TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13080350
Played Sep 5Finished
Bohuslav Budik
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 7Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 7
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
115116119––––
Petr Vodal
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 01:21 and never touched — 58.6% is still 58.6%
Graded at full timeBohuslav Budik to win
58.6%
58.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingBohuslav Budik above · Petr Vodal below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 53 set 3, 11-9 — our read held Bohuslav Budik at 58.6%
53 points played in total.
H2H Bohuslav Budik 14–15 Petr Vodal Bohuslav Budik has won 14 of their 29 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 01:21What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Budik
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
14-15 in 29
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Budik 1616 vs Vodal 1418
Budik
Correct
both rated, 198 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Budik 100% vs Vodal 20%
Budik
Correct
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Budik 80% vs Vodal 30%
Budik
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Budik +5 · Vodal -2
Budik
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Budik)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vodal form (20%) is below what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBudik 1.67 / Vodal 2.10
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Budik)+3.2pp
TT Cup · #13080350
Budik1.67
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 7
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite56% won 40 of 71
Up 2–0, closes it100% 16 of 16
Up 1–0, closes it65% 24 of 37
Vodal2.10
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog52% won 50 of 96
Down 0–1, comes back37% 18 of 49
Down 0–2, comes back13% 3 of 24
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBudik6wins
AwayVodal4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderBudik leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBudik66.7%6 of 9
AwayVodaln = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Budik9Vodal1n = 10Budik took 9 of 10
S2Budik5Vodal5n = 10split evenly
S3Budik5Vodal5n = 10split evenly
S4Budik3Vodal4n = 7Vodal took 4 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricBudikVodalB − VBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set91+8of 10Avg pointsper match37.034.4+2.6per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBudikVodalBasisWin rate · lifetime219 / 496 vs 247 / 48644.2%50.8%219 / 496 vs 247 / 486Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.539.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BudikBudik 1.67/Vodal 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
59%
Budik · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Budik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 5 · 08:25B. Budik—1111113P. Vodal—5690
WAug 23 · 14:30B. Budik—1111113P. Vodal—6940
LAug 23 · 13:25B. Budik—471261P. Vodal—111110113
WAug 20 · 10:10B. Budik—1111173P. Vodal—68150
WAug 20 · 07:25B. Budik—11117113P. Vodal—981141
LJul 26 · 08:50B. Budik—11761182P. Vodal—611115113
WJul 22 · 06:55B. Budik—12911113P. Vodal—1011781
LJul 13 · 16:50B. Budik—116851P. Vodal—51111113
WJul 12 · 17:23B. Budik—111148113P. Vodal—57111192
LJul 12 · 16:20B. Budik—118971P. Vodal—71111113
B. Budik10
WSep 6 · 09:35B. Budik1.441111113T. Hnizdil2.608890LSep 6 · 08:50B. Budik1.5361181192P. Vodal2.38117119113LSep 6 · 07:20J. Dohnal1.73111111153B. Budik2.007913131WSep 6 · 06:50T. Hnizdil1.5791461182B. Budik2.251112118113WSep 5 · 10:50B. Budik2.009111011113T. Hnizdil1.7211512672LSep 5 · 09:25T. Hnizdil1.571111911113B. Budik2.2591311872WSep 5 · 06:55T. Rein1.9113661142B. Budik1.801111119113WSep 2 · 10:40B. Budik1.59111111153J. Srnka2.126136131WSep 2 · 09:25S. Holik1.95511116102B. Budik1.77115811123WSep 2 · 08:25B. Budik1.772012113J. Srnka1.93181060
P. Vodal10
LSep 6 · 10:04J. Dohnal1.83111135113P. Vodal1.8364111192WSep 6 · 08:50B. Budik1.5361181192P. Vodal2.38117119113WSep 6 · 07:50P. Vodal3.75116118113T. Hnizdil1.2581171192LSep 6 · 06:20J. Dohnal1.801181011113P. Vodal1.9171112962LSep 5 · 10:20T. Rein1.73771211113P. Vodal2.00111110972LSep 5 · 08:55T. Rein1.80141114163P. Vodal1.91121312141LSep 5 · 07:25P. Vodal3.4011680T. Hnizdil1.301311113LAug 30 · 13:30P. Vodal1.73107111172J. Dohnal2.00121197113WAug 30 · 12:50P. Vodal2.001011116123J. Dohnal1.73126311102LAug 30 · 11:20T. Rein1.8371212113P. Vodal1.8311101031
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