113L. Rek—8780
LAug 31 · 07:25A. Jr—1181031L. Rek—61112113
WAug 9 · 21:55A. Jr—1111113L. Rek—8580
LAug 9 · 19:25A. Jr—961161L. Rek—11118113
WJun 26 · 16:55A. Jr—81111113L. Rek—116881
LMay 15 · 22:30A. Jr—721151L. Rek—11112113
WMay 15 · 20:25A. Jr—51111113L. Rek—119871
LMay 13 · 15:20A. Jr—6670L. Rek—1111113
LMay 1 · 16:50A. Jr—111011862L. Rek—812511113
A. Jr10
LSep 6 · 12:55A. Jr3.2579120T. Hnizdil1.331111143LSep 6 · 11:55A. Jr3.25912100J. Sebl1.331114123WSep 6 · 10:55A. Jr2.001181111113L. Rek1.7313115772LSep 5 · 14:30A. Jr2.2587111182J. Dohnal1.55111189113LSep 5 · 12:55J. Sebl1.361111611143A. Jr3.00313112122WSep 5 · 12:25J. Dohnal1.33918261A. Jr3.2511161193WSep 5 · 11:25A. Jr2.381111113L. Rek1.538780LAug 31 · 10:03A. Jr2.639980O. Knazik1.441111113LAug 31 · 08:55J. Sebl1.3611911113A. Jr3.00911551WAug 31 · 08:25O. Knazik1.448760A. Jr2.631111113
L. Rek10
LSep 6 · 13:25J. Sebl1.5791111123L. Rek2.251174101LSep 6 · 12:25L. Rek2.755970T. Hnizdil1.401111113LSep 6 · 10:55A. Jr2.001181111113L. Rek1.7313115772LSep 5 · 14:02J. Sebl1.301111113L. Rek3.408890LSep 5 · 13:25L. Rek1.67127951J. Dohnal2.10101111113LSep 5 · 11:55J. Sebl1.73101111113L. Rek2.00125861LSep 5 · 11:25A. Jr2.381111113L. Rek1.538780LAug 31 · 10:35J. Sebl1.67118135113L. Rek2.10411111152WAug 31 · 09:25L. Rek1.91116117113O. Knazik1.8051171192LAug 31 · 07:55J. Sebl2.251111113L. Rek1.577930
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