TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13062829
Played Sep 2Finished
Bohuslav Budik
Home
1.77
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
20181210116––––
Jan Srnka
Away
1.93
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 06:38 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeBohuslav Budik to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
77 points played in total.
Set by set
20181210116––––
H2H Bohuslav Budik 2–1 Jan Srnka Jan Srnka has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 06:38What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.77 (52%)
Budik
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-1 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Budik 1565 vs Srnka 1627
Srnka
Wrong
both rated, 61 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Budik 60% vs Srnka 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Budik 60% vs Srnka 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Budik +3 · Srnka +2
Budik
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Budik)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBudik 1.77 / Srnka 1.93
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Srnka)-1.8pp (anti-value)
TT Cup · #13062829
Budik1.77
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite54% won 37 of 68
Up 2–0, closes it100% 15 of 15
Up 1–0, closes it62% 21 of 34
Srnka1.93
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog57% won 35 of 62
Down 0–1, comes back32% 9 of 28
Down 0–2, comes back7% 1 of 15
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeBudik2wins
AwaySrnka1wins
1 of 3 to a deciderBudik leads 2–1, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Budik1Srnka2n = 3Srnka took 2 of 3
S2Budik2Srnka1n = 3Budik took 2 of 3
S3Budik2Srnka1n = 3Budik took 2 of 3
S4Budik3Srnka0n = 3Budik took 3 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home267%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away133%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricBudikSrnkaB − SBasisWins21+1in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match39.336.0+3.3per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBudikSrnkaBasisWin rate · lifetime214 / 492 vs 81 / 14243.5%57%214 / 492 vs 81 / 142Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.539.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BudikBudik 1.77/Srnka 1.93
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Budik · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Budik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LAug 27 · 10:50B. Budik—11861262J. Srnka—6111110113
WAug 24 · 11:55B. Budik—51111113J. Srnka—117641
WJun 16 · 07:50B. Budik—41111113J. Srnka—115961
B. Budik10
WSep 6 · 09:35B. Budik1.441111113T. Hnizdil2.608890LSep 6 · 08:50B. Budik1.5361181192P. Vodal2.38117119113LSep 6 · 07:20J. Dohnal1.73111111153B. Budik2.007913131WSep 6 · 06:50T. Hnizdil1.5791461182B. Budik2.251112118113WSep 5 · 10:50B. Budik2.009111011113T. Hnizdil1.7211512672LSep 5 · 09:25T. Hnizdil1.571111911113B. Budik2.2591311872WSep 5 · 08:25B. Budik1.671111113P. Vodal2.105690WSep 5 · 06:55T. Rein1.9113661142B. Budik1.801111119113WSep 2 · 10:40B. Budik1.59111111153J. Srnka2.126136131WSep 2 · 09:25S. Holik1.95511116102B. Budik1.77115811123
J. Srnka10
LSep 2 · 10:40B. Budik1.59111111153J. Srnka2.126136131WSep 2 · 08:55T. Rein2.63151311662J. Srnka1.441711611113WSep 2 · 07:25J. Srnka1.6711118113S. Holik2.10951161WAug 27 · 13:38J. Srnka1.53914911113J. Sebl2.38111211492LAug 27 · 12:20J. Sebl2.258111111113J. Srnka1.5711138882LAug 27 · 11:50L. Moravec1.83111189113J. Srnka1.8389111192WAug 27 · 10:50J. Srnka1.916111110113B. Budik1.7311861262LAug 24 · 14:03J. Srnka1.50115881M. Filipek2.5091111113WAug 24 · 13:25J. Srnka1.53211111113M. Filipek2.38234781LAug 24 · 11:55B. Budik1.9551111113J. Srnka1.74117641
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