Jaroslav Dohnal vs Petr Vodal 3-2

TT Lossbeater/TT Cup

TT CupMatch #13086867

Played Sep 6Finished

Jaroslav Dohnal

Home

1.83

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

7–3Last 10Lost last 1

Final

3 – 2

Set by set

116114311511119

Petr Vodal

Away

1.83

At publish

Won last 2

Form at publish

3–7Last 10Won last 2

How it is goingJaroslav Dohnal above · Petr Vodal below

Set 1 · 11-6

Set 2 · 11-4

Set 3 · 3-11

Set 4 · 5-11

Set 5 · 11-9

Point 82 set 5, 11-9

82 points played in total.

H2H Jaroslav Dohnal 46–41 Petr Vodal Petr Vodal has won 41 of their 87 meetings.

Last 10 · 6–4Same sideHead to head

Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Dohnal)

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Vodal form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsDohnal 1.83 / Vodal 1.83

Signal prob.54% / 46%

Edge (Dohnal)+4.0pp

TT Cup · #13086867

Dohnal1.83

70%won 7 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

80%takes the first set · 8 of 10

Vodal1.83

30%won 3 of 10 · last 10

Won last 2

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeDohnal6wins

AwayVodal4wins

5 of 10 to a deciderDohnal leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeDohnal57.1%4 of 7

AwayVodal33.3%1 of 3

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Dohnal7Vodal3n = 10Dohnal took 7 of 10

S2Dohnal5Vodal5n = 10split evenly

S3Dohnal2Vodal8n = 10Vodal took 8 of 10

S4Dohnal5Vodal5n = 10split evenly

S5Dohnal4Vodal1n = 5Dohnal took 4 of 5

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home00%

3–1Four sets, home220%

3–2Decider, home440%

2–3Decider, away110%

1–3Four sets, away330%

0–3Straight, away00%

These 10 meetings

MetricDohnalVodalD − VBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match43.343.2+0.1per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricDohnalVodalBasisWin rate · lifetime407 / 685 vs 249 / 49159.4%50.7%407 / 685 vs 249 / 491Avg sets wonper match2.32.1per matchAvg pointsper match40.739.2per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Dohnal

Dohnal 1.83/Vodal 1.83

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

54%

Dohnal · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–2

Dohnal won

Recent Results

H2H · no odds on record10

WSep 6 · 06:20J. Dohnal—1181011113P. Vodal—71112962

WAug 30 · 13:30J. Dohnal—121197113P. Vodal—107111172

LAug 30 · 12:50J. Dohnal—126311102P. Vodal—1011116123

LAug 29 · 10:55J. Dohnal—118491P. Vodal—91111113

LAug 25 · 15:50J. Dohnal—119381P. Vodal—71111113

WAug 15 · 14:05J. Dohnal—151485113P. Vodal—1312111192

LAug 15 · 10:55J. Dohnal—751151P. Vodal—11115113

WJul 18 · 10:34J. Dohnal—9111216113P. Vodal—113141482

WJul 18 · 08:25J. Dohnal—11119113P. Vodal—861151

WJul 12 · 14:20J. Dohnal—91114113P. Vodal—1181241

J. Dohnal10

LSep 6 · 08:20J. Dohnal2.10157681T. Hnizdil1.67131111113 WSep 6 · 07:20J. Dohnal1.73111111153B. Budik2.007913131 WSep 6 · 06:20J. Dohnal1.801181011113P. Vodal1.9171112962 WSep 5 · 14:30A. Jr2.2587111182J. Dohnal1.55111189113 WSep 5 · 13:25L. Rek1.67127951J. Dohnal2.10101111113 LSep 5 · 12:25J. Dohnal1.33918261A. Jr3.2511161193 WSep 5 · 10:55J. Sebl2.7591011101J. Dohnal1.4011129123 WSep 3 · 21:28D. Pasek1.6784111382J. Dohnal2.101111911113 WSep 3 · 20:20J. Dohnal2.001612125153M. Filipek1.7314101411132 LSep 3 · 19:20J. Dohnal1.80116951D. Pasek1.9191111113

P. Vodal10

WSep 6 · 08:50B. Budik1.5361181192P. Vodal2.38117119113 WSep 6 · 07:50P. Vodal3.75116118113T. Hnizdil1.2581171192 LSep 6 · 06:20J. Dohnal1.801181011113P. Vodal1.9171112962 LSep 5 · 10:20T. Rein1.73771211113P. Vodal2.00111110972 LSep 5 · 08:55T. Rein1.80141114163P. Vodal1.91121312141 LSep 5 · 08:25B. Budik1.671111113P. Vodal2.105690 LSep 5 · 07:25P. Vodal3.4011680T. Hnizdil1.301311113 LAug 30 · 13:30P. Vodal1.73107111172J. Dohnal2.00121197113 WAug 30 · 12:50P. Vodal2.001011116123J. Dohnal1.73126311102 LAug 30 · 11:20T. Rein1.8371212113P. Vodal1.8311101031

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