TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13051815
Played Aug 31Finished
Ales Brandtl Jr
Home
2.63
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
911911811––––
Ondrej Knazik
Away
1.44
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
How it is goingAles Brandtl Jr above · Ondrej Knazik below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 59 set 3, 8-11
59 points played in total.
H2H Ales Brandtl Jr 11–17 Ondrej Knazik Ales Brandtl Jr has won 11 of their 28 meetings.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Knazik)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Knazik form (40%) is below what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJr 2.63 / Knazik 1.44
Signal prob.32% / 68%
Edge (Knazik)+3.2pp
TT Cup · #13051815
Jr2.63
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog44% won 75 of 171
Down 0–1, comes back29% 30 of 104
Down 0–2, comes back10% 6 of 58
Knazik1.44
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite57% won 88 of 154
Up 2–0, closes it89% 42 of 47
Up 1–0, closes it65% 57 of 88
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeJr4wins
AwayKnazik6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderKnazik leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJr66.7%2 of 3
AwayKnazik71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jr3Knazik7n = 10Knazik took 7 of 10
S2Jr3Knazik7n = 10Knazik took 7 of 10
S3Jr4Knazik6n = 10Knazik took 6 of 10
S4Jr3Knazik4n = 7Knazik took 4 of 7
S5Jr3Knazik1n = 4Jr took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricJrKnazikJ − KBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match35.640.6−5.0per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJrKnazikBasisWin rate · lifetime251 / 536 vs 456 / 88646.8%51.5%251 / 536 vs 456 / 886Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.139.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KnazikJr 2.63/Knazik 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
67.7%
Knazik · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Knazik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 21 · 11:50A. Jr—991121O. Knazik—11119113
LAug 9 · 20:25A. Jr—931171O. Knazik—11117113
WAug 5 · 13:25A. Jr—081111113O. Knazik—11114952
WJul 16 · 08:25A. Jr—12128133O. Knazik—101011111
LJul 12 · 19:55A. Jr—39100O. Knazik—1111123
LJul 8 · 07:55A. Jr—7960O. Knazik—1111113
LJul 7 · 13:55A. Jr—94100O. Knazik—1111123
WJul 7 · 10:50A. Jr—711119113O. Knazik—11691182
LJul 2 · 13:53A. Jr—11116492O. Knazik—781111113
WJul 2 · 11:55A. Jr—1371011113O. Knazik—111112772
A. Jr10
LSep 6 · 14:04A. Jr1.837680L. Rek1.831111113LSep 6 · 12:55A. Jr3.2579120T. Hnizdil1.331111143LSep 6 · 11:55A. Jr3.25912100J. Sebl1.331114123WSep 6 · 10:55A. Jr2.001181111113L. Rek1.7313115772LSep 5 · 14:30A. Jr2.2587111182J. Dohnal1.55111189113LSep 5 · 12:55J. Sebl1.361111611143A. Jr3.00313112122WSep 5 · 12:25J. Dohnal1.33918261A. Jr3.2511161193WSep 5 · 11:25A. Jr2.381111113L. Rek1.538780LAug 31 · 08:55J. Sebl1.3611911113A. Jr3.00911551WAug 31 · 08:25O. Knazik1.448760A. Jr2.631111113
O. Knazik10
WSep 3 · 14:39V. Koutnik2.25441161O. Knazik1.5711119113LSep 3 · 13:25T. Hnizdil1.5711118143O. Knazik2.259611121WSep 3 · 12:25O. Knazik1.401111113T. Rein2.753540WSep 3 · 10:55V. Koutnik2.20118971O. Knazik1.6161111113LSep 1 · 21:25O. Knazik2.401113561B. Budik1.5181511113LSep 1 · 20:50O. Knazik1.73961141R. Muller2.0011117113LSep 1 · 19:20J. Dohnal1.612121111113O. Knazik2.20111013982WSep 1 · 18:50B. Budik1.856680O. Knazik1.851111113LAug 31 · 09:25L. Rek1.91116117113O. Knazik1.8051171192LAug 31 · 08:25O. Knazik1.448760A. Jr2.631111113
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