Petr Vodal vs Jaroslav Dohnal 2-3

TT Lossbeater/TT Cup

TT CupMatch #13047460

Played Aug 30Finished

Petr Vodal

Home

1.73

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

3–7Last 10Won last 1

Final

2 – 3

Set by set

1012711119117711

Jaroslav Dohnal

Away

2.00

At publish

Lost last 5

Form at publish

3–7Last 10Lost last 5

How it is goingPetr Vodal above · Jaroslav Dohnal below

Set 1 · 10-12

Set 2 · 7-11

Set 3 · 11-9

Set 4 · 11-7

Set 5 · 7-11

Point 96 set 5, 7-11

96 points played in total.

H2H Petr Vodal 41–44 Jaroslav Dohnal Petr Vodal has won 41 of their 85 meetings.

Last 10 · 6–4SplitHead to head

Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Vodal)

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Dohnal form (0%) is below what odds imply (50%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsVodal 1.73 / Dohnal 2.00

Signal prob.57% / 44%

Edge (Vodal)+2.8pp

TT Cup · #13047460

Vodal1.73

30%won 3 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

20%takes the first set · 2 of 10

As favourite51% won 50 of 99

Up 2–0, closes it96% 21 of 22

Up 1–0, closes it76% 35 of 46

Dohnal2.00

30%won 3 of 10 · last 10

Lost last 5

oldest → newest

70%takes the first set · 7 of 10

As underdog29% won 6 of 21

Down 0–1, comes back9% 1 of 11

Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 5

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeVodal6wins

AwayDohnal4wins

4 of 10 to a deciderVodal leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeVodal50%2 of 4

AwayDohnal33.3%2 of 6

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Vodal4Dohnal6n = 10Dohnal took 6 of 10

S2Vodal6Dohnal4n = 10Vodal took 6 of 10

S3Vodal6Dohnal4n = 10Vodal took 6 of 10

S4Vodal6Dohnal4n = 10Vodal took 6 of 10

S5Vodal2Dohnal2n = 4split evenly

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home00%

3–1Four sets, home440%

3–2Decider, home220%

2–3Decider, away220%

1–3Four sets, away220%

0–3Straight, away00%

These 10 meetings

MetricVodalDohnalV − DBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match42.739.7+3.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricVodalDohnalBasisWin rate · lifetime248 / 487 vs 401 / 67750.9%59.2%248 / 487 vs 401 / 677Avg sets wonper match2.12.3per matchAvg pointsper match39.140.5per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Vodal

Vodal 1.73/Dohnal 2.00

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

56.5%

Vodal · sealed before the serve

What happened

2–3

Dohnal won

Recent Results

H2H · no odds on record10

WAug 30 · 12:50P. Vodal—1011116123J. Dohnal—126311102

WAug 29 · 10:55P. Vodal—91111113J. Dohnal—118491

WAug 25 · 15:50P. Vodal—71111113J. Dohnal—119381

LAug 15 · 14:05P. Vodal—1312111192J. Dohnal—151485113

WAug 15 · 10:55P. Vodal—11115113J. Dohnal—751151

LJul 18 · 10:34P. Vodal—113141482J. Dohnal—9111216113

LJul 18 · 08:25P. Vodal—861151J. Dohnal—11119113

LJul 12 · 14:20P. Vodal—1181241J. Dohnal—91114113

WJun 27 · 15:25P. Vodal—11115113J. Dohnal—261161

WJun 21 · 15:20P. Vodal—911611113J. Dohnal—11611662

P. Vodal10

LSep 6 · 10:04J. Dohnal1.83111135113P. Vodal1.8364111192 WSep 6 · 08:50B. Budik1.5361181192P. Vodal2.38117119113 WSep 6 · 07:50P. Vodal3.75116118113T. Hnizdil1.2581171192 LSep 6 · 06:20J. Dohnal1.801181011113P. Vodal1.9171112962 LSep 5 · 10:20T. Rein1.73771211113P. Vodal2.00111110972 LSep 5 · 08:55T. Rein1.80141114163P. Vodal1.91121312141 LSep 5 · 08:25B. Budik1.671111113P. Vodal2.105690 LSep 5 · 07:25P. Vodal3.4011680T. Hnizdil1.301311113 WAug 30 · 12:50P. Vodal2.001011116123J. Dohnal1.73126311102 LAug 30 · 11:20T. Rein1.8371212113P. Vodal1.8311101031

J. Dohnal10

WSep 6 · 10:04J. Dohnal1.83111135113P. Vodal1.8364111192 LSep 6 · 08:20J. Dohnal2.10157681T. Hnizdil1.67131111113 WSep 6 · 07:20J. Dohnal1.73111111153B. Budik2.007913131 WSep 6 · 06:20J. Dohnal1.801181011113P. Vodal1.9171112962 WSep 5 · 14:30A. Jr2.2587111182J. Dohnal1.55111189113 WSep 5 · 13:25L. Rek1.67127951J. Dohnal2.10101111113 LSep 5 · 12:25J. Dohnal1.33918261A. Jr3.2511161193 WSep 5 · 10:55J. Sebl2.7591011101J. Dohnal1.4011129123 WSep 3 · 21:28D. Pasek1.6784111382J. Dohnal2.101111911113 LAug 30 · 12:50P. Vodal2.001011116123J. Dohnal1.73126311102

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